ICYMI: Valuentum’s Brian Nelson on the Latest Howard Marks’ Memo: “Something of Value”

Valuentum’s President of Investment Research Brian Michael Nelson, CFA, explains why there are not really value and growth stocks, why most of the research in quantitative finance is spurious and needs to be redefined on a forward-looking basis, and why enterprise valuation (not the efficient markets hypothesis) should be the organizing principle of finance. Nelson explains his views about valuation, what it means to be a value investor, and investing in the context of Oaktree Capital Howard Marks’ latest memo, “Something of Value,” January 11, 2021. Please don’t forget to give the second edition of the book “Value Trap” a 5-star rating on Amazon here. Thank you for your membership! —– Tickerized for holdings in the IWM. Valuentum members have … Read more

Value Is Not Static and the Qualitative Overlay Is Vital to Our Process

With prudence and care, the Valuentum Buying Index process and its components are carried out. Our analyst team spends most of its time thinking about the intrinsic value of companies within the context of a discounted cash-flow model and evaluating the risk profile of a company’s revenue model. We have checks and balances, too. First, we use a fair value range in our valuation approach as we embrace the very important concept that value is a range and not a point estimate. A relative value overlay as the second pillar helps to add conviction in the discounted cash-flow process, while a technical and momentum overlay seeks to provide confirmation in all of the valuation work. There’s a lot happening behind the scenes even before a VBI rating is published, but it will always be just one factor to consider. Within any process, of course, we value the human, qualitative overlay, which captures a wealth of experience and common sense. We strive to surface our best ideas for members.

Podcast: The Hazards of Mortgage REITs

President of Investment Research Brian Nelson talks mortgage REITs and the concept of spread risk that may lead to steep book value declines and weakened dividend health across the industry. ~5 mins. If you cannot view the video below, please view the transcript that follows or select the link here. Kris Rosemann: Hi, I am Kris Rosemann for Valuentum Securities. Today on our podcast President of Investment Research Brian Nelson is going walk us through some of our thoughts on mortgage REITs (REM). Brian could you explain to us why we at Valuentum don’t like mortgage REITs and maybe go through some of the risks individual investors should be concerned with that are not as prevalent as a normal operating … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week Ending September 18

Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending September 18. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week Artesian Resources (ARTNA): now $0.2216 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.2183. Blackstone Mortgage Trust (BXMT): now $0.62 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.52. Citizens Financial Services (CZFS): now $0.41 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.405. Elmer Bancorp, Inc. (ELMA): now $0.33 per share semi-annual dividend, was $0.32. The First of Long Island (FLIC): now $0.20 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.19. Golden Enterprise (GLDC): now $0.03375 … Read more

Dividend Increases for the Week Ending December 19

Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending December 19. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week 3M (MMM): now $1.025 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.855. AES (AES): now $0.10 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.05. Amgen (AMGN): now $0.79 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.61. Andersons (ANDE): now $0.14 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.11. Apollo Residential Mortgage (AMTG): now $0.45 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.44. AT&T (T): now $0.47 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.46. Balchem (BCPC): now $0.30 … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week Ending September 19

Below we provide a list of firms that raised/lowered their dividends during the week ending September 19. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week Apollo Residential Mortgage (AMTG): now $0.44 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.42. Artesian Resources (ARTNA): now $0.2151 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.2119. Atlantic Tele-Network (ATNI): now $0.29 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.27. Blackstone Mortgage (BXMT): now $0.50 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.48. Covanta (CVA): now $0.25 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.18. Covidien (COV): now $0.36 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.32. Elmer … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week of July 26

Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending July 26. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week                          1st Source (SRCE): now $0.36 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.34. Artisan Partners Asset Management (APAM): now $0.71 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.61. AstraZeneca (AZN): now $1.000 per share interim dividend, was $0.985. Bank of America (BAC): now $0.26 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.24. Bank7 (BSVN): now $0.24 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.21. British American Tobacco (BTI): now 58.88p per share … Read more

Stock Market Outlook for 2021

By Valuentum Analysts February 8, 2021 2020 was one for the history books. We covered our thoughts and reflections on the past year in our “2020 Won’t Soon Be Forgotten” article (link here), and now we are looking towards the future. Global health authorities should be able to bring an end to the ongoing coronavirus (‘COVID-19’) pandemic sooner than many had expected as several vaccines have already been improved for emergency use and several others appear increasingly likely to get approved. Global vaccine distribution activities are currently underway, and this should allow the world to slowly return to pre-pandemic activities. Before then, immense stimulus measures launched primarily in developed nations should support global economic activities until the public health crisis … Read more