There Will Be Volatility

By Brian Nelson, CFA Last year, 2022, was a big test for equity investors, and the downside volatility that we witnessed during the year wasn’t comfortable, to say the least. Following the COVID-19 crash and rebound during 2020, and then the market surge in 2021, it wouldn’t be a stretch to say many investors’ heads are probably still spinning from all the volatility witnessed to start this decade. That said, part of what we’ve been warning about the past few years with respect to the equity market, especially in Value Trap, is that the proliferation of price-agnostic trading (e.g. quant, machine/algorithmic trading, etc.) will only lead to more and more market volatility, so while we were somewhat surprised by last … Read more

Theft Becoming a Huge Problem for Retailers

Image Source: Ben Schuman Theft has always been a problem for retailers, but it has never been as big of a problem as it has been in recent quarters. Emboldened by the lack of police response and employees sometimes getting fired for confronting shoplifters, retail organized crime is on the rise. We’re not talking theft in the millions, or billions, but likely in the tens of billions per year or more across the U.S. Some attribute the rise of organized retail crime to the pandemic, which paved the way for shoplifters to post their loot online in order to make a quick buck. Some retailers are especially feeling the pinch, and recent commentary reveals just how bad retail theft (shrink) … Read more

Walmart Warns: “Prices Are Still High and There Is Considerable Pressure on the Consumer”

  Image Source: Mike Mozart By Brian Nelson, CFA As we wrote in “The Fed ‘Can’t Stop, Won’t Stop” in early January, the trade-down trends that we’re seeing in big box retail and with groceries, more generally, are interesting. Inflation started to accelerate with food-at-home prices moving aggressively higher in early 2022, and consumers have been trading down to better value. It probably wasn’t until egg prices soared, however — driven in part by a shortage of egg laying chickens (not just inflationary pressures) – that tipped everyday consumers to budget more cautiously, and the largest big box retailer in Walmart (WMT) is seeing this impact first-hand. Here’s what’s happening on the ground, per Walmart’s CEO Doug McMillon on the … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week Ending November 15

Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending November 15. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week Alerus Financial Corporation (ALRS): now $0.15 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.14. ALPS Alerian MLP ETF (AMLP): now $0.195 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.19. ALPS ETF Trust – Alerian Energy Infrastructure ETF (ENFR): now $0.3496 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.3123. Automatic Data Processing (ADP): now $0.91 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.79. Bancroft Fund (BCV): now $0.97 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.25. Boyd … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week Ending November 23

Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending November 23. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week Becton, Dickinson (BDX): now $0.77 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.75. CB Financial Services (CBFV): now $0.23 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.22. Cross Timbers Royalty Trust (CRT): now $0.144509 per share monthly dividend, was $0.124040. Deswell Industries (DSWL): now $0.06 per share semi-annual dividend, was $0.04. Exchange Bank (EXSR): now $1.00 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.95. Farmers & Merchants Bank of Long Beach (FMBL): … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week Ending February 2

Below we provide a list of firms that raised or lowered their dividends during the week ending February 2. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week 1st Source (SRCE): now $0.22 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.20. AFLAC (AFL): now $0.52 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.45. Amtek (AME): now $0.14 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.09. Andeavor Logistics (ANDX): now $1.00 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.9852. Apartment Investment (AIV): now $0.38 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.36. AvalonBay Communities (AVB): now $1.47 per share quarterly dividend, was $1.42. … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week November 13

Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending November 13. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week Absolute Software (ABST): now CAD 0.08 per share quarterly dividend. Air Lease (AL): now $0.16 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.15. Assurant (AIZ): now $0.66 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.63. Atmos Energy (ATO): now $0.625 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.575. Automatic Data Processing (ADP): now $0.93 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.91. Bancroft Fund (BCV): now $2.25 per share year-end dividend, was $0.29. Barings … Read more

Stock Market Outlook for 2021

By Valuentum Analysts February 8, 2021 2020 was one for the history books. We covered our thoughts and reflections on the past year in our “2020 Won’t Soon Be Forgotten” article (link here), and now we are looking towards the future. Global health authorities should be able to bring an end to the ongoing coronavirus (‘COVID-19’) pandemic sooner than many had expected as several vaccines have already been improved for emergency use and several others appear increasingly likely to get approved. Global vaccine distribution activities are currently underway, and this should allow the world to slowly return to pre-pandemic activities. Before then, immense stimulus measures launched primarily in developed nations should support global economic activities until the public health crisis … Read more