In the News: Generic Drug Price Fixing and Apple’s Legal Battle in China

An investigation into pricing practices in the generic drug industry has substantially expanded, and implications may be far more widespread than initially expected. Meanwhile, Apple is fighting a preliminary order that will ban the sale of its iPhones that utilize certain software. By Kris Rosemann Price fixing of generic drugs broke into the news as an antitrust lawsuit over just two drugs in late 2016, but the investigation now reportedly involves at least 16 companies and 300 drugs. The generic drug industry is one that has been lauded as a potential savior of rampant healthcare costs in the US, but Joseph Nielsen, an assistant attorney general and antitrust investigator in Connecticut, used evidence such as the volume of drugs and … Read more

In The News: Market Volatility, iPhone Unit Concerns, Wildfire Liabilities Piling Up

Let’s take a look at some top stories from around the markets including headlines in the biotech and tobacco spaces, some household names facing material selling pressure, and the significant impact of massive wildfires in California. By Kris Rosemann Market volatility persists as of the November 12 trading session. Concerns surrounding global trade disputes and a stronger dollar are weighing on investor expectations, and multiple big name companies facing selling pressure only add to less than rosy outlooks. The biotech space (XBI) remains under pressure with future price uncertainty providing a material overhang, and big tobacco is under pressure as a result of the potential for a ban on menthol cigarettes from the FDA. Simulated newsletter portfolio holding Altria (MO) … Read more

Apple’s Quarter Brings a Bushel of Positive News

Image Source: Aaron Yoo Apple’s strength was on full display in its second quarter of fiscal 2018 as it beat expectations on a number of quarterly measures and delivered a significant dividend increase. The company remains one of our favorites on the market today. Our fair value estimate currently sits at $201 per share. By Kris Rosemann What more can we say about Apple (AAPL) after a quarter in which it beat consensus expectations on revenue, earnings per share, iPhone and iPad shipments, and Services revenue, as well as had the ability to raise its quarterly dividend by 16% and authorize an additional $100 billion for share repurchases? We reiterated our positive long-term view on Apple on April 20, “Reiterating … Read more

Prepared Remarks From Nelson Exclusive Conference Call June 30

Read President of Investment Research Brian Nelson’s prepared remarks for the yearly roundup conference call, held for Nelson Exclusive members. If you would like to subscribe to the Nelson Exclusive publication, please learn more about the publication here. The Nelson Exclusive publication does not reflect real performance. Performance is hypothetical and does not represent actual trading. Ladies and Gentlemen, Thank you very much for joining us on the first conference call for members of the Nelson Exclusive publication. The first year of the publication has surely been an exciting one for all involved. When I first wrote the introductory letter of the Nelson Exclusive on July 1, 2016, we were well-aware the market had laid down the gauntlet for this publication. … Read more

Valuentum’s 3 Breakthroughs in the Field of Finance and More

Valuentum’s President Brian Nelson pauses for a picture before speaking at the CFA Society of Houston in March 2017. By Valuentum Editorial Staff Let’s cover Valuentum’s 3 major breakthroughs in the field of finance. The first one is big and may challenge you to rethink everything you think you know about investing. 1. On a logical framework, Valuentum has debunked John C. Bogle’s landmark syllogism that has paved the way for the concept of index investing. Index investing has been built on a logical shortcoming, whether supported by evidence or not. We think it is important that the investment community know of this. Read (pdf): The “Luck” and “Randomness” of Index Funds (2018), Brian Nelson, CFA See video documentation: /FALLACY_of_Index_Funds To … Read more

Cisco Systems’ Growth Outlook Continues to Improve

Image Source: Cisco Systems Inc – 2021 Investor Day Event Presentation By Callum Turcan Things at Cisco Systems Inc (CSCO) are beginning to turn around and management made sure to highlight the company’s improving outlook during its big Investor Day event held on September 15. We include Cisco Systems as an idea in both the Best Ideas Newsletter and Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolios as the firm has a fortress-like balance sheet (i.e., large net cash position), tremendous free cash flow generating abilities, and its growth outlook has improved immensely since contending with serious headwinds from the worst of the coronavirus (‘COVID-19’) pandemic. Shares of CSCO yield ~2.6% as of this writing. On the hardware front, Cisco Systems sells products in … Read more

Nelson: The 16 Most Important Steps To Understand The Stock Market

A previous version of this article appeared on our website July 21, 2013. Refreshed and updated throughout, as of July 2018. By Brian Nelson, CFA After earning my MBA at the University of Chicago Booth School of Business and training stock and credit analysts from large organizations over the past decade or so, I have heard just about every question (though I admit I am still surprised by many things and remain a very humble student of the markets). I’ve also spent years perfecting the discounted cash flow process for large research organizations such as Morningstar and studied under one of the most famed aggressive growth investors of all time, Richard Driehaus. My knowledge runs the gamut from value through … Read more

Qualcomm’s Growth Trajectory Is Impressive and Supported by Numerous Secular Trends

Image Source: Qualcomm Inc – 2019 Analyst Day Presentation By Callum Turcan There is a lot to like about Qualcomm Inc (QCOM), especially after the company reached a truce with Apple Inc (AAPL) in 2019 and resolved a dispute with China’s Huawei in 2020. Both agreements involved Qualcomm signing long-term licensing deals with those companies. The firm has a dominant position in cellular 5G modem and radio frequency (‘RF’) technology, and we don’t expect this lucrative industry position to change anytime soon. Qualcomm is a holding in Valuentum’s Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio thanks to its strong competitive advantages, healthy balance sheet, asset-light operations, considerable free cash flow generating capacity, and of course, its long-term dividend growth potential. Qualcomm’s shares yield ~1.8% at … Read more

Stock Market Outlook for 2021

By Valuentum Analysts February 8, 2021 2020 was one for the history books. We covered our thoughts and reflections on the past year in our “2020 Won’t Soon Be Forgotten” article (link here), and now we are looking towards the future. Global health authorities should be able to bring an end to the ongoing coronavirus (‘COVID-19’) pandemic sooner than many had expected as several vaccines have already been improved for emergency use and several others appear increasingly likely to get approved. Global vaccine distribution activities are currently underway, and this should allow the world to slowly return to pre-pandemic activities. Before then, immense stimulus measures launched primarily in developed nations should support global economic activities until the public health crisis … Read more