VMI

Magnificent 7 Earnings Reports Not Bad Thus Far

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By Brian Nelson, CFA   Shortly after Trump’s Liberation Day, where the President unveiled lofty tariffs on numerous countries, we released our wait-and-see outlook for the equity markets, which thus far has proven to be the right move, with the markets largely recovering from the depths reached in April. The S&P 500 (SPY), for example, is down just 3.3% year-to-date, excluding dividends.   A lot has happened since Liberation Day, including easing of tariffs to a 10% baseline for most, if not all, countries, with the key exception of China, where tariffs remain extremely elevated and prohibitive. Many countries are now reportedly negotiating trade agreements with the White House, and we expect China to be added to that list soon, even if … Read more

Trump Tariffs Higher than Expected; What We’re Doing

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By Brian Nelson, CFA The Trump tariff increases came in larger than what we were expecting, and it remains to be seen how they will flow through the global economy, as we monitor potential retaliatory tariffs from other countries. As it relates to the equity markets, we’re taking a wait and see approach at the moment as we monitor new policy changes related to trade, immigration, fiscal (tax), and regulations. In short, we’re not overreacting to the sell off as we won’t have a great handle on the tariff impact to companies for a few quarters when they report results post-tariff increases. That said, we’re expecting continued market volatility, with meaningful risk to the downside, before trade uncertainty alleviates in … Read more

There Will Be Volatility

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By Brian Nelson, CFA Last year, 2022, was a big test for equity investors, and the downside volatility that we witnessed during the year wasn’t comfortable, to say the least. Following the COVID-19 crash and rebound during 2020, and then the market surge in 2021, it wouldn’t be a stretch to say many investors’ heads are probably still spinning from all the volatility witnessed to start this decade. That said, part of what we’ve been warning about the past few years with respect to the equity market, especially in Value Trap, is that the proliferation of price-agnostic trading (e.g. quant, machine/algorithmic trading, etc.) will only lead to more and more market volatility, so while we were somewhat surprised by last … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week of March 31

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Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending March 31. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week                          Armanino Foods of Distinction (AMNF): now $0.033 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.030. Brixmor Property (BRX): now $0.26 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.24. China Gold International Resources (CGG:CA): now $0.37 per share special dividend, was $0.12. HarborOne (HONE): now $0.075 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.070. Permianville Royalty Trust (PVL): now $0.0194 per share monthly dividend, was $0.0192. Rexford Industrial Realty (REXR): now … Read more

Stock Market Outlook for 2021

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By Valuentum Analysts February 8, 2021 2020 was one for the history books. We covered our thoughts and reflections on the past year in our “2020 Won’t Soon Be Forgotten” article (link here), and now we are looking towards the future. Global health authorities should be able to bring an end to the ongoing coronavirus (‘COVID-19’) pandemic sooner than many had expected as several vaccines have already been improved for emergency use and several others appear increasingly likely to get approved. Global vaccine distribution activities are currently underway, and this should allow the world to slowly return to pre-pandemic activities. Before then, immense stimulus measures launched primarily in developed nations should support global economic activities until the public health crisis … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week February 26

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Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending February 26. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week Acushnet (GOLF): now $0.165 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.155. Alamos Gold (AGI): now $0.025 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.02. Albemarle (ALB): now $0.39 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.385. Allstate (ALL): now $0.81 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.54. Alumina (AWCMF): now $0.029 per share semi-annual dividend, was $0.028. American Homes 4 Rent (AMH): now $0.10 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.05. AMERISAFE (AMSF): … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week February 25

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Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending February 25. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week Aaron’s (AAN): now $0.1125 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.1000.           Agnico Eagle (AEM): now $0.40 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.35. Albemarle (ALB): now $0.395 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.390. Alexander & Baldwin (ALEX): now $0.19 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.18. Allison Transmission Holdings (ALSN): now $0.21 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.19. AMERISAFE (AMSF): now $0.31 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.29. Apple … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week of February 21

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Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending February 21. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week                          Aker BP (AKRBF): now $0.63 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.60. Allison Transmission Holdings (ALSN): now $0.27 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.25. Analog Devices (ADI): now $0.99 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.92. Assured Guaranty (AGO): now $0.34 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.31. AstraZeneca Plc (AZNCF): now $2.10 per share semi-annual dividend, was $1.00. Atlas Energy Solution (AESI): now $0.25 per share … Read more