Mortgage REITs Feeling the Pain

We published our extensive bear thesis on the mortgage REIT industry Monday–‘The Mortgage REIT Business Doesn’t Work…‘–, and when the markets opened for trading Tuesday, the entire mREIT group came under intense selling pressure, with American Capital Agency (AGNC) leading the charge lower. Key moves: American Capital Agency (-4.73%), Annaly (NLY -3.47%), Two Harbors (TWO -2.87%), Anworth (ANH -2.08%), Western Asset (WMC -3.75%), Apollo Residential (AMTG -5.43%), Invesco (IVR -4.22%), MFA Financial (MFA -2.2%). The 10-year Treasury added another 14 basis points today (2.15%), while the 30-year Treasury added 13 basis points (3.31%)–source. The primary driver behind our negative thesis on the mortgage REITs rests on the continuation of higher interest rates, and the eroding of the group’s net asset value via net unrealized losses (negative OCI) … Read more

The Mortgage REIT Business Doesn’t Work…

Key Takeaways: ·         The good times are over for mortgage REITs. o       Mortgage market dynamics are inherently difficult to predict. o       A flatter yield curve has negatively impacted net interest rate spread income across the entire mortgage REIT universe. We’re already seeing deteriorating gross ROE’s from some of the largest industry constituents. o       The Fed has only caused a marginal tightening in mortgage spreads, and in our view, a marginal widening due to reduced Fed activity (if/when it happens) is perhaps the best-case scenario as it relates to spread income for the group. A continuation of spread tightening is likely the base-case scenario, which is negative for the group. o       Net interest rate spread income and gross ROE’s will only be materially enhanced … Read more

Stock Market Outlook for 2021

By Valuentum Analysts February 8, 2021 2020 was one for the history books. We covered our thoughts and reflections on the past year in our “2020 Won’t Soon Be Forgotten” article (link here), and now we are looking towards the future. Global health authorities should be able to bring an end to the ongoing coronavirus (‘COVID-19’) pandemic sooner than many had expected as several vaccines have already been improved for emergency use and several others appear increasingly likely to get approved. Global vaccine distribution activities are currently underway, and this should allow the world to slowly return to pre-pandemic activities. Before then, immense stimulus measures launched primarily in developed nations should support global economic activities until the public health crisis … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week February 26

Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending February 26. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week Acushnet (GOLF): now $0.165 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.155. Alamos Gold (AGI): now $0.025 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.02. Albemarle (ALB): now $0.39 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.385. Allstate (ALL): now $0.81 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.54. Alumina (AWCMF): now $0.029 per share semi-annual dividend, was $0.028. American Homes 4 Rent (AMH): now $0.10 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.05. AMERISAFE (AMSF): … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week Ending October 4

Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending October 4. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week American Financial (AFG): now $0.45 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.40. Bank OZK (OZK): now $0.25 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.24. BlackRock Core Bond Trust (BHK): now $0.0676 per share monthly dividend, was $0.06. BlackRock Corporate High Yield Fund (HYT): now $0.0779 per share monthly dividend, was $0.072. BlackRock Credit Allocation Income Trust IV (BTZ): now $0.0839 per share monthly dividend, was $0.067. BlackRock Debt … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week Ending December 20

Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending December 20. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week ABM Industries (ABM): now $0.185 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.180. ALPS Cohen & Steers Global Realty Majors ETF (GRI): now $0.5113 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.2705. ALPS ETF Trust – ALPS Equal Sector Weight ETF (EQL): now $0.4789 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.3609. ALPS ETF Trust – ALPS International Sector Dividend Dogs ETF (IDOG): now $0.5014 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.167. ALPS … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week Ending March 20

Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending March 20. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week ALPS ETF Trust – ALPS Sector Dividend Dogs ETF (SDOG): now $0.4614 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.4196. ALPS ETF Trust – ALPS Equal Sector Weight ETF (EQL): now $0.6360 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.4789. ALPS ETF Trust – Cohen & Steers Global Realty Majors ETF (RDOG): now $0.6844 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.5113. Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc. (PINE): now $0.20 per share … Read more