HRL

VIDEO/TRANSCRIPT: 2021 Valuentum Exclusive Call: Inflation Is Good

by

Valuentum’s President Brian Michael Nelson, CFA, explains why investors should not fear inflation, why government agencies such as the Fed and Treasury are prioritizing something other than price discovery, why the 10-year Treasury rate is a must-watch metric, and why Valuentum prefers the moaty constituents in large cap growth due to their net cash rich balance sheets, tremendous free cash flow generating potential, and secular growth tailwinds. Transcript: << Valuentum’s Best Ideas On behalf of the Valuentum team, I’d like to present to you our prepared remarks for the Valuentum Exclusive conference call for 2021. It is both an honor and a privilege to share our team’s work with you, and I personally am very grateful for your continued interest … Read more

Tyson, ConAgra, Hershey, and Cal-Maine Lead the Pack

by

Stocks Featured: ADM, BG, CALM, CAG, FDP, GIS, HSY, K, KRFT, MKC, MJN, MDLZ, TSN, UN. As we survey recent performance across the Food Products industry (large, small), a number of firms continue to struggle to squeeze out modest growth, while others are putting up rather impressive organic top-line and adjusted earnings expansion. Perhaps the strongest fundamental performer in the group has been meat-processor Tyson Foods (TSN), which recorded impressive bottom-line growth in its fiscal third quarter, released August 5, as operating income in its ‘Chicken’ segment jumped 38% thanks to increased domestic/international production and strong pricing. The company’s fiscal 2014 outlook also speaks to robust chicken production and lower input costs, and we expect the strong top- and bottom-line performance to continue. Tyson Foods has been a 9 on our Valuentum Buying Index for some time and … Read more

Top Research and Ideas You May Have Missed

by

Is Quant Value Giving Intrinsic Value Investors a Bad Name? Surely, you don’t believe Warren Buffett’s “style” is out of favor? By Brian Nelson, CFA I need to make sure that you’re aware of something very important. The media and perhaps many investment professionals define the concept of “value” as companies with low price-to-book (P/B) ratios, and the concept of “growth” as companies with high price-to-book ratios. This definition of “value” and “growth” and their corresponding returns have been magnified in writings throughout the media and across quantitative research, even in prestigious journals. Warren Buffett has been rallying against most quantitative applications and how “growth” and “value” are defined in popular media and quantitative research for decades.  Here’s one of the Oracle’s most … Read more

How to Think About Corporate Tax Reform

by

2,350-2,750 on the S&P? Could the Coronavirus Catalyze a Financial Crisis?

by

Image: We think a rather modest sell-off in the market to the target range of 2,350-2,750 on the S&P 500 is rather reasonable in the wake of one of the biggest economic shocks since the Global Financial Crisis. The chart above shows how far markets have advanced since 2011, and an adjustment lower to the target range of 2,350-2,750 is rather modest in such a context and would only bring markets to late 2018 levels (note red box as the target range). The range reflects ~16x S&P 500 12-month forward earnings estimates, as of February 14, adjusted down 10% due to COVID-19. When companies like Visa talk about a couple percentage points taken off of growth rates, one knows that … Read more

Lowe’s Misses, Nordstrom Buckles, Target and Best Buy Shine

by

Lowe’s Misses, Nordstrom Buckles, Target and Best Buy Shine — Need short idea considerations in this tumultuous market? Consider the Exclusive publication here. We release a new short idea consideration each month, in addition to an income and capital-appreciation idea.  — East Coast friends: Brian will be available for a book signing at Headline Books booth 957 at the American Library Association Conference at the Walter E. Washington Convention Center in Washington DC June 22 (more details to follow). Value Trap has been named a Next-Generation Indie Award Winner!  — By Brian Nelson, CFA — When asked about whether Valuentum is all about stock timing, I sometimes cringe. Roughly 90% of our work goes into figuring out what may be the best … Read more

The Dividend Cushion Ratio: Unadjusted Is Less Subjective, Adjusted Is More Subjective

by

  Image Source: Mike Lawrence Question: I’m a subscriber. I’m looking at your Dividend Report for Enterprise Product Partners (EPD). It says your Valuentum Adjusted Dividend Cushion ratio for EPD is 1.8 (a ratio that includes future expected proceeds from capital raising endeavors in the coming years), but several lines below it says the Unadjusted Dividend Cushion ratio, which is your regular normal ratio (a ratio that does not include future expected proceeds from capital raising endeavors in the coming years), is 0.22. Please explain the difference between the two ratios, and what is considered a good ratio for the Unadjusted Dividend Cushion ratio, what is an excellent score, what is neutral and what is poor? Also, how much relative importance should … Read more

Update: Frequently Asked Questions About Valuentum Securities, Inc.

by

What is Valuentum Securities? Valuentum (val∙u∙n∙tum) [val-yoo-en-tuh-m] Securities Inc. is an independent investment research publisher, offering premium equity reports and dividend reports, as well as commentary across all sectors/companies, a Best Ideas Newsletter (spanning market caps, asset classes), a Dividend Growth Newsletter, modeling tools/products, and more. Independence and integrity remain our core, and we strive to be a champion of the investor. Valuentum is based in the Chicagoland area. Valuentum is not a money manager, broker, or financial advisor. Valuentum is a publisher of financial information. How do I subscribe to Valuentum’s investment research services? 1)    Click the following link: signup-page. 2)    Select your membership plan. 3)    Enter your contact details. 4)    Click ‘Sign Up.’ 5)    Complete your purchase. 6)   Your payment profile may be recurring, so please check … Read more

Stock Market Outlook for 2021

by

By Valuentum Analysts February 8, 2021 2020 was one for the history books. We covered our thoughts and reflections on the past year in our “2020 Won’t Soon Be Forgotten” article (link here), and now we are looking towards the future. Global health authorities should be able to bring an end to the ongoing coronavirus (‘COVID-19’) pandemic sooner than many had expected as several vaccines have already been improved for emergency use and several others appear increasingly likely to get approved. Global vaccine distribution activities are currently underway, and this should allow the world to slowly return to pre-pandemic activities. Before then, immense stimulus measures launched primarily in developed nations should support global economic activities until the public health crisis … Read more