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Visa Remains a Growth Story, Shares Have Upside

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If you’ve been watching Visa (V) and Mastercard (MA) over the last two years, both were highflying stocks with tremendous room for revenue and earnings growth. However, in a seemingly random act, Senator Dick Durbin decided to identify service revenues from the debit card duopoly as detrimental to the consumer. Since the famed “Durbin Amendment” was added to Dodd-Frank, the shares of Visa have dipped as low as $66 when the Federal Reserve announced an 11 cent processing limit on debit cards, to as high as $90 after news broke that the Federal Reserve doubled the limit to 22 cents. Although we think the company is more valuable without price ceilings, on a discounted-cash flow basis, shares of Visa are worth $107 … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week Ending December 8

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Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending December 8. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week Agree Reality Corporation (ADC): now $0.52 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.50. Alexandria Real Estate Equities (ARE): now $0.90 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.86. Allied Properties Real Estate Investment Trust (APYRF): now CAD 0.13 per share monthly dividend, was CAD 0.1275. Axis Capital Holdings (AXS): now $0.39 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.38. Bank of Montreal (BMO): now CAD 0.93 per share quarterly dividend, was … Read more

Top Research and Ideas You May Have Missed

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Is Quant Value Giving Intrinsic Value Investors a Bad Name? Surely, you don’t believe Warren Buffett’s “style” is out of favor? By Brian Nelson, CFA I need to make sure that you’re aware of something very important. The media and perhaps many investment professionals define the concept of “value” as companies with low price-to-book (P/B) ratios, and the concept of “growth” as companies with high price-to-book ratios. This definition of “value” and “growth” and their corresponding returns have been magnified in writings throughout the media and across quantitative research, even in prestigious journals. Warren Buffett has been rallying against most quantitative applications and how “growth” and “value” are defined in popular media and quantitative research for decades.  Here’s one of the Oracle’s most … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week of December 8

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Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending December 8. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week                          Albany (AIN): now $0.26 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.25. Alexandria Real Estate Equities (ARE): now $1.27 per share quarterly dividend, was $1.24. AltaGas Ltd. (ATGFF): now CAD 0.2975 per share quarterly dividend, was CAD 0.28. Avis Budget (CAR): now $10.00 per share special dividend. Balchem (BCPC): now $0.79 per share annual dividend, was $0.71. Bristol-Myers Squibb (BMY): now $0.60 per share quarterly dividend, … Read more

VBI Ratings Not as Impressive As We Would Have Liked in 2022

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Image: How the VBI rating system has ranked equities so far this year. By Brian Nelson, CFA At Valuentum, we use the Valuentum Buying Index (VBI) to source ideas into diversified simulated newsletter portfolios, and the VBI may be most applicable to the simulated Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio, where we generally like to include ideas when they register a high VBI rating and remove them when they register a low VBI rating. We always use the VBI in a portfolio setting and never by itself. But what about the Valuentum Buying Index ratings, themselves? How did they “perform” during 2022 in one of the worst years for stock market investors in history? Well, not as spectacular as we would have … Read more

Top-Weighted Visa Leaps to Mid-$160s, More Earnings Reports

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Top-Weighted Visa Leaps to Mid-$160s, More Reports Image: Visa (V) has been the top-weighted idea in the Best Ideas Newsletter for as long as we can remember. In December 2017, when we migrated to weighting ranges for ideas in the newsletter portfolio, the company’s “weight” was 8.6%. The image above shows its performance relative to the S&P 500 (SPY) since then. Source (pdf). — In alphabetical order by ticker symbol: GOOG, LLY, GE, GM, IR, LL, MA, MCD, MRK, PFE, TXRH, WDC — Alphabet (GOOG, GOOGL): Shares of Alphabet, the parent of Google, reported first-quarter performance April 29 that may have revealed weakness in the revenue story at the search giant. The miss was rather large on the top line during the quarter, but … Read more

ICYMI — Video: Will Hasty Policy Facilitate the Next Leg Down, or Do We Have It Coming Anyway?

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President of Investment Research and award-winning author of Value Trap: Theory of Universal Valuation Brian Nelson explains how US policymakers are stuck between a rock and a hard place, and how the market may be factoring in too high of a probability of a return to normalcy before 2021. This and more in the latest video report. Summary Make sure you review Value Trap on Amazon. Do so here. We think those that bought equities near the bottom of this swoon may be looking to take profits at present levels. The market is currently reflecting an 80%-85% probability of a return to normalcy before 2021, which we believe is too high at this time. Our main concern is that government … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week December 11

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Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending December 11. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week Abbott Laboratories (ABT): now $0.45 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.36. Abitibi Royalties (ATBYF): now CAD 0.015 per share monthly dividend, was CAD 0.013. AES (AES): now $0.1505 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.1433. Albany (AIN): now $0.20 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.19. Alexandria Real Estate Equities (ARE): now $1.09 per share quarterly dividend, was $1.06. Alico (ALCO): now $0.18 per share quarterly dividend, was … Read more

VIDEO/TRANSCRIPT: 2021 Valuentum Exclusive Call: Inflation Is Good

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Valuentum’s President Brian Michael Nelson, CFA, explains why investors should not fear inflation, why government agencies such as the Fed and Treasury are prioritizing something other than price discovery, why the 10-year Treasury rate is a must-watch metric, and why Valuentum prefers the moaty constituents in large cap growth due to their net cash rich balance sheets, tremendous free cash flow generating potential, and secular growth tailwinds. Transcript: << Valuentum’s Best Ideas On behalf of the Valuentum team, I’d like to present to you our prepared remarks for the Valuentum Exclusive conference call for 2021. It is both an honor and a privilege to share our team’s work with you, and I personally am very grateful for your continued interest … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week Ending December 9

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Below we provide a list of firms that raised/lowered their dividends during the week ending December 9. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week Abbot Laboratories (ABT): now $0.265 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.26. Agree Realty Corporation (ADC): now $0.495 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.48. Air Lease (AL): now $0.075 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.05. Alexandria Real Estate Equities (ARE): now $0.83 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.80. Allied Properties Real Estate Investment Trust (APYRE): now C$0.1275 per share monthly dividend, was C$0.125. American Assets Trust (AAT): … Read more