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Video: Quants! You’re NOT Measuring VALUE and Nelson’s Theory of Universal Value

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President of Investment Research Brian Nelson defines the concept of universal value and shows how quantitative statistical methods are inextricably linked to those of fundamental, financial, business-model related analysis. Value does not exist in respective process vacuums! Value is universal. Find out why. Running time: ~10 minutes.  Tickerized for Valuentum’s stock and ETF coverage universe. Transcript Hi this is Brian Nelson from Valuentum Securities, and this is the tenth edition of a series that I call “Off the Cuff,” where I get in front of the camera and I talk for ten minutes. This is what we have to talk about today. We have to talk about this concept: The Theory of Universal Value. Value does not exist in vacuums … Read more

Our Reports on Stocks in the Book Publishing Industry

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Structure of the Book Publishing Industry Firms in the book publishing industry compete primarily on the basis of quality and price. Rivals include numerous book, ebook, textbook, library, reference material, and Internet resellers. Industry constituents can carve out advantages by offering a comprehensive offering, as in the case of Scholastic’s suite of reading intervention products and services. Still, firms are subject to rapid changes in consumer preferences, especially within the ebook market, which is just beginning to take shape. We’re neutral on the group’s structure. Please click on a company name below to view the corresponding equity report. << Our Dividend Reports

Valuentum’s 3 Breakthroughs in the Field of Finance and More

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Valuentum’s President Brian Nelson pauses for a picture before speaking at the CFA Society of Houston in March 2017. By Valuentum Editorial Staff Let’s cover Valuentum’s 3 major breakthroughs in the field of finance. The first one is big and may challenge you to rethink everything you think you know about investing. 1. On a logical framework, Valuentum has debunked John C. Bogle’s landmark syllogism that has paved the way for the concept of index investing. Index investing has been built on a logical shortcoming, whether supported by evidence or not. We think it is important that the investment community know of this. Read (pdf): The “Luck” and “Randomness” of Index Funds (2018), Brian Nelson, CFA See video documentation: /FALLACY_of_Index_Funds To … Read more

Fair Value Estimate Changes: Facebook, Twitter, Caterpillar and More…

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  By Kris Rosemann and Brian Nelson, CFA Let’s begin this edition of Recent Material Fair Value Estimate Changes’ with a discussion of some of the highest-profile names that made the list. If you require background reading on why we make changes to our valuation models, please see: What causes fair value estimates to change? Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio holding Facebook (FB) continues to separate itself from other social media companies, and we continue to be impressed by its free cash flow generating prowess and net cash-rich balance sheet. Our most recent fair value estimate increase comes largely as a result of greater optimism regarding the sustainability of the company’s pace of revenue growth, reflected by a hike in our mid-cycle … Read more

For-Profit Education Stocks Don’t Make the Grade

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The Valuentum analyst team discusses the challenges many for-profit institutions face, the growing student loan problem, and hopes for a less-stringent regulatory environment during the Trump administration. The team’s favorite idea in the space is also revealed. ~8 mins. If you cannot view the podcast below, please select the link or view the transcript below. Brian Nelson, CFA: According to a recent article by the Wall Street Journal, “more than 40% of Americans who borrowed from the government’s main student-loan program aren’t making payments or are behind on more than $200 billion owed.” How much is $200 billion? To put that number in perspective, it equates to wiping the entire equity value of a global bank like JP Morgan (JPM) completely … Read more

Brexit: Secession Bells Are Ringing!

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First Baptist Church in Columbia, S.C., where the first secession convention in the United States opened on Dec. 17, 1860. Source: Library of Congress, Washington, DC. Photo. Encyclopædia Britannica Online. Web. 24 Jun. 2016. Global markets are plunging, and the implosion may still be in the early innings. Market valuations remain stretched among stagnant global economic growth, and “Brexit” may be the catalyst for a correction. In the paraphrased words of the well-known The Day of the Jackal author, Frederick Forsyth: the peasants have spoken. On June 23, the UK (EWU) held a referendum, in which anyone of voting age could take part, to decide whether the country should leave the European Union. The turnout was incredible at nearly 72%, and … Read more

Valuentum Economic Castleâ„¢ Rating Update

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Read: Keeping the Horse Before the Cart: Valuentum’s Economic Castle™ Rating The Economic Castle Focuses on the Magnitude of Economic Value Creation The Valuentum Economic Castle™ rating is an enhancement of the competitive advantage framework (commonly known as economic moat analysis) that has become widespread and ubiquitous within the investing world. Whereas an economic moat framework evaluates a firm on the basis of the sustainability and durability of its competitive advantages, Valuentum’s Economic Castle™ rating evaluates a firm on the basis of the firm’s future economic profit spread (return on invested capital less its weighted average cost of capital). The companies with the strongest Valuentum Economic Castle™ ratings are poised to generate the most economic value for shareholders in the … Read more

Nelson: The 16 Most Important Steps To Understand The Stock Market

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A previous version of this article appeared on our website July 21, 2013. Refreshed and updated throughout, as of July 2018. By Brian Nelson, CFA After earning my MBA at the University of Chicago Booth School of Business and training stock and credit analysts from large organizations over the past decade or so, I have heard just about every question (though I admit I am still surprised by many things and remain a very humble student of the markets). I’ve also spent years perfecting the discounted cash flow process for large research organizations such as Morningstar and studied under one of the most famed aggressive growth investors of all time, Richard Driehaus. My knowledge runs the gamut from value through … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week of August 12

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Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending August 12. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week                AirSculpt Technologies (AIRS): now $0.41 per share special dividend. Alpha Metallurgical (AMR): now $0.392 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.375. Badger Meter (BMI): now $0.225 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.20. Barclays (BCS): now $0.105 per share semi-annual dividend, was 4.0p. Barnwell (BRN): now $0.015 per share dividend. Berry (BRY): now $0.62 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.06. Broadridge Financial Solutions (BR): now $0.725 per … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week of August 11

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Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending August 11. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week                          AdvanSix (ASIX): now $0.16 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.14. Annaly Capital Management, Inc. PFD SER G (NLY.PG): now $0.6136 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.4062. Annaly Capital Management 6.95% PFD SER F (NLY.PF): now $0.6582 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.6345. Ashtead Group plc (ASHTY): now $0.85 per share interim dividend, was $0.55. AstraZeneca (AZN): now $0.93 per share interim dividend, was $0.465. … Read more