The “Luck” and “Randomness” of Index Funds
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Video: Quants! You’re NOT Measuring VALUE and Nelson’s Theory of Universal Value
President of Investment Research Brian Nelson defines the concept of universal value and shows how quantitative statistical methods are inextricably linked to those of fundamental, financial, business-model related analysis. Value does not exist in respective process vacuums! Value is universal. Find out why. Running time: ~10 minutes. Tickerized for Valuentum’s stock and ETF coverage universe. Transcript Hi this is Brian Nelson from Valuentum Securities, and this is the tenth edition of a series that I call “Off the Cuff,” where I get in front of the camera and I talk for ten minutes. This is what we have to talk about today. We have to talk about this concept: The Theory of Universal Value. Value does not exist in vacuums … Read more
Valuentum’s 3 Breakthroughs in the Field of Finance and More
Valuentum’s President Brian Nelson pauses for a picture before speaking at the CFA Society of Houston in March 2017. By Valuentum Editorial Staff Let’s cover Valuentum’s 3 major breakthroughs in the field of finance. The first one is big and may challenge you to rethink everything you think you know about investing. 1. On a logical framework, Valuentum has debunked John C. Bogle’s landmark syllogism that has paved the way for the concept of index investing. Index investing has been built on a logical shortcoming, whether supported by evidence or not. We think it is important that the investment community know of this. Read (pdf): The “Luck” and “Randomness” of Index Funds (2018), Brian Nelson, CFA See video documentation: /FALLACY_of_Index_Funds To … Read more
Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week ending January 13
Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending January 13. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week Alliant Energy (LNT): now $0.315 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.29375. Antero Midstream (AM): now $0.28 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.265. Apogee Enterprises (APOG): now $0.14 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.125. Atco (ACLLF): now C$0.3275 per share quarterly dividend, was C$0.285. BlackRock (BLK): now $2.50 per share quarterly dividend, was $2.29. Canadian Utilities (CDUAF): now C$0.3575 per share quarterly dividend, was C$0.3250. Codorus Valley … Read more
Utilities and Telecoms to Benefit Most from Corporate Tax Reduction?
Image Source: Michael Vadon By Kris Rosemann and Brian Nelson, CFA Speculation over which sectors may be the biggest beneficiaries of the incoming Trump administration has been running rampant in recent weeks, and we’ve received questions from members pertaining to this topic, specifically with respect to the utilities and telecom sectors. In fact, an article in the Financial Times, released mid-November, tabbed the utilities (XLU) and telecom (XTL) spaces as two sectors that may be able to generate outsize earnings improvements thanks to a reduced corporate income tax. But will they truly benefit over the long haul? Let’s walk through our take on the impact a potential reduction in corporate tax rates may provide these two areas. It may not all be … Read more
New Coverage Additions
Image Source: Eric Golub Alliant Energy Alliant Energy (LNT) is a utility holding company, providing regulated electricity and natural gas services to residential, commercial, industrial, and wholesale customers in the Midwest of the US, particularly Wisconsin and Iowa. Moving forward, the firm will continue to grow its exposure to natural gas and wind and other renewables, while reducing its dependence on coal and oil. Despite its regulated operations and competitive dividend yield, we think there are better income ideas for investors looking for exposure to utilities due in part to growth in its debt load in recent quarters. However, management continues to target a dividend payout ratio of 60%-70% of consolidated earnings. Shares appear fairly valued at the moment.. First … Read more
Dividend Increases for the Week Ending January 15
Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending January 15. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week Alliant Energy (LNT): now $0.5875 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.55. Antero Midstream (AM): now $0.22 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.205. Apogee (APOG): now $0.125 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.11. Blackrock, Inc. (BLK): now $2.29 per share quarterly dividend, was $2.18. Cinver Resources (CINR): now $0.5575 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.551. Delphi Automotive (DLPH): now $0.29 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.25. EPR … Read more
Dividend Increases for the Week Ending January 16
Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending January 16. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week Alliant Energy (LNT): now $0.55 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.51. Apogee (APOG): now $0.11 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.10. Chatham Lodging Trust (CLDT): now $0.10 per share monthly dividend, was $0.08. Consolidated Edison (ED): now $0.65 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.63. Core Laboratories (CLB): now $0.55 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.50. EPR Properties (EPR): now $0.3025 per share monthly dividend, was $0.285. … Read more
8 Announcements and Top Research You May Have Missed
8 Announcements. This article was sent to members via email March 27. By Brian Nelson, CFA Hi everyone, Brian here. Trust you are doing great! Here are eight announcements I want you to be aware of: Everything we do is for our members. We’re very proud of the outperformance of the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio, that we’ve never had a dividend cut in the Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio, that our high-yield ideas are holding up very well, and the success rates of the Exclusive capital-appreciation ideas and short-idea considerations are running at approximately 80%. We’re proud to be your research partner. The odds of a Fed rate cut are going up as yield-curve inversion continues to threaten. The risks are more behavioral in … Read more
2,350-2,750 on the S&P? Could the Coronavirus Catalyze a Financial Crisis?
Image: We think a rather modest sell-off in the market to the target range of 2,350-2,750 on the S&P 500 is rather reasonable in the wake of one of the biggest economic shocks since the Global Financial Crisis. The chart above shows how far markets have advanced since 2011, and an adjustment lower to the target range of 2,350-2,750 is rather modest in such a context and would only bring markets to late 2018 levels (note red box as the target range). The range reflects ~16x S&P 500 12-month forward earnings estimates, as of February 14, adjusted down 10% due to COVID-19. When companies like Visa talk about a couple percentage points taken off of growth rates, one knows that … Read more