RUTH

ICYMI — Video: Will Hasty Policy Facilitate the Next Leg Down, or Do We Have It Coming Anyway?

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President of Investment Research and award-winning author of Value Trap: Theory of Universal Valuation Brian Nelson explains how US policymakers are stuck between a rock and a hard place, and how the market may be factoring in too high of a probability of a return to normalcy before 2021. This and more in the latest video report. Summary Make sure you review Value Trap on Amazon. Do so here. We think those that bought equities near the bottom of this swoon may be looking to take profits at present levels. The market is currently reflecting an 80%-85% probability of a return to normalcy before 2021, which we believe is too high at this time. Our main concern is that government … Read more

Nelson: The 16 Most Important Steps To Understand The Stock Market

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A previous version of this article appeared on our website July 21, 2013. Refreshed and updated throughout, as of July 2018. By Brian Nelson, CFA After earning my MBA at the University of Chicago Booth School of Business and training stock and credit analysts from large organizations over the past decade or so, I have heard just about every question (though I admit I am still surprised by many things and remain a very humble student of the markets). I’ve also spent years perfecting the discounted cash flow process for large research organizations such as Morningstar and studied under one of the most famed aggressive growth investors of all time, Richard Driehaus. My knowledge runs the gamut from value through … Read more

There Is Milk At The Store

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This article first appeared in the September edition of the High Yield Dividend Newsletter. For more information about this publication, please see here. “Now this is not the end. It is not even the beginning of the end. But it is, perhaps, the end of the beginning.” — Winston Churchill By Brian Nelson, CFA Very few of us could have imagined that we’d witness the bull market that began on that fateful day in March 2009 that might very well mark a generational low. In 2009, major investment banks around the globe were struggling to survive, and the fallout in the mortgage markets left the banks holding paper that nobody wanted to own, let alone buy. The global financial system … Read more

2,350-2,750 on the S&P? Could the Coronavirus Catalyze a Financial Crisis?

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Image: We think a rather modest sell-off in the market to the target range of 2,350-2,750 on the S&P 500 is rather reasonable in the wake of one of the biggest economic shocks since the Global Financial Crisis. The chart above shows how far markets have advanced since 2011, and an adjustment lower to the target range of 2,350-2,750 is rather modest in such a context and would only bring markets to late 2018 levels (note red box as the target range). The range reflects ~16x S&P 500 12-month forward earnings estimates, as of February 14, adjusted down 10% due to COVID-19. When companies like Visa talk about a couple percentage points taken off of growth rates, one knows that … Read more

Stock Market Outlook for 2021

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By Valuentum Analysts February 8, 2021 2020 was one for the history books. We covered our thoughts and reflections on the past year in our “2020 Won’t Soon Be Forgotten” article (link here), and now we are looking towards the future. Global health authorities should be able to bring an end to the ongoing coronavirus (‘COVID-19’) pandemic sooner than many had expected as several vaccines have already been improved for emergency use and several others appear increasingly likely to get approved. Global vaccine distribution activities are currently underway, and this should allow the world to slowly return to pre-pandemic activities. Before then, immense stimulus measures launched primarily in developed nations should support global economic activities until the public health crisis … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week Ending March 6

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Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending March 6. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week Aecon (AEGXF): now CAD 0.16 per share quarterly dividend, was CAD 0.145. Alamos Gold (AGI): now $0.015 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.010. Americold Realty Trust (COLD): now $0.21 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.20. Angel Oak Financial Strategies Income Term (FINS): now $0.1116 per share monthly dividend, was $0.1112. Armanino Foods of Distinction (AMNF): now $0.0275 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.0250. B. Riley Financial … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week May 6

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Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending May 6. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week      American Financial (AFG): now $8.00 per share special dividend, was $0.56. Amerigo Resources (ARREF): now CAD 0.03 per share quarterly dividend. Arbor Realty Trust (ABR): now $0.38 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.37. Arc Resources (AETUF): Now CAD 0.12 per share quarterly dividend, was CAD 0.10. Barrick Gold (GOLD): now $0.20 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.10. Baxter (BAX): now $0.29 per share quarterly dividend, was … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week Ending February 17

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Below we provide a list of firms that raised/lowered their dividends during the week ending February 17. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week AdvancePierre Foods (APFH): now $0.16 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.14. Aetna (AET): now $0.50 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.25. Analog Devices (ADI): now $0.45 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.42. Auburn National Bancorporation, Inc. (AUBN): now $0.23 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.225. Barrick Gold (ABX): now $0.03 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.02. Buckeye Partners (BPL): now $1.2375 per share quarterly dividend, was … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week Ending February 22

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Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending February 22. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week Alamos Gold (AGI): now $0.01 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.005 (adjusted for semi-annual). Analog Devices (ADI): now $0.54 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.48. Apollo Global Management (APO): now $0.56 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.46. Ares Commercial Real Estate (ACRE): now $0.33 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.31. Argo Group International Holdings (ARGO): now $0.31 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.27. Armada Hoffler Properties … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week of February 17

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Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending February 17. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week                          AllianceBernstein (AB): now $0.70 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.64. Allstate (ALL): now $0.89 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.85. Analog Devices (ADI): now $0.86 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.76. Annaly Capital Management 6.95% PFD SER F (NLY.PF): now $0.6076 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.5417. Auburn National (AUBN): now $0.27 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.265. Banc of California (BANC): now $0.10 … Read more