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January 5-9: The Week That Was – Drowning in Crude

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By Brian Nelson, CFA The first full week of 2015 was a wild one! Monday and Tuesday brought some hefty losses to the indices, but the middle of the week helped recover most of the ground, only to give some of it back Friday. When all was said and done, however, the S&P 500 still closed comfortably above 2040, a huge leap from just 5-6 years ago. We’re still enjoying the good times, with economic data still coming in relatively sanguine. Like a frog in water, the markets are just waiting for the next shoe to drop, and the Federal Reserve is doing all that it can to assure investors that the Yellen-put is there to prop up the markets should … Read more

US Oil Majors

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The supply and demand imbalance of crude oil has been one of the most talked about market factors in 2015 as prices continue their downward trajectory. Unfortunately, the predictability of crude oil prices continues to fall as well. One of the the most important factors in the global supply of crude oil looking to 2016 is the developing situation in Iran. The country had indicated that it would increase its production of oil immediately following the lifting of economic sanctions from the US and EU by 500,000 barrels a day, and then potentially double that increase in the following months. While this still may be the most likely scenario, there could still be challenges to do the deal’s implementation. Some … Read more

Energy Sector In Shambles, Looks to Recover But Headwinds Persist

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Image Source: ConocoPhillips – November 2019 Analyst and Investor Meeting IR Presentation Executive Summary: Though raw energy resource pricing is on the rebound, the outlook for the oil and gas industry remains stressed. Global demand for oil and related refined petroleum products remains subdued due to headwinds generated by the ongoing coronavirus (‘COVID-19’) pandemic. The OPEC+ oil cartel has responded by pledging to keep a significant amount of oil output off the market for an extended time. However, raw energy resource prices need to go much higher and be sustained at elevated levels before the space could become attractive from a longer-term perspective. In our view, the US upstream industry (specifically those in the shale patch) need WTI to move … Read more

Assessing Reactions to Trump’s Victory

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Image Source: Gage Skidmore Donald Trump will be the 45th President of the United States of America. Let’s dig into some of the reactions across the market. We’re keeping our cool. By Kris Rosemann and Brian Nelson, CFA The global markets often don’t know what to make of surprises, a characteristic that was on full display as news came rolling in that Donald Trump would soon become the 45th President of the United States, “trumping” Secretary Hillary Clinton in a decisive electoral college victory, despite the popular vote eventually going to the Democratic candidate. In the wee hours of the morning Wednesday, November 9, major markets across the globe were in shock, showing red almost across the board. At one … Read more

US Congress Is Getting Ready to Pass a Massive ~$2.2 Trillion Fiscal Stimulus Bill

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Image Shown: US equities have started to recover some of their lost ground as the likelihood that the US Congress will pass a massive ~$2.2 trillion fiscal stimulus and emergency spending package, dubbed the CARES Act, has increased significantly over the past week as seen through the bounce in the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY). President Trump has clearly indicated that he intends to sign such a bill into law as soon as possible, with the US House of Representatives expected to take up the legislation this upcoming Friday morning on March 27. By Callum Turcan On March 25, the US Senate worked late into the night to secure a bipartisan compromise on a massive ~$2.2 trillion fiscal stimulus … Read more

Why Natural Gas Prices are So Low and Will Likely Remain So for Some Time

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Stock Market Outlook for 2021

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By Valuentum Analysts February 8, 2021 2020 was one for the history books. We covered our thoughts and reflections on the past year in our “2020 Won’t Soon Be Forgotten” article (link here), and now we are looking towards the future. Global health authorities should be able to bring an end to the ongoing coronavirus (‘COVID-19’) pandemic sooner than many had expected as several vaccines have already been improved for emergency use and several others appear increasingly likely to get approved. Global vaccine distribution activities are currently underway, and this should allow the world to slowly return to pre-pandemic activities. Before then, immense stimulus measures launched primarily in developed nations should support global economic activities until the public health crisis … Read more

ICYMI: Exxon Mobil’s Bright Growth Outlook

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This article originally appeared on our website December 8, 2021. Image Source: Exxon Mobil Corporation – December 2021 IR Presentation By Callum Turcan At the start of December 2021, Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) laid out its longer term strategy for the 2020s decade. We are going to cover that outlook, the state of the global energy complex, Exxon Mobil’s stellar and improving financial position, and what to expect going forward. Exxon Mobil is a tremendous enterprise and one of our favorite energy names out there. Outlook Overview The company noted in its early-December update that its capital expenditures would come in around ~$20-$25 billion from 2022-2027. Its investments are focused on its operations in the Permian Basin, Guyana, Brazil, its … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week of November 3

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Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending November 3. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week                          AllianceBernstein (AB): now $0.65 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.61. Amcor (AMCR): now $0.1250 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.1225. American Financial (AFG): now $1.50 per share special dividend, was $0.71. Banco Santander (SAN): now $0.085 per share semi-annual dividend, was $0.063. Black Diamond Group Limited (BDI:CA): now CAD 0.03 per share quarterly dividend, was CAD 0.02. Brixmor Property (BRX): now $0.2725 per share … Read more

Valuentum Exclusive Yearly Round Up

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Select the following link to access the Annual Exclusive Call. Select HERE to Access the Exclusive Call Recording ———- Transcript Provided Below. President of Investment Research Brian Nelson: Ladies and Gentlemen, Thank you for your attendance. Today marks three years since we first launched the Exclusive publication. The Exclusive is our premiere offering for sophisticated investors and builds upon our successes of the past, not only in establishing one of the first methodologies that successfully blends enterprise valuation with behavioral valuation and technical and momentum indicators, but also in making such a process available to individuals, financial advisors and institutional investors in full transparency. The Exclusive publication is in many ways an extension of the strong performance of both the … Read more