Value Is Not Static and the Qualitative Overlay Is Vital to Our Process

With prudence and care, the Valuentum Buying Index process and its components are carried out. Our analyst team spends most of its time thinking about the intrinsic value of companies within the context of a discounted cash-flow model and evaluating the risk profile of a company’s revenue model. We have checks and balances, too. First, we use a fair value range in our valuation approach as we embrace the very important concept that value is a range and not a point estimate. A relative value overlay as the second pillar helps to add conviction in the discounted cash-flow process, while a technical and momentum overlay seeks to provide confirmation in all of the valuation work. There’s a lot happening behind the scenes even before a VBI rating is published, but it will always be just one factor to consider. Within any process, of course, we value the human, qualitative overlay, which captures a wealth of experience and common sense. We strive to surface our best ideas for members.

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week Ending June 26

Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending June 26. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week Andlauer Healthcare Group Inc. (ANDHF): now $0.05 per share quarterly dividend. ARMOUR Residential REIT (ARR): now $0.10 per share monthly dividend, was $0.09. AT&T 4.750% PFD SER C (T.PC): now $0.2969 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.2408. Delmar Bancorp (DBCP): now $0.025 per share dividend. Deswell Industries (DSWL): now $0.09 per share semi-annual dividend, was $0.08. Dynex Capital, Inc. 6.9% Series C PFD (DX.PC): now $0.4313 … Read more

Resetting Your Mental Model

Image Source: affen ajlfe A version of this article was originally published on our website October 6, 2013. Having the right mental model and using the right information can be the reason why you win or lose in investing. “What is the definition of timeliness? Many believe it is getting information to investors as quickly as possible after an event, or updating something every single day or week for immaterial information. I believe in a different definition of timeliness. I believe timeliness is using all information available in a mosaic approach to accurately predict the event before it even happens. Take Kinder Morgan as the latest example. We were the only ones predicting what was going to happen before it did. To investors, … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week Ending June 14

Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending June 14. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week Andrew Peller (ADWPF): now $0.215 per share annual dividend on Class A shares, was $0.205. Blackstone/GSO Long-Short Credit Income Fund (BGX): now $0.122 per share monthly dividend, was $0.115. Blackstone/GSO Strategic Credit Fund (BGB): now $0.114 per share monthly dividend, was $0.109. Capstead Mortgage (CMO): now $0.12 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.08. Caseys General Stores (CASY): now $0.32 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.29. Cherry … Read more

Our Reports on Stocks in the Shipping Industry

Image Source: Airviews Photography Structure of the Shipping Industry The shipping industry is cyclical with extreme volatility in charter hire rates and profitability. The degree of charter hire rate volatility among different types of dry bulk vessels also varies wildly. The Baltic Dry Index (BDI), the daily average of charter rates in selected shipping routes, is viewed as the benchmark to monitor the movements of the charter market and performance of the entire dry bulk shipping market. Cargo shipments and trade financing for the purchase of commodities carried by sea are key drivers of demand. We don’t like the industry at all given its largely unpredictable pricing dynamics. We no longer publish reports on stocks in the Shipping industry. << … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week Ending June 29

Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending June 29. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week Camden National (CAC): now $0.30 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.25. Citigroup (C): now $0.45 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.32. Computer Services (CSVI): now $0.36 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.31. Discover Financial Services (DFS): now $0.40 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.35. First Bancorp (FNLC): now $0.29 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.24. Glacier Bancorp (GBCI): now $0.26 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.23. … Read more

ICYMI: Valuentum’s Improved Stock and ETF Web Pages

Valuentum has rolled out improved stock and ETF web pages on its website valuentum.com/. Now, subscribers can access key proprietary information on the stock and ETF web pages in addition to the customary stock and ETF reports. Dear reader, We have some exciting news that we can’t wait to share with you! At valuentum.com/, we have rolled out new stock and ETF pages that conveniently include a variety of our proprietary metrics from the Dividend Cushion ratio to the Economic Castle rating and beyond! There’s even mouseover functionality so you can learn about how we define the key metrics across our stock-selection and dividend growth methodologies. You’ll still have access to the stock and dividend reports on the landing pages, … Read more

Video: Quants! You’re NOT Measuring VALUE and Nelson’s Theory of Universal Value

President of Investment Research Brian Nelson defines the concept of universal value and shows how quantitative statistical methods are inextricably linked to those of fundamental, financial, business-model related analysis. Value does not exist in respective process vacuums! Value is universal. Find out why. Running time: ~10 minutes.  Tickerized for Valuentum’s stock and ETF coverage universe. Transcript Hi this is Brian Nelson from Valuentum Securities, and this is the tenth edition of a series that I call “Off the Cuff,” where I get in front of the camera and I talk for ten minutes. This is what we have to talk about today. We have to talk about this concept: The Theory of Universal Value. Value does not exist in vacuums … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week Ending June 30

Below we provide a list of firms that raised/lowered their dividends during the week ending June 30. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week 8point3 Energy Partners (CAFD): now $0.2642 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.2565. China Southern Airlines (ZNH): now $0.638 per share annual dividend, was $0.53. Commerce Union Bancshares (CUBN): now $0.06 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.055. Darden Restaurants (DRI): now $0.63 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.56. First Bancorp (FNLC): now $0.24 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.23. General Mills (GIS): now $0.49 per share quarterly … Read more

Valuentum’s 3 Breakthroughs in the Field of Finance and More

Valuentum’s President Brian Nelson pauses for a picture before speaking at the CFA Society of Houston in March 2017. By Valuentum Editorial Staff Let’s cover Valuentum’s 3 major breakthroughs in the field of finance. The first one is big and may challenge you to rethink everything you think you know about investing. 1. On a logical framework, Valuentum has debunked John C. Bogle’s landmark syllogism that has paved the way for the concept of index investing. Index investing has been built on a logical shortcoming, whether supported by evidence or not. We think it is important that the investment community know of this. Read (pdf): The “Luck” and “Randomness” of Index Funds (2018), Brian Nelson, CFA See video documentation: /FALLACY_of_Index_Funds To … Read more