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Top Research and Ideas You May Have Missed

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Is Quant Value Giving Intrinsic Value Investors a Bad Name? Surely, you don’t believe Warren Buffett’s “style” is out of favor? By Brian Nelson, CFA I need to make sure that you’re aware of something very important. The media and perhaps many investment professionals define the concept of “value” as companies with low price-to-book (P/B) ratios, and the concept of “growth” as companies with high price-to-book ratios. This definition of “value” and “growth” and their corresponding returns have been magnified in writings throughout the media and across quantitative research, even in prestigious journals. Warren Buffett has been rallying against most quantitative applications and how “growth” and “value” are defined in popular media and quantitative research for decades.  Here’s one of the Oracle’s most … Read more

2,350-2,750 on the S&P? Could the Coronavirus Catalyze a Financial Crisis?

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Image: We think a rather modest sell-off in the market to the target range of 2,350-2,750 on the S&P 500 is rather reasonable in the wake of one of the biggest economic shocks since the Global Financial Crisis. The chart above shows how far markets have advanced since 2011, and an adjustment lower to the target range of 2,350-2,750 is rather modest in such a context and would only bring markets to late 2018 levels (note red box as the target range). The range reflects ~16x S&P 500 12-month forward earnings estimates, as of February 14, adjusted down 10% due to COVID-19. When companies like Visa talk about a couple percentage points taken off of growth rates, one knows that … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week January 29

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Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending January 29. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week 1st Source (SRCE): now $0.29 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.28. Air Products and Chemicals (APD): now $1.50 per share quarterly dividend, was $1.34. Allegiance Bancshares (ABTX): now $0.12 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.10. Anthem (ANTM): now $1.13 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.95. Apartment Income REIT (AIRC): now $0.43 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.41. Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM): now $0.37 per share quarterly dividend, was … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week Ending May 8

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Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending May 8. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week Agree Realty (ADC): now $0.60 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.58. Algonquin Power & Utilities (AQN): now $0.1551 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.1410. Ameriprise Financial (AMP): now $1.04 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.97. B2Gold (BTG): now $0.02 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.01. Baxter (BAX): now $0.245 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.220. Brookfield Infrastructure (BIPC): now $0.485 per share quarterly dividend. Century Next … Read more

Stock Market Outlook for 2021

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By Valuentum Analysts February 8, 2021 2020 was one for the history books. We covered our thoughts and reflections on the past year in our “2020 Won’t Soon Be Forgotten” article (link here), and now we are looking towards the future. Global health authorities should be able to bring an end to the ongoing coronavirus (‘COVID-19’) pandemic sooner than many had expected as several vaccines have already been improved for emergency use and several others appear increasingly likely to get approved. Global vaccine distribution activities are currently underway, and this should allow the world to slowly return to pre-pandemic activities. Before then, immense stimulus measures launched primarily in developed nations should support global economic activities until the public health crisis … Read more

Why Analytical Experience Matters

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Risky industrial cyclicals and recovering banks were the theme behind Bloomberg’s Dividend Tip Sheet, released June 18. We applaud the news outlet’s efforts to put together such a list, but a quick look speaks to the importance of focusing on sustained dividend growth – not just growth alone. A number of these firms will likely fall short of their dividend growth targets in coming years, and some—namely the airlines—will likely have to retract dividend payments within the next decade or so. Income investors have the dual need of income and growth, and this list is lacking in the former. Most constituents on this list yield less than 2%, and out of the four that yield greater than 2% (on a … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week Ending May 10

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Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending May 10. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week A&W Revenue Royalties Income Fund (AWRRF): now CAD 0.154 per share monthly dividend, was CAD 0.147. Algonquin Power & Utilities (AQN): now $0.141 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.1282. ALPS Alerian Energy Infrastructure ETF (ENFR): now $0.28753 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.25892. Atlantica Yield (AY): now $0.39 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.37. Arbor Realty Trust (ABR): now $0.28 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.27. … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week Ending May 6

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Below we provide a list of firms that raised/lowered their dividends during the week ending May 6. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week Agree Realty Corporation (ADC): now $0.48 per share quarterly dividend, was$0.465. American Campus Communities (ACC): now $0.42 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.40. AMG Advanced Metallurgical Group NV (AMVMF): now €0.11 per share semi-annual dividend, was €0.10. Ardmore Shipping (ASC): now $0.16 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.13. Artesian Resources Corporation (ARTNA): now $0.2249 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.2216. Bank Mutual Corporation (BKMU): now $0.055 … Read more

US Congress Is Getting Ready to Pass a Massive ~$2.2 Trillion Fiscal Stimulus Bill

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Image Shown: US equities have started to recover some of their lost ground as the likelihood that the US Congress will pass a massive ~$2.2 trillion fiscal stimulus and emergency spending package, dubbed the CARES Act, has increased significantly over the past week as seen through the bounce in the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY). President Trump has clearly indicated that he intends to sign such a bill into law as soon as possible, with the US House of Representatives expected to take up the legislation this upcoming Friday morning on March 27. By Callum Turcan On March 25, the US Senate worked late into the night to secure a bipartisan compromise on a massive ~$2.2 trillion fiscal stimulus … Read more

The Best Years Are Ahead

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By Brian Nelson, CFA — The wind is at our backs. — The Federal Reserve, Treasury, and regulatory bodies of the U.S. may have no choice but to keep U.S. markets moving higher. The likelihood of the S&P 500 reaching 2,000 ever again seems remote, and I would not be surprised to see 5,000 on the S&P 500 before we see 2,500-3,000, if the latter may be in the cards. The S&P 500 is trading at ~4,100 at the time of this writing. — The high end of our fair value range on the S&P 500 remains just shy of 4,000, but I foresee a massive shift in long-term capital out of traditional bonds into equities this decade (and markets … Read more