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Stock Market Outlook for 2021

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By Valuentum Analysts February 8, 2021 2020 was one for the history books. We covered our thoughts and reflections on the past year in our “2020 Won’t Soon Be Forgotten” article (link here), and now we are looking towards the future. Global health authorities should be able to bring an end to the ongoing coronavirus (‘COVID-19’) pandemic sooner than many had expected as several vaccines have already been improved for emergency use and several others appear increasingly likely to get approved. Global vaccine distribution activities are currently underway, and this should allow the world to slowly return to pre-pandemic activities. Before then, immense stimulus measures launched primarily in developed nations should support global economic activities until the public health crisis … Read more

PayPal and Visa Remain Attractive Long-Term Ideas

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Image Source: Visa Inc – Second Quarter of Fiscal 2022 IR Earnings Presentation By Callum Turcan The payment processing and payment solutions space is attractive. Companies operating in this industry have asset-light business models with relatively modest capital expenditure requirements to maintain a given level of revenues, making free cash flows easier to come by. Additionally, the industry’s growth outlook is incredibly bright and supported by secular tailwinds as the world continues to shift away from cash and towards other payment options (card, mobile apps, QR codes, online payment platforms). Our two favorite companies in this space are PayPal Holdings Inc (PYPL) and Visa Inc (V), and we include both as ideas in the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio. Online spending … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week of December 9

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Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending December 9. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week                Abbott Laboratories (ABT): now $0.51 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.47. ABM Industries (ABM): now $0.22 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.195. AGNC Investment Series C Fixed-to-Floating Rate Cumulative Redeemable Preferred Stock (AGNCN): now $0.5743 per share quarterly dividend was $0.4375. Albany (AIN): now $0.25 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.21. Alexandria Real Estate Equities (ARE): now $1.21 per share quarterly dividend, was $1.18. AltaGas … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week of December 20

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Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending December 20. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week                          AMCON Distributing (DIT): Now $0.28 per share special dividend, was $0.18. Ameris Bancorp (ABCB): now $0.20 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.15. Apartment Investment (AIV): now $0.60 per share special dividend, was $0.02. ARC Resources (ARX:CA): now CAD 0.19 per share quarterly dividend, was CAD 0.17. Blue Owl Capital III (OBDE): now $0.52 per share special dividend, was $0.06. CenterPoint (CNP): now $0.22 per … Read more

ICYMI — Podcast: 2nd Annual Nelson Exclusive Yearly Round Up Call

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Tune in to President of Investment Research Brian Nelson’s Exclusive Yearly Roundup Call. Ladies and gentlemen, Thank you for joining us on our second annual Nelson Exclusive roundup call. I appreciate your interest very much, and I appreciate your attention even more. Just an important reminder, Valuentum is an information provider, not a broker or financial advisor, and we do not issue recommendations of any kind. With that said, let’s get started. These are the best of times. We have now surpassed the 9-year mark since the March 2009 panic bottom that sent shudders through the global financial system, and the US economy is as strong as it has ever been. US gross domestic product is now approaching $20 trillion … Read more

Nelson: The 16 Most Important Steps To Understand The Stock Market

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A previous version of this article appeared on our website July 21, 2013. Refreshed and updated throughout, as of July 2018. By Brian Nelson, CFA After earning my MBA at the University of Chicago Booth School of Business and training stock and credit analysts from large organizations over the past decade or so, I have heard just about every question (though I admit I am still surprised by many things and remain a very humble student of the markets). I’ve also spent years perfecting the discounted cash flow process for large research organizations such as Morningstar and studied under one of the most famed aggressive growth investors of all time, Richard Driehaus. My knowledge runs the gamut from value through … Read more

Visa, PayPal Impacted by One-Time Items; Fundamentals Remain Strong

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Image shown: The share-price performance of Visa (V) and PayPal (PYPL), top chart, since PayPal split from eBay (EBAY), relative to S&P 500 (SPY), bottom chart. Simulated Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio ideas Visa and PayPal both had their calendar second quarter results impacted by one-time items, but we continue to like these strong companies that operate in the very attractive financial technology services industry. By Kris Rosemann Visa’s Fundamentals Rock Solid; Litigation Impacts Quarterly Results Simulated Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio idea Visa (V) turned in a solid fiscal third quarter report after the close July 25 as net operating revenue grew 15% from the year-ago period and adjusted net income leapt 36%. However, a $600 million litigation provision weighed down … Read more

Why Analytical Experience Matters

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Risky industrial cyclicals and recovering banks were the theme behind Bloomberg’s Dividend Tip Sheet, released June 18. We applaud the news outlet’s efforts to put together such a list, but a quick look speaks to the importance of focusing on sustained dividend growth – not just growth alone. A number of these firms will likely fall short of their dividend growth targets in coming years, and some—namely the airlines—will likely have to retract dividend payments within the next decade or so. Income investors have the dual need of income and growth, and this list is lacking in the former. Most constituents on this list yield less than 2%, and out of the four that yield greater than 2% (on a … Read more

The Best Years Are Ahead

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By Brian Nelson, CFA — The wind is at our backs. — The Federal Reserve, Treasury, and regulatory bodies of the U.S. may have no choice but to keep U.S. markets moving higher. The likelihood of the S&P 500 reaching 2,000 ever again seems remote, and I would not be surprised to see 5,000 on the S&P 500 before we see 2,500-3,000, if the latter may be in the cards. The S&P 500 is trading at ~4,100 at the time of this writing. — The high end of our fair value range on the S&P 500 remains just shy of 4,000, but I foresee a massive shift in long-term capital out of traditional bonds into equities this decade (and markets … Read more