Our Reports on Stocks in the Biotech Industry

Image Source: Celgene This listing has been discontinued. Please view the following links for our work on pharmaceutical stocks: Pharmaceuticals – Big: ABBV, ABT, AMGN, AZN, BMY, GSK, LLY, MRK, NVO, NVS, PFE, SNY Pharmaceuticals – Biotech/Generic: ALXN, AGN, BIIB, BMRN, CELG, GILD, MYL, REGN, TEVA, VRX, VRTX, ZTS Structure of the Biotechnology Industry Firms in the biotechnology industry face no certain future. Drug development is complex, difficult, and risky, and failure rates are high. Product development cycles are extended—approximately 10 to 15 years from discovery to market. A potential new medicine must undergo years of testing to establish safety/efficacy. Sales depend on reimbursement from third-party payers. Competition can be fierce when biosimilar products exist, though patents are material competitive advantages. We like the group on the … Read more

Big Pharma Round Up

Though much has been made about the patent cliff—shorthand for the expiration of the patents of a large number of drugs over a short period of time—we continue to believe that pipelines across much of the pharmaceutical space are flush with new drugs and therapies. Readers may have an individual favorite or two (or three) within the space (and there’s nothing wrong with that), but we think one of the best ways for investors to play the strong pipelines across the healthcare sector—and ongoing consolidation—is through the Health Care Select SPDR ETF (XLV), a holding in the Best Ideas portfolio. The ETF boasts Johnson & Johnson (JNJ), Pfizer (PFE), Merck (MRK), Gilead Sciences (GILD), and AbbVie (ABBV) as its top … Read more

Valuentum Economic Castleâ„¢ Rating Update

Read: Keeping the Horse Before the Cart: Valuentum’s Economic Castle™ Rating The Economic Castle Focuses on the Magnitude of Economic Value Creation The Valuentum Economic Castle™ rating is an enhancement of the competitive advantage framework (commonly known as economic moat analysis) that has become widespread and ubiquitous within the investing world. Whereas an economic moat framework evaluates a firm on the basis of the sustainability and durability of its competitive advantages, Valuentum’s Economic Castle™ rating evaluates a firm on the basis of the firm’s future economic profit spread (return on invested capital less its weighted average cost of capital). The companies with the strongest Valuentum Economic Castle™ ratings are poised to generate the most economic value for shareholders in the … Read more

Surveying Fourth Quarter Earnings at Health Care Firms

The broader equity markets have been under pressure for much of January, and while it may be tempting to consider completely exiting stock investing for a time, we’re staying the course with both of our actively-managed portfolios. We had been expecting a contraction in price-to-earnings (P/E) multiples across the broader market (see our outlook here), and the performance thus far in 2014 has not been surprising. In case you may have missed it, I sent out some very important thoughts over the weekend to keep in mind as uncertainty and volatility increase through the course of 2014: Stay focused on @Valuentum portfolio holdings (best ideas), #asset allocation (cash) in portfolios and #prudence in allocating new capital. — Brian Nelson, CFA … Read more

Dividend Increases for the Week Ending October 11

Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends for the week ending October 11. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports, please click here (or use our ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header). Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week Genesis Energy, LP (GEL): now $0.5225 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.51. Hospitality Properties Trust (HPT): now $0.48 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.47. Johnson Outdoors (JOUT): now $0.075 per share quarterly dividend (first ever dividend). Questcor Pharmaceuticals (QCOR): now $0.30 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.25. RPM International (RPM): now $0.24 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.225. Select Income REIT (SIR): now $0.46 … Read more

Three Very Good Questions From Members

Q: Why do you use a risk free rate assumption of 4.25% when the current spot rate of the 10-year Treasury is about 2%? In our discounted cash-flow models that we use to value every non-financial operating company in our coverage universe, we match the duration of future free cash flows (from year 1 to perpetuity) with expectations of the average discount rate over this forecast horizon (from year 1 to perpetuity). We think the best way to achieve expectations of the long-term future average rate of the 10-year Treasury (risk free rate) is to use the weighted average of the historical 10-year Treasury and the current spot rate. The goal of using a weighted average risk free rate in … Read more