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Valuentum’s 3 Breakthroughs in the Field of Finance and More

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Valuentum’s President Brian Nelson pauses for a picture before speaking at the CFA Society of Houston in March 2017. By Valuentum Editorial Staff Let’s cover Valuentum’s 3 major breakthroughs in the field of finance. The first one is big and may challenge you to rethink everything you think you know about investing. 1. On a logical framework, Valuentum has debunked John C. Bogle’s landmark syllogism that has paved the way for the concept of index investing. Index investing has been built on a logical shortcoming, whether supported by evidence or not. We think it is important that the investment community know of this. Read (pdf): The “Luck” and “Randomness” of Index Funds (2018), Brian Nelson, CFA See video documentation: /FALLACY_of_Index_Funds To … Read more

Fair Value Estimate Changes: Facebook, Twitter, Caterpillar and More…

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  By Kris Rosemann and Brian Nelson, CFA Let’s begin this edition of Recent Material Fair Value Estimate Changes’ with a discussion of some of the highest-profile names that made the list. If you require background reading on why we make changes to our valuation models, please see: What causes fair value estimates to change? Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio holding Facebook (FB) continues to separate itself from other social media companies, and we continue to be impressed by its free cash flow generating prowess and net cash-rich balance sheet. Our most recent fair value estimate increase comes largely as a result of greater optimism regarding the sustainability of the company’s pace of revenue growth, reflected by a hike in our mid-cycle … Read more

This Oil Stock Is Surging!

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The Valuentum analyst team digs into recent developments in the oil and gas space and highlights one of the most leveraged ways to play rising crude oil prices. ~12 mins. If you cannot view the podcast below, please select the link here or view the transcript that follows. Tickerized for Valuentum’s oil and gas coverage universe. Chris Araos: Hello, this is Christopher Araos at Valuentum Securities, and today with us is Brian Nelson and Kris Rosemann. Today, we are going to talk about the outlook on oil and gas. Brian Nelson, CFA: Thanks Mr. Araos. I think to kind of set the stage for this conversation, we probably need to bridge the gap between what was truly the depths of … Read more

Transaction Alerts: Moving Closer to Market Neutral on Energy

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The Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio has generated significant outperformance in part from avoiding many of the landmines across the energy sector during the past many months. We’ve done equally well in our calls in the Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio, and we’re very proud of raising the issue of the importance of looking at non-GAAP free cash flow across pipeline entities. We believe that such a measure is the best one to assess the timing of free cash flows as they are generated, an important consideration for investors of all types, and not properly addressed in measures of distributable cash flow or a company’s dividend or distribution. Why are we now inching ever so slightly back into energy? 1. The market … Read more

Dividend Increases for the Week Ending January 23

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Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending January 23. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week AGCO (AGCO): now $0.12 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.11. Alaska Air (ALK): now $0.20 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.125. Alexanders (ALX): now $3.50 per share quarterly dividend, was $3.25. Allete (ALE): now $0.505 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.49. Bar Harbor Bankshares (BHB): now $0.245 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.235. Cardinal Financial (CFNL): now $0.11 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.10. Collectors Universe … Read more

$45 Oil Prices!?!? There Is Never a Sense of Urgency When One Is Prepared

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Image Source: Macrotrends The bull market in energy (XLE) has lasted for the better part of a decade. Ever since the turn of the new century, energy perma-bulls have made the case that “black gold” (USO) should continue its ever-upward price advance thanks to ongoing demand from emerging and developing economies coupled with reduced inventories and areas of supply. We’re seeing this thesis challenged right at this moment. In deciding not to cut crude oil output in the face of oversupply and falling prices, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), for the lack of a better phrase, is now essentially engaged in a price war with producers in the US that are using breakthrough technology to produce oil … Read more

Dividend Increases for the Week Ending August 1

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Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending August 1. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access the dividend reports please use the ‘Symbol’ search box in the website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week Acme United (ACU): now $0.09 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.08. Alliance Resource Partners (ARLP): now $0.625 per share quarterly distribution, was $0.611. CBOE (CBOE): now $0.21 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.18. CorEnergy (CORR): now $0.13 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.129. Crane (CR): now $0.33 share quarterly dividend, was $0.30. Healthcare Trust of America (HTA): now $0.145 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.14375. Host … Read more

Valuentum Economic Castleâ„¢ Rating Update

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Read: Keeping the Horse Before the Cart: Valuentum’s Economic Castle™ Rating The Economic Castle Focuses on the Magnitude of Economic Value Creation The Valuentum Economic Castle™ rating is an enhancement of the competitive advantage framework (commonly known as economic moat analysis) that has become widespread and ubiquitous within the investing world. Whereas an economic moat framework evaluates a firm on the basis of the sustainability and durability of its competitive advantages, Valuentum’s Economic Castle™ rating evaluates a firm on the basis of the firm’s future economic profit spread (return on invested capital less its weighted average cost of capital). The companies with the strongest Valuentum Economic Castle™ ratings are poised to generate the most economic value for shareholders in the … Read more

Update: Digging Into the Valuentum Dividend Cushion

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Sign Up to Receive our Dividend Growth Newsletter! Add the High Yield Dividend Newsletter to Your Membership! History has revealed that the best performing stocks during the previous decades have been those that shelled out ever-increasing cash to shareholders in the form of dividends. In a recent study by Ned Davis Research, S&P 500 stocks that initiated dividends or grew them over time registered roughly a 9.6% annualized return since 1972 (through 2010), while stocks that did not pay out dividends or cut them performed poorly over the same time period.  Such analysis is difficult to ignore, and we believe investors may be well-rewarded in future periods by finding the best dividend-growth stocks out there. As such, we’ve developed a rigorous dividend investment … Read more

Phillips 66’s 3Q Reveals Difficult Refining Environment

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Phillips 66’s third-quarter results, issued last Wednesday, revealed significantly weaker worldwide refining margins, as expected. The company’s third quarter earnings fell to $535 million, down from adjusted earnings of $1.9 billion in the third-quarter of 2012. Results in the company’s ‘Refining’ segment remain highly volatile. Phillips 66’s ‘Midstream’ segment generated earnings of $148 million compared with adjusted earnings of $88 million in last year’s period. Third-quarter earnings in Phillips 66’s ‘Chemicals’ segment came in at $262 million, down modestly from adjusted earnings of $275 million in the year-ago period. The company’s quarterly earnings for its ‘Marketing and Specialties’ segment totaled $240 million, up from $98 million in the same quarter last year. Corporate and other expenses were roughly flat during the … Read more