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How Some Members Use Valuentum’s Investment Services

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By Brian Nelson, CFA Thank you for your membership to Valuentum. We serve a wide variety of investors, including dividend growth investors, value investors, and pure Valuentum investors, among others. Many different types of investors and professionals use our research and financial analysis in a whole host of applications from individual stock-selection to the evaluation of closed-end funds to an overlay in a money-management setting and beyond. We wanted to make sure that you know that, if you’re a dividend growth or income investor, that there are others that use our website to utilize the Valuentum process, fair value estimates and other metrics. Similarly, if you’re a practitioner of the Valuentum system, I wanted to make sure that you are … Read more

Union Pacific Outperforming North American Rail Traffic Trends But Facing Inefficiencies and Inflation Hurdles

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Image Source: Chuckcars By Brian Nelson, CFA On November 30, the Association of American Railroads reported that North American rail traffic is down 1.9% on a year-to-date basis through November 26. Carloads of chemicals, coal, motor vehicles and parts, nonmetallic minerals, and petroleum products were strong, but weakness in farm products, forest products, grain, and metallic ores and metals weighed on overall strength. Rail remains among the most economical way to ship goods over long distances. The railroads were front and center in the news recently about a potential work stoppage over the issue of paid sick leave. President Joe Biden, however, was able to put an end to the potential for a strike by signing “into law a joint … Read more

FedEx Beats Estimates, Raises Guidance

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Image Source: FedEx Corporation – Second Quarter of Fiscal 2022 Earnings Infographic By Callum Turcan On December 16, the logistics giant FedEx Corporation (FDX) reported second quarter earnings for fiscal 2022 (period ended November 30, 2021) that beat both consensus top- and bottom-line estimates. The firm also moderately raised its earnings guidance for fiscal 2022 in conjunction with its earnings update after previously reducing its full fiscal year guidance when reporting its fiscal first quarter earnings update. FedEx noted in its fiscal second quarter earnings press release that “higher revenue per shipment at all transportation segments” positively benefited its operating income performance and helped offset headwinds from labor shortages and related supply chain constraints. The company also recently announced a … Read more

ICYMI: Valuentum’s Brian Nelson on the Latest Howard Marks’ Memo: “Something of Value”

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Valuentum’s President of Investment Research Brian Michael Nelson, CFA, explains why there are not really value and growth stocks, why most of the research in quantitative finance is spurious and needs to be redefined on a forward-looking basis, and why enterprise valuation (not the efficient markets hypothesis) should be the organizing principle of finance. Nelson explains his views about valuation, what it means to be a value investor, and investing in the context of Oaktree Capital Howard Marks’ latest memo, “Something of Value,” January 11, 2021. Please don’t forget to give the second edition of the book “Value Trap” a 5-star rating on Amazon here. Thank you for your membership! —– Tickerized for holdings in the IWM. Valuentum members have … Read more

Value Is Not Static and the Qualitative Overlay Is Vital to Our Process

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With prudence and care, the Valuentum Buying Index process and its components are carried out. Our analyst team spends most of its time thinking about the intrinsic value of companies within the context of a discounted cash-flow model and evaluating the risk profile of a company’s revenue model. We have checks and balances, too. First, we use a fair value range in our valuation approach as we embrace the very important concept that value is a range and not a point estimate. A relative value overlay as the second pillar helps to add conviction in the discounted cash-flow process, while a technical and momentum overlay seeks to provide confirmation in all of the valuation work. There’s a lot happening behind the scenes even before a VBI rating is published, but it will always be just one factor to consider. Within any process, of course, we value the human, qualitative overlay, which captures a wealth of experience and common sense. We strive to surface our best ideas for members.

MLPs: Circular Flow of Unsubstantiated Support Evaporating

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Pictured: The circular flow of unsubstantiated support that continues to unravel, previously supporting the prices of the MLP universe. Image published June 18, 2015. © Valuentum Securities. The image above was taken from Valuentum’s President Brian Nelson’s article published on valuentum.com/ June 18.  Forward-looking, cash-flow based dividend analysis has proven its worth once again. Shipping giant Teekay LNG Partners (TGP) made a tidal wave in its stock recently, knocking income investors over, after it cut its distribution by 80% December 17 in order to fund capital requirements on its future growth projects, reduce debt, and eliminate its need to access equity capital markets in the near term. The Valuentum thesis on MLPs continues to suggest that distributions related to the business model continue to be fueled … Read more

Stock Market Outlook for 2021

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By Valuentum Analysts February 8, 2021 2020 was one for the history books. We covered our thoughts and reflections on the past year in our “2020 Won’t Soon Be Forgotten” article (link here), and now we are looking towards the future. Global health authorities should be able to bring an end to the ongoing coronavirus (‘COVID-19’) pandemic sooner than many had expected as several vaccines have already been improved for emergency use and several others appear increasingly likely to get approved. Global vaccine distribution activities are currently underway, and this should allow the world to slowly return to pre-pandemic activities. Before then, immense stimulus measures launched primarily in developed nations should support global economic activities until the public health crisis … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week November 12

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Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending November 12. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week Angel Oak Mortgage (AOMR): now $0.36 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.12. Assurant (AIZ): now $0.68 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.66. Astec (ASTE): now $0.12 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.11. Atlantica Sustainable Infrastructure (AY): now $0.435 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.430. Atmos Energy (ATO): now $0.68 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.63. Autoliv (ALV): now $0.64 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.62. Automatic … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week March 11

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Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending March 11. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week      AFC Gamma (AFCG): now $0.55 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.50. American Assets Trust (AAT): now $0.32 per share quarterly dividend was $0.30. American Express (AXP): now $0.52 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.43. American Tower (AMT): now $1.40 per share quarterly dividend, was $1.39. AngloGold Ashanti (AU): now $0.145 per share dividend, was $0.059. Applied Materials (AMAT): now $0.26 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.24. … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week May 13

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Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending May 13. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week      Alerus Financial Corporation (ALRS): now $0.18 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.16. Algonquin Power & Utilities (AQN): now $0.1808 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.1706. Birchcliff Energy (BIREF): now CAD 0.02 per share quarterly dividend, was CAD 0.01. Black Stone Minerals (BSM): now $0.40 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.27. Brookline Bancorp (BRKL): now $0.13 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.125. Bunge (BG): now $0.625 per … Read more