Objectivity in Analysis and the MLP Enigma

President of Investment Research Brian Nelson talks about how financial statement analysis keeps analysts objective. He also goes into how the distribution yields of MLPs may not reflect underlying business dynamics. Nelson also explains an inconsistency in the use of financing that supports the idea that MLPs are using external capital market issuances to fund distributions. Running time: ~15 minutes.

Video: What Cash Flow Are You Talking About?

President of Investment Research Brian Nelson reviews important topics from the first six episodes of “Off the Cuff,” and goes into great detail about all the intricacies of “cash flow” from traditional free cash flow to enterprise free cash flow valuation. You know you want to watch. Running Time: ~14 minutes To view Valuentum’s updated YouTube page, please see here.  Pipelines – Oil & Gas: BPL, BWP, DPM, ENB, EPD, ETP, EVEP, HEP, KMI, MMP, NS, OKS, PAA, SE, SEP, WES

Alert: Trading MLPs, Adding Boeing, Adding Hanesbrands

Image Source: Ken Teegardin We’re on the move January 26 in the Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio. By Brian Nelson, CFA Hi everyone, I hope that you are doing great! We’re on the move January 26 with three new additions to the Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio. Many of you have read our “5 Shocking Stock Market Predictions for 2017,” and consistent with what we think may happen this year, we’re putting some cash to work. First, let’s talk Boeing (BA). We love the aerospace giant, and its recent dividend hike of 30%+ caught our attention in a big way. The company’s backlog is tremendous and its free cash flow generation is top notch. Boeing’s diversified exposure to both commercial aerospace and … Read more

Energy Transfer Partners’ Implicit Distribution Cut

By Kris Rosemann Another simplification transaction in the MLP space — who would have thought an MLP needed material changes in their corporate structures? If you’ve been reading our analysis of the industry recently, you would be on that list, “Distributing Truth on MLPs,” “Plains All American to Undergo Simplification Transaction.” To us, the merger agreement between Energy Transfer Partners (ETP) and Sunoco Logistics Partners (SXL) November 21 is yet another acknowledgement of the flaws in the MLP business model and recognition of the lack of clarity regarding the long-term viability of the MLP model. In the merger agreement, Energy Transfer Partners unitholders will receive 1.5 units of Sonoco Logistics Partners for each Energy Transfer Partners unit held. Also, all … Read more

Taxes and the Distressed MLP Investor

Image show above: Performance of the Alerian MLP ETF. “Perhaps the worst thing about MLPs is that investors can spend more time doing and thinking about tax-related items than actually evaluating the businesses of the underlying entities. This could result in poor investment decisions.” – Brian Nelson, CFA By Brian Nelson, CFA What a sensitive topic for many… Our team presented at the Chicago chapter of the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) last weekend. It is always an honor and a privilege to have the opportunity to present to such wonderful people! They ask so many great questions. (By the way, I’m working on my schedule for 2017, so if you’d like our team to speak on a topic … Read more

Bye Bye Energy MLPs

West Texas crude oil prices (USO) just broke through $32 per barrel to the downside for the first time since 2003. Share prices of those in the energy complex (XLE) continue to reel, and we maintain our view that the tremendous fallout in energy master limited partnerships (AMLP, AMZ) may not be over. From our perspective, the MLP business model may not survive in its present state, as equity markets continue to “wise up” to the artificial equity pricing paradigm that has centered on the group’s financially-engineered payouts. Without an artificial pricing paradigm to “prop up” their equity prices, for example, the incentive to perpetuate such a business model is substantially reduced. Distribution cuts would then inevitably ensue as a … Read more

Focus on ETE, Not ETP; Strive for Balance and Stick to the SEC Filings

We continue to be grateful for the favorable reception of our research and analysis. Our mission to help investors of all types remains our core focus and a cause buttressed by our independence and analytical integrity. You can read more here about Valuentum and its President of Equity Research Brian Nelson, CFA. It appears there continues to be a significant amount of confusion about the securities associated with the Energy Transfer companies, a collection of assets that includes the corporate parent Energy Transfer Equity (ETE) as well its consolidated subsidiaries: “Energy Transfer Partners (ETP), ETP GP, ETP LLC, Regency, Regency GP, Regency LLC, Panhandle, Sunoco, Inc., Sunoco Logistics (SXL), Sunoco LP (SUN), Susser and ETP Holdco (per Energy Transfer Equity, L.P, … Read more

Dividend Increases for the Week Ending July 24

Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending July 24. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week BancorpSouth (BXS): now $0.10 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.075. Bar Harbor Bankshares (BHB): now $0.255 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.25. Baylake Corp (BYLK): now $0.09 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.08. BBCN Bancorp (BBCN): now $0.11 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.10. B&G Foods (BGS): now $0.35 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.34. Chemical Financial (CHFC): now $0.26 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.24. … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week Ending January 30

Let’s take a look at dividend increases/decreases for the week ending January 30.

Energy Transfer Partners’ Distribution Growth Could Return

Wednesday afternoon, Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio holding Energy Transfer Partners (click ticker for report: ) announced solid second quarter results marked by nice growth in distributable cash flow (DCF). Because of its many acquisitions, revenue was significantly higher than the prior-year period at $11.6 billion, in-line with consensus expectations. Earnings per share were also significantly higher year-over-year at $0.53, which is also far better than consensus estimates. Ultimately, for a yield instrument like Energy Transfer Partners, cash flow metrics are far more important than headline numbers. After the Linn Energy (click ticker for report: ) distributable cash flow debacle, ETP has improved its distributable cash flow reporting, providing investors with DCF attributable to the partners of ETP. This excludes DCF … Read more