ICYMI: Time to Consider Buying Chinese Equities? Not Exactly.

This article was originally published August 26, 2021. Image Shown: Shares of Alibaba Group have plummeted over the past year in the wake of Beijing’s crackdown on China’s domestic tech and fintech titans. By Callum Turcan Many would argue that the key event that kicked off Beijing’s ongoing crackdown on its domestic tech giants started back in October 2020 when the once domestically revered entrepreneur Jack Ma, the founder of e-commerce, fintech, payment solutions, and cloud computing giant Alibaba Group (BABA), gave a speech critical of Chinese regulators. A WSJ article published August 20, Jack Ma’s Costliest Business Lesson: China Has Only One Leader, covered the situation in great detail. Mr. Ma noted at the time that he viewed Beijing’s … Read more

Governance: The G in ESG Investing

By Valuentum Analysts No discussion of ESG investing would be complete without addressing the role of corporate governance (“stewardship”) in equity investing. As with the other aspects of ESG investing, corporate governance covers a lot of ground. It can include pretty much anything related to how a company is run, including leadership, executive compensation, audits and accounting, and shareholder rights. These areas are just the tip of the iceberg, however.  A company with good corporate governance is one that is run well with the proper incentives and with all stakeholders in mind, from employees to suppliers to customers to shareholders and beyond. Good corporate governance practices decrease the risk to investors as it cuts through conflicts of interest, misuse of … Read more

How to Think About Corporate Tax Reform

Valuentum Weekly: Yields on New Series I Savings Bonds Have Soared!

The Valuentum Weekly is a brand-new weekly market commentary from Valuentum Securities, released each weekend in digital form. The Valuentum Weekly offers members a weekly synopsis of the markets and major events. It will be straight and to-the-point. Our goal is to deliver to you the latest information and insights. We welcome your feedback on how we can make the Valuentum Weekly as useful and as relevant for you as ever! — —– — Markets  — The Dow Jones, S&P 500 and NASDAQ futures are all indicated up Sunday night (March 13), but that may not mean much when trading kicks off tomorrow. The start to 2022 has been one of the worst stretches during the past decade, but broader … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week of November 17

Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending November 17. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week                          AECOM (ACM): now $0.22 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.18. Agilent Technologies (A): now $0.236 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.225. Alibaba (BABA): now $1.00/ADS annual dividend. Amkor Technology (AMKR): now $0.07875 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.0750. Artisan Partners Asset Management (APAM): Now $0.65 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.61. BankFirst Capital (BFCC): now $0.90 per share dividend, was $0.85. Berry Global Group … Read more

2,350-2,750 on the S&P? Could the Coronavirus Catalyze a Financial Crisis?

Image: We think a rather modest sell-off in the market to the target range of 2,350-2,750 on the S&P 500 is rather reasonable in the wake of one of the biggest economic shocks since the Global Financial Crisis. The chart above shows how far markets have advanced since 2011, and an adjustment lower to the target range of 2,350-2,750 is rather modest in such a context and would only bring markets to late 2018 levels (note red box as the target range). The range reflects ~16x S&P 500 12-month forward earnings estimates, as of February 14, adjusted down 10% due to COVID-19. When companies like Visa talk about a couple percentage points taken off of growth rates, one knows that … Read more

Cash-Based Sources of Intrinsic Value for Meta Platforms and PayPal Remain Strong

Image Shown: Shares of Meta Platforms Inc (blue line) and PayPal Holdings Inc (orange line) have staged a nice comeback during the past month, as of the start of April 2022. By Callum Turcan Rising interest rates and the impact that has had on the market’s discount rate implictly used within the enterprise cash flow pricing process has pressured the value of equities with long free-cash-flow growth tails–stocks that are expected to grow at a meaningful premium over global economic growth over the coming decades. The rapid increase in the 10-year Treasury rate, no doubt, has had a profound impact on the equity values of long-duration cash-flow companies such as those held in the ultra-speculative ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK), for … Read more

Vodafone’s Dividend Cut, Alibaba’s Resilience, More Reports

Vodafone’s Dividend Cut, Alibaba’s Resilience, More Reports In alphabetical order by company name: A, BABA, PLCE, GES, M, NSANY, RL, TLRY, VOD — Good morning, — Still buying stocks immediately as they fall and on the way down? There may be no logical basis for doing so. Here’s an excerpt from Value Trap: Theory of Universal Valuation.  — Image: Excerpt from Value Trap, page 241 — Order your copy here.  — The market must eventually agree with you for your idea to work out, so why not wait until the stock starts to move higher first. Waiting a few weeks or a few months/quarters to see if the stock eventually settles and technical/momentum indicators start to improve is vital in helping … Read more

5 Years Strong!

Image Source: Andy Maguire By Brian Nelson, CFA This month was an important one for our investment research firm, Valuentum, and its flagship newsletter, the Best Ideas Newsletter. The June 2016 edition means that we have now surpassed the 5-year anniversary of the inception of this newsletter’s portfolio (page 8). This is a critical time horizon that we and many others believe is a good one to assess the quality of any money manager. Money managers can be lucky or unlucky over very short periods of time, as in the case of perhaps a 12-24 month period, but those that can generate and retain outperformance over a 5-year period and longer typically are doing a lot of things right, even … Read more