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How Some Members Use Valuentum’s Investment Services

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By Brian Nelson, CFA Thank you for your membership to Valuentum. We serve a wide variety of investors, including dividend growth investors, value investors, and pure Valuentum investors, among others. Many different types of investors and professionals use our research and financial analysis in a whole host of applications from individual stock-selection to the evaluation of closed-end funds to an overlay in a money-management setting and beyond. We wanted to make sure that you know that, if you’re a dividend growth or income investor, that there are others that use our website to utilize the Valuentum process, fair value estimates and other metrics. Similarly, if you’re a practitioner of the Valuentum system, I wanted to make sure that you are … Read more

ICYMI: Valuentum’s Brian Nelson on the Latest Howard Marks’ Memo: “Something of Value”

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Valuentum’s President of Investment Research Brian Michael Nelson, CFA, explains why there are not really value and growth stocks, why most of the research in quantitative finance is spurious and needs to be redefined on a forward-looking basis, and why enterprise valuation (not the efficient markets hypothesis) should be the organizing principle of finance. Nelson explains his views about valuation, what it means to be a value investor, and investing in the context of Oaktree Capital Howard Marks’ latest memo, “Something of Value,” January 11, 2021. Please don’t forget to give the second edition of the book “Value Trap” a 5-star rating on Amazon here. Thank you for your membership! —– Tickerized for holdings in the IWM. Valuentum members have … Read more

Value Is Not Static and the Qualitative Overlay Is Vital to Our Process

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With prudence and care, the Valuentum Buying Index process and its components are carried out. Our analyst team spends most of its time thinking about the intrinsic value of companies within the context of a discounted cash-flow model and evaluating the risk profile of a company’s revenue model. We have checks and balances, too. First, we use a fair value range in our valuation approach as we embrace the very important concept that value is a range and not a point estimate. A relative value overlay as the second pillar helps to add conviction in the discounted cash-flow process, while a technical and momentum overlay seeks to provide confirmation in all of the valuation work. There’s a lot happening behind the scenes even before a VBI rating is published, but it will always be just one factor to consider. Within any process, of course, we value the human, qualitative overlay, which captures a wealth of experience and common sense. We strive to surface our best ideas for members.

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week Ending June 14

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Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending June 14. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week Andrew Peller (ADWPF): now $0.215 per share annual dividend on Class A shares, was $0.205. Blackstone/GSO Long-Short Credit Income Fund (BGX): now $0.122 per share monthly dividend, was $0.115. Blackstone/GSO Strategic Credit Fund (BGB): now $0.114 per share monthly dividend, was $0.109. Capstead Mortgage (CMO): now $0.12 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.08. Caseys General Stores (CASY): now $0.32 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.29. Cherry … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week Ending December 14

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Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending December 14. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week AES (AES): now $0.1365 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.13. Albany (AIN): now $0.18 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.17. AT&T (T): now $0.51 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.50. Balchem (BCPC): now $0.47 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.42. C.H. Robinson Worldwide (CHRW): now $0.50 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.46. CenterPoint (CNP): now $0.2875 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.2775. CNB Community Bancorp (CNBB): … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week Ending June 15

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Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending June 15. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week Canadian Energy Services & Technology (CESDF): now CAD 0.005 per share monthly dividend, was CAD 0.0025. Carolina Financial (CARO): now $0.06 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.05. Chesapeake Utilities (CPK): now $0.37 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.325. El Paso Electric (EE): now $0.36 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.335. Ennis (EBF): now $0.225 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.20. Exantas Capital (XAN): now $0.10 per … Read more

Podcast: The Hazards of Mortgage REITs

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President of Investment Research Brian Nelson talks mortgage REITs and the concept of spread risk that may lead to steep book value declines and weakened dividend health across the industry. ~5 mins. If you cannot view the video below, please view the transcript that follows or select the link here. Kris Rosemann: Hi, I am Kris Rosemann for Valuentum Securities. Today on our podcast President of Investment Research Brian Nelson is going walk us through some of our thoughts on mortgage REITs (REM). Brian could you explain to us why we at Valuentum don’t like mortgage REITs and maybe go through some of the risks individual investors should be concerned with that are not as prevalent as a normal operating … Read more

Valuentum Strives To Be the Gold Standard in Equity Research

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This article was originally published July 17, 2013. Valuentum’s Best Ideas portfolio and Dividend Growth portfolio continue to exceed their respective goals, but the firm’s research on the mortgage REIT industry has put it in a class by itself. In this article, please find a graphic portrayal of its call on the mREIT industry. Maxim, KBW, RBC, Edward Jones, Seeking Alpha, Wunderlich, Citi, Evercore, and JP Morgan were all behind the curve. Will still more research shops come around? 1)    September 13, 2012. 2)    May 6, 2013. 3)    May 6, 2013. http://blogs.barrons.com/focusonfunds/2013/05/06/mortgage-reit-funds-in-focus-jefferies-says-investors-underestimate-mreit-risks/ 4)    May 26, 2013. /20130526_1 5)    May 30, 2013. http://www.thestreet.com/story/11937184/1/mortgage-reit-sell-off-overdone-on-rate-fears-kbw-rbc.html?puc=yahoo&cm_ven=YAHOO 6)    June 7, 2013. http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/agnc/currents/2 7)    June 24, 2013. http://seekingalpha.com/article/1515952-american-capital-agency-corp-book-value-resilience-in-the-face-of-rates-back-up 8)    July 8, 2013. http://www.analystratings.net/ratings/Downgrades/7-8-2013/ 9)    July 9, … Read more

Are You Still Trying to Catch Lightning with American Capital Agency?

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Investors familiar with the mortgage REIT space that have spent any time on our website know of our groundbreaking call on the industry. Please have a look here. American Capital Agency (AGNC), one of the most prominent operators in the mortgage REIT space, reported yet another disappointing quarter. It continues to be painful to write how much we don’t like the uncertainties regarding the broader mortgage REIT environment. Some of the more bullish research shops appear to finally be throwing in the towel. Though the yields on some of the mortgage REIT equities appear attractive, the risks of further dividend cuts continue to grow. Shares of American Capital currently yield ~13%, for example. In the third quarter, American Capital Agency … Read more

American Capital Agency Loses $2.37 Per Share in Second Quarter

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As we have encouraged readers since the peak in September 2012, the mortgage real estate investment trust (REIT) industry has myriad risks, and the marketing pitches indicating that their principal and interest payments are guaranteed by a US government sponsored entity (GSE) should not make investors feel safe. This dynamic has little bearing on the underlying trajectory of fundamentals and a mortgage REIT’s book value, the key valuation driver and the major impetus behind share price movements in the space. During the second quarter (results released Monday), American Capital Agency (AGNC) failed at its principal objective to preserve net asset value, as book value plunged to $25.51 per share from $28.93 per share in the previous sequential quarter (a $3.42 move). … Read more