Valuentum’s 3 Breakthroughs in the Field of Finance and More

Valuentum’s President Brian Nelson pauses for a picture before speaking at the CFA Society of Houston in March 2017. By Valuentum Editorial Staff Let’s cover Valuentum’s 3 major breakthroughs in the field of finance. The first one is big and may challenge you to rethink everything you think you know about investing. 1. On a logical framework, Valuentum has debunked John C. Bogle’s landmark syllogism that has paved the way for the concept of index investing. Index investing has been built on a logical shortcoming, whether supported by evidence or not. We think it is important that the investment community know of this. Read (pdf): The “Luck” and “Randomness” of Index Funds (2018), Brian Nelson, CFA See video documentation: /FALLACY_of_Index_Funds To … Read more

Dow 21,000+; Forward P/E on S&P 500 ~18!!!

By Brian Nelson, CFA To say that the broader equity market is “extended” is an understatement. After testing the 20,000 mark on the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DIA), stocks have now plowed through 21,000 in such a fashion that can only be compared to the euphoric trading activity of 1999 when the index surged to 11,000 from 10,000 over roughly the same time frame. Who remembers the days of the dot-com bubble? The market is clearly off its rocker, but the market isn’t always on its rocker. Stock prices under and overshoot intrinsic value all of the time. It’s a part of the markets, as much as oxygen is necessary for human life. The markets overshot to the downside during … Read more

#14? You Can’t Control The Market


Image shown: Wall Street Journal front pages from the Financial Crisis — a reminder that an investor cannot control the markets.

Should this be added to the “13 Steps…” piece?

EVERYTHING DIVIDENDS + 3 TOP IDEAS

The Valuentum analyst team explains the difference between the adjusted Dividend Cushion ratio and its unadjusted counterpart. The success of the Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio is covered, and Valuentum’s top 3 dividend growth ideas are unveiled. ~13 minutes. If you are unable to view the video below, please select the link here or view the transcript below. Kris Rosemann: Hello and welcome to the Valuentum Securities podcast. My name is Kris Rosemann and with me today is Chris Araos and Brian Nelson, the president of equity research and ETF analysis here at Valuentum, and today we’re going to be discussing the Dividend Cushion ratio, the Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio, and some of our favorite dividend ideas on the market today. So … Read more

Video: An Overview of Our 16-page Stock Research Reports

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Understanding the Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) Designation

“Among the countless finance degrees around the world, the Chartered Financial Analyst qualification has become the gold standard.” – Financial Times, 13 August 2010 “[The] qualification is roughly equivalent to a specialized postgraduate finance degree, including a mixture of economics, ethics, law, and accountancy… Whereas there are tens of thousands of finance degrees available around the world, ranging from the excellent to the worthless, there is only one CFA, managed and examined by an American association of financial professionals, the CFA Institute.” – the Economist From the CFA Institute: “The Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) charter is an investment credential that, for more than 60 years, has been the global standard for embodying the integrity, dedication, and advanced skills needed to … Read more

Retail Weakness: Blame the Election?

Image Source: DonkeyHotey By Kris Rosemann The 2016 election cycle has been one characterized by unprecedented amounts of criticism and accusations, of both the personal and political variety, and it may be true that the perceived political environment from the view of the general public has not been in such a state of uncertainty for some time. Let’s not get into the details of who called whom what in last night’s Presidential debate, but some parents were reportedly not allowing their children to watch the debate out of fear that their values or outlook on democracy could be skewed. But could the uncertainty surrounding the election actually be enough to impact consumer activity at retail outlets and restaurants? Some are … Read more

Restaurant Traffic – What’s Going On?

By Kris Rosemann What’s going on with restaurant stocks these days?  Sonic’s (SONC) announcement of preliminary results for the fiscal fourth quarter of 2016, ended August 31, has been the latest catalyst to drag the restaurant sector (BITE) lower due to it reporting “lower-than-expected traffic, reflecting lower consumer spending in restaurants and continued aggressive competitive activity.” Our newsletter portfolios have not been spared the pain as shares of Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio holding Cracker Barrel (CBRL) have faced pressure since its fiscal fourth quarter report September 14, and Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio holding Buffalo Wild Wings (BWLD) has suffered as a result of the weak data as well. Sonic’s report was not the first we’ve been hearing of slowing consumer … Read more

Walmart’s Core Operating Income Falls 7%+; Target’s Comparable Store Sales Drop

Image Source: Mike Mozart By Brian Nelson, CFA Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A, BRK.B) isn’t the only firm that has become less bullish on Walmart (WMT). The company that the Oracle of Omaha built recently reduced its stake in Walmart to 40.2 million shares from 55.2 million shares, but Valuentum is equally worried about the big box giant’s long-term picture. Target (TGT) is not faring much better, if it is faring better at all. The structural headwinds impacting both companies aren’t going away anytime soon, and while you wouldn’t know it by the market’s positive reaction to Walmart’s second-quarter report, total operating income, adjusted for the gain from the sale of Yihaodian, fell more than 7% in the period. A … Read more

Walmart Forms Alliance with Leading Chinese E-commerce Firm

Image Source: Bill L By Kris Rosemann As some US corporations are finding the Chinese market an increasingly difficult one in which to operate, “China (May 2016),” Walmart (WMT) is taking moves to strengthen its presence in the world’s second largest economy. On June 20, the retailing behemoth announced that it has entered into a partnership with JD.com (JD), one of China’s largest e-commerce companies, a move that will enhance offerings to consumers throughout China via a combination of JD.com’s e-commerce prowess and Walmart’s traditional retail operations. While Walmart continues to expand internationally, Target (TGT) continues to retreat from non-US markets, even having abandoning efforts in Canada recently. In the deal with JD.com, Walmart has agreed to sell its grocery-focused, … Read more