Theft Becoming a Huge Problem for Retailers

Image Source: Ben Schuman Theft has always been a problem for retailers, but it has never been as big of a problem as it has been in recent quarters. Emboldened by the lack of police response and employees sometimes getting fired for confronting shoplifters, retail organized crime is on the rise. We’re not talking theft in the millions, or billions, but likely in the tens of billions per year or more across the U.S. Some attribute the rise of organized retail crime to the pandemic, which paved the way for shoplifters to post their loot online in order to make a quick buck. Some retailers are especially feeling the pinch, and recent commentary reveals just how bad retail theft (shrink) … Read more

Walmart Warns: “Prices Are Still High and There Is Considerable Pressure on the Consumer”

  Image Source: Mike Mozart By Brian Nelson, CFA As we wrote in “The Fed ‘Can’t Stop, Won’t Stop” in early January, the trade-down trends that we’re seeing in big box retail and with groceries, more generally, are interesting. Inflation started to accelerate with food-at-home prices moving aggressively higher in early 2022, and consumers have been trading down to better value. It probably wasn’t until egg prices soared, however — driven in part by a shortage of egg laying chickens (not just inflationary pressures) – that tipped everyday consumers to budget more cautiously, and the largest big box retailer in Walmart (WMT) is seeing this impact first-hand. Here’s what’s happening on the ground, per Walmart’s CEO Doug McMillon on the … Read more

Dick’s Sporting Goods Soars, Reports Record First-Quarter Sales, Highest-Ever Quarterly Earnings!

Image Shown: Dick’s Sporting Goods’ stock price soared following the release of its first-quarter fiscal 2021 earnings report and robust guidance for the remainder of the year. We added the sporting goods retailer to the Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio last November, and we continue to like shares. By Brian Nelson, CFA On Wednesday, May 26, Dick’s Sporting Goods (DKS) released a stellar fiscal first-quarter earnings report for the period ending May 1, 2021, that showed its omni-channel sales strategy is paying off as the U.S. economy continues its robust recovery. We added Dick’s Sporting Goods to the Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio in November of last year, and its dividend growth prospects remain as strong as ever. In March of this year, … Read more

Dividend Growth Portfolio Idea Dick’s Sporting Goods Raises Dividend 16%!

  Image Source: Mike Mozart. Dick’s Sporting Goods put up its best same-store-sales growth rate in history during 2020. We continue to like shares of the sporting goods retailer in the Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio. By Brian Nelson, CFA Kudos to one of the latest additions to the Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio, Dick’s Sporting Goods (DKS). The company announced March 9 concurrent with its fourth-quarter 2020 press release that it increased its quarterly payout 16%, to $0.3625 per share, or $1.45 per share on an annualized basis, good enough for a nice ~2% forward expected dividend yield. The latest iteration of the Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio can be found here. With a Dividend Cushion ratio of 3.2 at its last … Read more

Omni-Channel Strategy at Dick’s Sporting Goods Makes It a Long-Term Dividend Growth Idea

Image Source: Dick’s Sporting Goods Inc – Third Quarter of 2020 Earnings Infographic By Callum Turcan The ongoing coronavirus (‘COVID-19’) pandemic, due to the desire of households to socially distance, has driven a meaningful amount of consumer spending to e-commerce platforms. Retailers that invested heavily in their online operations, while also bulking up their omni-channel sales capabilities, were in a much better position when the pandemic hit than those that had to rely largely on their physical footprint. Over the past year, “contactless” delivery options have become much more popular. That includes fulfillment options such as curbside pickup and in-store pickup (usually in specially designated areas), where consumers purchase goods online and then travel to the relevant physical store location … Read more

Dick’s Sporting Goods’ 2%+ Dividend Yield Is Solid

Dick’s Sporting Goods put up impressive third-quarter results that showed strong sales performance across both e-commerce and brick-and-mortar. E-commerce/digital/online sales continue to soar across the broader retail arena. Dick’s Sporting Goods’ gross and merchandising margins were healthy during its third quarter, and its inventory is clean as the sporting goods retailer heads into the all-important holiday season. We’re big fans of Dick’s Sporting Goods’ tremendous free cash flow generation and its balance sheet health. For dividend growth investors, Dick’s Sporting Goods offers a compelling combination of a 2%+ dividend yield and an impressive 3.2 Dividend Cushion ratio at the time of this writing. By Brian Nelson, CFA On November 24, Dick’s Sporting Goods (DKS) reported fantastic third-quarter results that showed … Read more

Home Depot and Lowe’s Post Tremendous Comparable Store Sales Growth

Image Source: Home Depot Inc – Third Quarter of Fiscal 2020 IR Earnings Infographic By Callum Turcan Executive Summary: Home Depot and Lowe’s Companies have experienced incredibly strong comparable store sales growth during the initial phases of the ongoing coronavirus (‘COVID-19’) pandemic. Past digital investments enabled both companies to better meet surging demand during these turbulent times, and demand growth is coming from both professional (i.e. contractors, home builders) and non-professional (i.e. more affluent households in the suburbs) consumers. The biggest thing holding both companies back is their large net debt loads and sizable operating lease liabilities, in our view, though please note that their cash flow profiles are stellar. It appears the North American home improvement and construction business … Read more

Stock Market Outlook for 2021

By Valuentum Analysts February 8, 2021 2020 was one for the history books. We covered our thoughts and reflections on the past year in our “2020 Won’t Soon Be Forgotten” article (link here), and now we are looking towards the future. Global health authorities should be able to bring an end to the ongoing coronavirus (‘COVID-19’) pandemic sooner than many had expected as several vaccines have already been improved for emergency use and several others appear increasingly likely to get approved. Global vaccine distribution activities are currently underway, and this should allow the world to slowly return to pre-pandemic activities. Before then, immense stimulus measures launched primarily in developed nations should support global economic activities until the public health crisis … Read more