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REITs Will Likely Continue To Underperform

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By Brian Nelson, CFA Stock prices and returns are in part a function of the cash-based sources of intrinsic value: net cash on the balance sheet and future expectations of free cash flow. Though there are many ways to slice and dice a company with respect to equity analysis, to arrive at an intrinsic value estimate of a firm, it generally comes down to these two important cash-based dynamics. Due to the nature of their business models, most REITs have lofty net debt positions, and many are investing in real estate at a pace that is faster than that which they are generating operating cash flow. One good example of the trouble brewing on many a REIT’s cash flow statement … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week Ending June 12

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Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending June 12. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week B2Gold (BTG): now $0.02 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.01. Carrier Global Corporation (CARR): now $0.08 per share quarterly dividend. ChipMOS TECHNOLOGIES INC. (IMOS): now $1.2091/ADS dividend, was $0.7639. Cosan Limited (CZZ): now $0.11189896 per share annual dividend, was $0.0822. El Paso Electric Company (EE): now $0.41 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.385. National Fuel Gas (NFG): now $0.445 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.435. NetEase … Read more

Prepared Remarks From Nelson Exclusive Conference Call June 30

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Read President of Investment Research Brian Nelson’s prepared remarks for the yearly roundup conference call, held for Nelson Exclusive members. If you would like to subscribe to the Nelson Exclusive publication, please learn more about the publication here. The Nelson Exclusive publication does not reflect real performance. Performance is hypothetical and does not represent actual trading. Ladies and Gentlemen, Thank you very much for joining us on the first conference call for members of the Nelson Exclusive publication. The first year of the publication has surely been an exciting one for all involved. When I first wrote the introductory letter of the Nelson Exclusive on July 1, 2016, we were well-aware the market had laid down the gauntlet for this publication. … Read more

Valuentum’s 3 Breakthroughs in the Field of Finance and More

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Valuentum’s President Brian Nelson pauses for a picture before speaking at the CFA Society of Houston in March 2017. By Valuentum Editorial Staff Let’s cover Valuentum’s 3 major breakthroughs in the field of finance. The first one is big and may challenge you to rethink everything you think you know about investing. 1. On a logical framework, Valuentum has debunked John C. Bogle’s landmark syllogism that has paved the way for the concept of index investing. Index investing has been built on a logical shortcoming, whether supported by evidence or not. We think it is important that the investment community know of this. Read (pdf): The “Luck” and “Randomness” of Index Funds (2018), Brian Nelson, CFA See video documentation: /FALLACY_of_Index_Funds To … Read more

Podcast: REITs, Interest Rates and Beyond!

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The Valuentum analyst team talks REITs and the reasons why REIT investors should pay close attention to changes in Treasury rates. Various secular themes across the data center, healthcare, office, and mall REITs are discussed, and an explanation for the sector’s systematically poor raw, unadjusted Dividend Cushion ratios is covered. ~8 mins. Tickerized for various ETFs and the holdings in the VNQ. Brian Nelson, CFA: In September, REITs were officially broken out from the financial sector to their own sector of the S&P 500 — some 30 or so stocks with $600 billion in market capitalization, or about 3% of the S&P 500. Could this change have marked a peak in performance for equity and mortgage REIT stocks? Are investors … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week Ending March 4

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Image: Gulfstream, a General Dynamics company, makes some of the most technologically-advanced business jet aircraft, Charley W. Karl Below we provide a list of firms that raised/lowered their dividends during the week ending March 4. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week Bank of Nova Scotia (BNS): now C$0.72 per share quarterly dividend, was C$0.70. Big Lots (BIG): now $0.21 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.19. Broadcom (AVGO): now $0.49 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.44. Chatham Lodging Trust (CLDT): now $0.11 per share monthly dividend, was $0.10. Citizen Community Bancorp … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week Ending December 11

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Below we provide a list of firms that raised/lowered their dividends during the week ending December 11. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week Abbot Labs (ABT): now $0.26 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.24. Avago Technologies (AVGO): now $0.44 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.42. Bristol-Myers Squibb Company (BMY): now $0.38 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.37. Buckle (BKE): now $0.25 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.23. Capella Education (CPLA): now $0.39 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.37. Croghan Bancshares, Inc. (CHBH): now $0.35 per share quarterly dividend, was … Read more

Dividend Increases for the Week Ending December 12

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Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending December 12. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week Abbott (ABT): now $0.24 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.22. Avago Technologies (AVGO): now $0.35 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.32. Banco Latinoamericano De Comercio (BLX): now $0.385 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.35. BioMed Realty (BMR): now $0.26 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.25. Bristol-Myers Squibb (BMY): now $0.37 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.36. Buckle (BKE): now $0.23 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.22. Capella … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week Ending March 14

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Below we provide a list of firms that raised/lowered their dividends during the week ending March 14. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week Capstead (CMO): now $0.34 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.31. Colgate-Palmolive (CL): now $0.36 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.34. Douglas Dynamics (PLOW): now $0.2175 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.2125. Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT (EARN): now $0.55 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.50. Equity Lifestyle Properties (ELS): now $0.325 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.25. General Mills (GIS): now $0.41 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.38. Gramercy (GPT): reinstates common stock dividend of $0.035 per share quarterly dividend. Hurco Companies (HURC): now $0.07 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.05. JMP Group (JMP): now $0.045 per share … Read more

Nelson: The 16 Most Important Steps To Understand The Stock Market

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A previous version of this article appeared on our website July 21, 2013. Refreshed and updated throughout, as of July 2018. By Brian Nelson, CFA After earning my MBA at the University of Chicago Booth School of Business and training stock and credit analysts from large organizations over the past decade or so, I have heard just about every question (though I admit I am still surprised by many things and remain a very humble student of the markets). I’ve also spent years perfecting the discounted cash flow process for large research organizations such as Morningstar and studied under one of the most famed aggressive growth investors of all time, Richard Driehaus. My knowledge runs the gamut from value through … Read more