SPKE

ICYMI: Valuentum’s Brian Nelson on the Latest Howard Marks’ Memo: “Something of Value”

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Valuentum’s President of Investment Research Brian Michael Nelson, CFA, explains why there are not really value and growth stocks, why most of the research in quantitative finance is spurious and needs to be redefined on a forward-looking basis, and why enterprise valuation (not the efficient markets hypothesis) should be the organizing principle of finance. Nelson explains his views about valuation, what it means to be a value investor, and investing in the context of Oaktree Capital Howard Marks’ latest memo, “Something of Value,” January 11, 2021. Please don’t forget to give the second edition of the book “Value Trap” a 5-star rating on Amazon here. Thank you for your membership! —– Tickerized for holdings in the IWM. Valuentum members have … Read more

Value Is Not Static and the Qualitative Overlay Is Vital to Our Process

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With prudence and care, the Valuentum Buying Index process and its components are carried out. Our analyst team spends most of its time thinking about the intrinsic value of companies within the context of a discounted cash-flow model and evaluating the risk profile of a company’s revenue model. We have checks and balances, too. First, we use a fair value range in our valuation approach as we embrace the very important concept that value is a range and not a point estimate. A relative value overlay as the second pillar helps to add conviction in the discounted cash-flow process, while a technical and momentum overlay seeks to provide confirmation in all of the valuation work. There’s a lot happening behind the scenes even before a VBI rating is published, but it will always be just one factor to consider. Within any process, of course, we value the human, qualitative overlay, which captures a wealth of experience and common sense. We strive to surface our best ideas for members.

Analysis of Spark Energy (SPKE) and Brighthouse Financial (BHF)

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Let’s talk about an extremely risky microcap energy equity, Spark Equity, and a unique potential value opportunity in the insurance business–Brighthouse Financial, the spinoff of Metlife. By Kris Rosemann Spark Energy Spark Energy (SPKE) operates as an independent retail energy services firm, providing an alternate choice for natural gas and electricity delivery in certain competitive markets. The company purchases energy from wholesale energy providers and delivers the energy to local regulated utilities for distribution via their existing infrastructure. Such an operating model exposes it to material commodity price risk, as its profitability is dependent on its ability to identify attractive markets in which to compete, as well as the price it pays for energy from wholesale providers. This operating model … Read more

Dividend Increases for the Week Ending February 20

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Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending February 20. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week Analog Devices (ADI):  $0.40 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.37. Argo Group (AGII): now $0.20 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.18. Autoliv (ALV): now $0.56 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.54. Coca-Cola (KO): now $0.33 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.305. Colgate-Palmolive (CL): now $0.38 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.36. Corrections Corporation of America (CXW): now $0.54 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.51. CVR Partners … Read more

Stock Market Outlook for 2021

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By Valuentum Analysts February 8, 2021 2020 was one for the history books. We covered our thoughts and reflections on the past year in our “2020 Won’t Soon Be Forgotten” article (link here), and now we are looking towards the future. Global health authorities should be able to bring an end to the ongoing coronavirus (‘COVID-19’) pandemic sooner than many had expected as several vaccines have already been improved for emergency use and several others appear increasingly likely to get approved. Global vaccine distribution activities are currently underway, and this should allow the world to slowly return to pre-pandemic activities. Before then, immense stimulus measures launched primarily in developed nations should support global economic activities until the public health crisis … Read more