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S&P 500 Poised to Make New Highs…Again?

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The equity markets have welcomed a strong earnings season thus far, but valuation risk and tail uncertainties remain, not the least of which is the possibility of failed tax reform in the US. By Brian Nelson, CFA Money is cheap, and investors are partying like its 1999 all over again. The latest move on the trading vehicle for the S&P 500, the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) is yet again approaching new highs. We like the ongoing momentum in the stock market, something that we outlined in our “shocking” predictions for 2017, but we continue to reiterate our cautious stance, not only with respect to underlying valuations but also as it relates to the possibility of failed tax reform in … Read more

US Congress Is Getting Ready to Pass a Massive ~$2.2 Trillion Fiscal Stimulus Bill

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Image Shown: US equities have started to recover some of their lost ground as the likelihood that the US Congress will pass a massive ~$2.2 trillion fiscal stimulus and emergency spending package, dubbed the CARES Act, has increased significantly over the past week as seen through the bounce in the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY). President Trump has clearly indicated that he intends to sign such a bill into law as soon as possible, with the US House of Representatives expected to take up the legislation this upcoming Friday morning on March 27. By Callum Turcan On March 25, the US Senate worked late into the night to secure a bipartisan compromise on a massive ~$2.2 trillion fiscal stimulus … Read more

Alphabet (Google) and Amazon Continue to Power Ahead

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Image Shown: Shares of Alphabet Inc Class C surged higher in after-hours trading on February 2 after the digital advertising giant reported a stellar fourth-quarter 2020 earnings report. We continue to be big fans of the name and include shares of GOOG as a top-weighting holding in the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio. By Callum Turcan On February 2, both Alphabet Inc (GOOG) (GOOGL) and Amazon Inc (AMZN) surprised the market to the upside, but not us. We’ve been huge fans of large cap growth, big cap tech, and the NASDAQ for some time now. In this note, we cover Alphabet’s earnings report. The company is one of our favorite tech giants and a holding in the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio. … Read more

Alert: Removing Coach; Talking Buffett, Unemployment, and Stock Market Valuations

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Image Source: DonkeyHotey There are four takeaways from this piece you must know. We’re removing Coach from the Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio, Buffett may no longer be against paying a dividend at Berkshire, US unemployment now stands at 4.4%, and market valuations remain frothy. By Brian Nelson, CFA In the financial world, Berkshire Hathaway’s (BRK.A, BRK.B) annual shareholder meeting probably received the most attention the first weekend of May, and we continue to be content with including shares of the Oracle of Omaha’s brainchild in the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio. Mr. Buffett, however, seems to be open to more and more ideas as the years go by, with him more recently stating that he’s no longer against paying a dividend. … Read more

8 Announcements and Top Research You May Have Missed

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8 Announcements. This article was sent to members via email March 27. By Brian Nelson, CFA Hi everyone, Brian here. Trust you are doing great! Here are eight announcements I want you to be aware of: Everything we do is for our members. We’re very proud of the outperformance of the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio, that we’ve never had a dividend cut in the Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio, that our high-yield ideas are holding up very well, and the success rates of the Exclusive capital-appreciation ideas and short-idea considerations are running at approximately 80%. We’re proud to be your research partner. The odds of a Fed rate cut are going up as yield-curve inversion continues to threaten. The risks are more behavioral in … Read more

Stock Market Outlook for 2021

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By Valuentum Analysts February 8, 2021 2020 was one for the history books. We covered our thoughts and reflections on the past year in our “2020 Won’t Soon Be Forgotten” article (link here), and now we are looking towards the future. Global health authorities should be able to bring an end to the ongoing coronavirus (‘COVID-19’) pandemic sooner than many had expected as several vaccines have already been improved for emergency use and several others appear increasingly likely to get approved. Global vaccine distribution activities are currently underway, and this should allow the world to slowly return to pre-pandemic activities. Before then, immense stimulus measures launched primarily in developed nations should support global economic activities until the public health crisis … Read more

The Impact of the US Housing Recovery Cannot Be Underestimated

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Valuentum reveals the far-reaching implications of a strengthening US housing market.

There Is Milk At The Store

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This article first appeared in the September edition of the High Yield Dividend Newsletter. For more information about this publication, please see here. “Now this is not the end. It is not even the beginning of the end. But it is, perhaps, the end of the beginning.” — Winston Churchill By Brian Nelson, CFA Very few of us could have imagined that we’d witness the bull market that began on that fateful day in March 2009 that might very well mark a generational low. In 2009, major investment banks around the globe were struggling to survive, and the fallout in the mortgage markets left the banks holding paper that nobody wanted to own, let alone buy. The global financial system … Read more