IPAR

ICYMI: Valuentum’s Brian Nelson on the Latest Howard Marks’ Memo: “Something of Value”

by

Valuentum’s President of Investment Research Brian Michael Nelson, CFA, explains why there are not really value and growth stocks, why most of the research in quantitative finance is spurious and needs to be redefined on a forward-looking basis, and why enterprise valuation (not the efficient markets hypothesis) should be the organizing principle of finance. Nelson explains his views about valuation, what it means to be a value investor, and investing in the context of Oaktree Capital Howard Marks’ latest memo, “Something of Value,” January 11, 2021. Please don’t forget to give the second edition of the book “Value Trap” a 5-star rating on Amazon here. Thank you for your membership! —– Tickerized for holdings in the IWM. Valuentum members have … Read more

Value Is Not Static and the Qualitative Overlay Is Vital to Our Process

by

With prudence and care, the Valuentum Buying Index process and its components are carried out. Our analyst team spends most of its time thinking about the intrinsic value of companies within the context of a discounted cash-flow model and evaluating the risk profile of a company’s revenue model. We have checks and balances, too. First, we use a fair value range in our valuation approach as we embrace the very important concept that value is a range and not a point estimate. A relative value overlay as the second pillar helps to add conviction in the discounted cash-flow process, while a technical and momentum overlay seeks to provide confirmation in all of the valuation work. There’s a lot happening behind the scenes even before a VBI rating is published, but it will always be just one factor to consider. Within any process, of course, we value the human, qualitative overlay, which captures a wealth of experience and common sense. We strive to surface our best ideas for members.

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week Ending November 9

by

Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending November 9. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week Aaron’s (AAN): now $0.035 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.03. Air Lease (AL): now $0.13 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.10. AmerisourceBergen (ABC): now $0.40 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.38. Assurant (AIZ): now $0.60 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.56. Atmos Energy (ATO): now $0.525 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.485. Atlantica Yield (AY): now $0.36 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.34. Black Hills (BKH): … Read more

Torn on Procter & Gamble

by

Image Source: Phil Manker When Procter & Gamble (PG) first reported its calendar fourth-quarter 2014 results in January, we came out on the stock suggesting investors need not panic. When we rolled the model forward (what this means), however, our team was left scratching our heads. We ended up cutting our fair value estimate on P&G’s shares to $74 from $84, and we felt we were even being generous to get to the mid-$70s with that estimate. We’re torn. We love the strength of Procter & Gamble’s core brands (especially Pampers, Tide, and Gillette), its dividend track record, and its robust free cash flow, but its valuation has become out of line – mostly due to a reset of its … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week Ending October 28

by

Below we provide a list of firms that raised/lowered their dividends during the week ending October 28. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week Abaxis (ABAX): now $0.14 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.12. AbbVie (ABBV): now $0.64 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.57. AFLAC (AFL): now $0.43 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.41. Alexander & Baldwin (ALEX): now $0.07 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.06. Alon USA Partners (ALDW): now $0.15 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.14. American Electric Power (AEP): now $0.59 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.56. … Read more

Stock Market Outlook for 2021

by

By Valuentum Analysts February 8, 2021 2020 was one for the history books. We covered our thoughts and reflections on the past year in our “2020 Won’t Soon Be Forgotten” article (link here), and now we are looking towards the future. Global health authorities should be able to bring an end to the ongoing coronavirus (‘COVID-19’) pandemic sooner than many had expected as several vaccines have already been improved for emergency use and several others appear increasingly likely to get approved. Global vaccine distribution activities are currently underway, and this should allow the world to slowly return to pre-pandemic activities. Before then, immense stimulus measures launched primarily in developed nations should support global economic activities until the public health crisis … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week March 11

by

Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending March 11. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week      AFC Gamma (AFCG): now $0.55 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.50. American Assets Trust (AAT): now $0.32 per share quarterly dividend was $0.30. American Express (AXP): now $0.52 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.43. American Tower (AMT): now $1.40 per share quarterly dividend, was $1.39. AngloGold Ashanti (AU): now $0.145 per share dividend, was $0.059. Applied Materials (AMAT): now $0.26 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.24. … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week of March 17

by

Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending March 17. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week                          Alpha Metallurgical (AMR): now $0.44 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.42. Andlauer Healthcare Group (AND:CA): now $0.08 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.07. ANGC Investment Series C Fixed-to-Floating Rate Cumulative Redeemable Preferred Stock (AGNCN): now $0.6213 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.5743. Applied Materials (AMAT): now $0.32 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.26. Arcos Dorados (ARCO): now $0.19 per share annual dividend, was $0.15. … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week of March 1

by

Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending March 1. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week                          ADT (ADT): now $0.055 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.035. Allison Transmission Holdings (ALSN): now $0.25 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.23. Ampol Limited (CTXAY): now $1.574 per share semi-annual dividend, was $1.169. Anheuser-Busch InBev (BUD): now EUR 0.82 per share annual dividend, was EUR 0.50. ASMPT (ASMVF): now HK$ 0.26 per share final dividend. ASX Limited (ASXFY): now $0.607 per share semi-annual dividend, … Read more