MAIN

The Mortgage Refinancing Boom Could Be Ending

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Early Wednesday morning, the Mortgage Banker’s Association (MBA) announced that refinancing activity declined 20% from one week earlier. Adjusted for the Labor Day weekend, total mortgage applications dropped 13.5% from the previous week. Consistent with the dramatic upward movement in interest rates, refinancing activity is down 71% since it peaked during the week of May 3, 2013. Why Do We Monitoring Refinancing Activity? When homeowners refinance, a couple outcomes can occur that pump more dollars into the economy. First, with a refinanced mortgage, owners may choose to take equity out of the home, allowing for large purchases like vehicles or even home remodeling. CoreLogic recently reported that 2.5 million more residential properties have returned to positive equity in the second quarter … Read more

Main Street’s Solid Run Continues

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Business development company Main Street (click ticker for report: MAIN) reported solid first quarter results Thursday afternoon, marked by a strong increase in net investment income and book value. Net investment income per share rose 35% year-over-year to $0.50 per share, easily eclipsing consensus estimates. Book value per share rose 2% sequentially to $18.55. During the first quarter, investment income rose 25% year-over-year to $25.6 million, driven largely by an increase in interest income as the company put more capital to work in debt investments. Dividends received from equity investments also increased $1 million. Although Main Street’s cash position isn’t very strong, sitting at $26.2 million, the firm recently expanded its credit facility by $65 million to $352.5 million, giving … Read more

Main Street Capital Boosts Its Dividend

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We profiled Main Street Capital (MAIN) last week, and the firm subsequently raised its dividend 3% to $0.155 per share on a monthly basis. This boosts the annual yield to 5.7%, but it does not change our investment thesis. Still, as long as net income continues to grow, we anticipate seeing solid dividend growth.

Taking a Look at Main Street Capital

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Business development companies (BDCs), which help small companies in early stages of development (similar to venture capital firms), have been around in the US since 1980 when Congress amended the Investment Company Act of 1940. The amendment essentially gave individual investors the opportunity to invest in a publicly-traded private-equity firm. Though many are not as prominent as firms such as KKR, Bain Capital, or TPG Capital, there are a number of prominent business development companies that are publicly traded, including Apollo Investment Corp (AINV), American Capital Strategies (ACAS), and Ares Capital (ARCC). Since these investment vehicles have become increasingly popular with income-seeking investors, we’ve decided to take a deep look at the sector, and Main Street Capital (MAIN) in particular. Main … Read more

Primer on the Banking Sector: Where Are We in the Cycle?

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Image Source: GotCredit Three of our favorite banks are JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America, and US Bancorp. These are three very high-quality institutions which are also very well managed. They all benefit from cultures that encourage the right kind of risk/reward thinking. If these equities start to trade at a meaningful discount to our fair value estimates, they may be are worth considering as long-term investments, in our view. Summary We’ll talk about how banks make money, and the three most important costs of running a bank. The Great Financial Crisis revealed the tremendous risks of banking equities, and we’ll walk through these in depth. We’ll discuss how to conceptualize where we are in the banking cycle, and how that … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week August 6

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Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending August 6. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week AllianceBernstein (AB): now $0.91 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.81. Altabancorp (ALTA): now $0.17 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.15. APA (APA): now $1.50 per share special dividend, was $0.025. Banco Santander (Brasil) S.A. (BSBR): now $0.145 per share dividend, was $0.135. Barings BDC (BBDC): now $0.21 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.20. Berry (BRY): now $0.06 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.04. BG Staffing (BGSF): … Read more

Nelson: The 16 Most Important Steps To Understand The Stock Market

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A previous version of this article appeared on our website July 21, 2013. Refreshed and updated throughout, as of July 2018. By Brian Nelson, CFA After earning my MBA at the University of Chicago Booth School of Business and training stock and credit analysts from large organizations over the past decade or so, I have heard just about every question (though I admit I am still surprised by many things and remain a very humble student of the markets). I’ve also spent years perfecting the discounted cash flow process for large research organizations such as Morningstar and studied under one of the most famed aggressive growth investors of all time, Richard Driehaus. My knowledge runs the gamut from value through … Read more

ICYMI — Video: Will Hasty Policy Facilitate the Next Leg Down, or Do We Have It Coming Anyway?

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President of Investment Research and award-winning author of Value Trap: Theory of Universal Valuation Brian Nelson explains how US policymakers are stuck between a rock and a hard place, and how the market may be factoring in too high of a probability of a return to normalcy before 2021. This and more in the latest video report. Summary Make sure you review Value Trap on Amazon. Do so here. We think those that bought equities near the bottom of this swoon may be looking to take profits at present levels. The market is currently reflecting an 80%-85% probability of a return to normalcy before 2021, which we believe is too high at this time. Our main concern is that government … Read more

There Is Milk At The Store

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This article first appeared in the September edition of the High Yield Dividend Newsletter. For more information about this publication, please see here. “Now this is not the end. It is not even the beginning of the end. But it is, perhaps, the end of the beginning.” — Winston Churchill By Brian Nelson, CFA Very few of us could have imagined that we’d witness the bull market that began on that fateful day in March 2009 that might very well mark a generational low. In 2009, major investment banks around the globe were struggling to survive, and the fallout in the mortgage markets left the banks holding paper that nobody wanted to own, let alone buy. The global financial system … Read more

4 Very Good Reasons Why We Don’t Like Dividends of Banking Stocks

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Untermyer: Is not commercial credit based primarily upon money or property?Morgan: No, sir. The first thing is character.Untermyer: Before money or property?Morgan: Before money or anything else. Money cannot buy it … a man I do not trust could not get money from me on all the bonds in Christendom. –Mr. JP Morgan’s testimony before the Pujo Committee (questioning from Samuel Untermyer), 1912-1913   Image: Bank Run in Michigan, USA, February 1933. Source: Public Domain. By Brian Nelson, CFA It’s sometimes easy to lose sight of the fragility of a banking firm’s business model. Let’s examine the reasons why we don’t like banking firms’ dividends. Reason #1: A Bank Run Is Always Possible. Reason #2: Others Have Tried to Invest in Bank Dividends and Have Failed. Reason #3: … Read more