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Valuentum’s 3 Breakthroughs in the Field of Finance and More

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Valuentum’s President Brian Nelson pauses for a picture before speaking at the CFA Society of Houston in March 2017. By Valuentum Editorial Staff Let’s cover Valuentum’s 3 major breakthroughs in the field of finance. The first one is big and may challenge you to rethink everything you think you know about investing. 1. On a logical framework, Valuentum has debunked John C. Bogle’s landmark syllogism that has paved the way for the concept of index investing. Index investing has been built on a logical shortcoming, whether supported by evidence or not. We think it is important that the investment community know of this. Read (pdf): The “Luck” and “Randomness” of Index Funds (2018), Brian Nelson, CFA See video documentation: /FALLACY_of_Index_Funds To … Read more

These Medical Instruments Won’t Heal Your Portfolio

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The medical instruments industry is a group characterized in part by diversity, and as such, there are ideas of all shapes and sizes. Let’s dig into two overvalued companies in the space and what put them in their current positions. By Alexander J. Poulos and Kris Rosemann The medical instruments industry has something to offer investors of all strategies. From growth candidates to defensive plays to dividend growth ideas, the medical instruments industry has you covered. However, we’re not seeing much valuation opportunity in the medical instruments industry at this point in time. The market’s advance post the election of Donald Trump has stretched many companies’ valuation metrics past historical norms, and this note intends to highlight two of the … Read more

#14? You Can’t Control The Market

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Image shown: Wall Street Journal front pages from the Financial Crisis — a reminder that an investor cannot control the markets.

Should this be added to the “13 Steps…” piece?

EVERYTHING DIVIDENDS + 3 TOP IDEAS

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The Valuentum analyst team explains the difference between the adjusted Dividend Cushion ratio and its unadjusted counterpart. The success of the Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio is covered, and Valuentum’s top 3 dividend growth ideas are unveiled. ~13 minutes. If you are unable to view the video below, please select the link here or view the transcript below. Kris Rosemann: Hello and welcome to the Valuentum Securities podcast. My name is Kris Rosemann and with me today is Chris Araos and Brian Nelson, the president of equity research and ETF analysis here at Valuentum, and today we’re going to be discussing the Dividend Cushion ratio, the Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio, and some of our favorite dividend ideas on the market today. So … Read more

The Dividend Dilemma

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One of the core tenets of the Valuentum process not only rests in the all-important price vs. value consideration (see Valuentum’s Brian Nelson talk about that here), but also in “letting winners run.” At first read, these two items appear to be at odds with each other. For example, we preach about getting stocks at a bargain, but yet, we don’t sell holdings when they start to move beyond our estimate of their fair value. What gives? At the Valuentum core, we prefer an entry point that corresponds to the time when shares have substantial valuation and pricing support (i.e. they have high Valuentum Buying Index ratings), and we prefer an exit point when shares have little valuation and pricing … Read more

Dividend Increases for the Week Ending July 18

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Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending July 18. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week Bassett Furniture (BSET): now $0.08 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.06. CIT Group (CIT): now $0.15 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.10. Education Realty Trust (EDR): now $0.12 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.11. Fidelity Southern (LION): now $0.09 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.08. Goodyear (GT): now $0.06 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.05. Greene County Bancorp (GCBC): now $0.18 per share quarterly dividend, was … Read more

Valuentum Economic Castleâ„¢ Rating Update

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Read: Keeping the Horse Before the Cart: Valuentum’s Economic Castle™ Rating The Economic Castle Focuses on the Magnitude of Economic Value Creation The Valuentum Economic Castle™ rating is an enhancement of the competitive advantage framework (commonly known as economic moat analysis) that has become widespread and ubiquitous within the investing world. Whereas an economic moat framework evaluates a firm on the basis of the sustainability and durability of its competitive advantages, Valuentum’s Economic Castle™ rating evaluates a firm on the basis of the firm’s future economic profit spread (return on invested capital less its weighted average cost of capital). The companies with the strongest Valuentum Economic Castle™ ratings are poised to generate the most economic value for shareholders in the … Read more

Surveying Fourth Quarter Earnings at Health Care Firms

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The broader equity markets have been under pressure for much of January, and while it may be tempting to consider completely exiting stock investing for a time, we’re staying the course with both of our actively-managed portfolios. We had been expecting a contraction in price-to-earnings (P/E) multiples across the broader market (see our outlook here), and the performance thus far in 2014 has not been surprising. In case you may have missed it, I sent out some very important thoughts over the weekend to keep in mind as uncertainty and volatility increase through the course of 2014: Stay focused on @Valuentum portfolio holdings (best ideas), #asset allocation (cash) in portfolios and #prudence in allocating new capital. — Brian Nelson, CFA … Read more

Dividend Increases for the Week Ending August 2 Included Illinois Tool Works and Union Pacific

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Below we provide a list of firms that upped their dividends for the week ending August 2. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports, please click here. Arbor Realty Trust (ABR): $0.13 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.12. B&G Foods (BGS): now $0.32 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.29. Carlisle Companies (CSL): now $0.22 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.20. CBOE Holdings (CBOE): now $0.18 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.15. Chemed Corporation (CHE): now $0.20 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.18. Comfort Systems: (FIX): now $0.055 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.05. Energizer Holdings (ENR): now $0.50 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.40. Ethan Allen Interiors … Read more

ICYMI — Video: Will Hasty Policy Facilitate the Next Leg Down, or Do We Have It Coming Anyway?

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President of Investment Research and award-winning author of Value Trap: Theory of Universal Valuation Brian Nelson explains how US policymakers are stuck between a rock and a hard place, and how the market may be factoring in too high of a probability of a return to normalcy before 2021. This and more in the latest video report. Summary Make sure you review Value Trap on Amazon. Do so here. We think those that bought equities near the bottom of this swoon may be looking to take profits at present levels. The market is currently reflecting an 80%-85% probability of a return to normalcy before 2021, which we believe is too high at this time. Our main concern is that government … Read more