Magnificent 7 Earnings Reports Not Bad Thus Far

By Brian Nelson, CFA   Shortly after Trump’s Liberation Day, where the President unveiled lofty tariffs on numerous countries, we released our wait-and-see outlook for the equity markets, which thus far has proven to be the right move, with the markets largely recovering from the depths reached in April. The S&P 500 (SPY), for example, is down just 3.3% year-to-date, excluding dividends.   A lot has happened since Liberation Day, including easing of tariffs to a 10% baseline for most, if not all, countries, with the key exception of China, where tariffs remain extremely elevated and prohibitive. Many countries are now reportedly negotiating trade agreements with the White House, and we expect China to be added to that list soon, even if … Read more

Trump Tariffs Higher than Expected; What We’re Doing

By Brian Nelson, CFA The Trump tariff increases came in larger than what we were expecting, and it remains to be seen how they will flow through the global economy, as we monitor potential retaliatory tariffs from other countries. As it relates to the equity markets, we’re taking a wait and see approach at the moment as we monitor new policy changes related to trade, immigration, fiscal (tax), and regulations. In short, we’re not overreacting to the sell off as we won’t have a great handle on the tariff impact to companies for a few quarters when they report results post-tariff increases. That said, we’re expecting continued market volatility, with meaningful risk to the downside, before trade uncertainty alleviates in … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week of March 14

Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending March 14. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week                          Acer (ACEYY): now NT 1.70 per share annual dividend, was NT 1.60. Afya (AFYA): now R$1.348923 pare share dividend. Aker Carbon Capture (AKRCY): now NOK 4.82 per share dividend. Altius Minerals Corporation (ALS:CA): now CAD 0.09 per share quarterly dividend, was CAD 0.08. Annaly Capital Management (NLY): now $0.70 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.65. Applied Materials (AMAT): now $0.46 per share quarterly dividend, … Read more

Korn Ferry’s Margin Performance Impressive in Fiscal First Quarter

Image: Korn Ferry’s shares have bounced nicely since its bottom in late 2023. By Brian Nelson, CFA Korn Ferry (KFY) recently reported better than expected fiscal first quarter 2025 results with both revenue and non-GAAP earnings per share coming higher than the consensus estimate. Fee revenue fell 3%, but Executive Search fee revenue grew 2%, while fee revenue for Consulting and Digital was flat. Revenue in Professional Search and Recruitment Process Outsourcing (“RPO”) faced pressure. Adjusted diluted earnings per share for its first quarter of fiscal 2025 was $1.18. Management was upbeat in its commentary in the press release: I am pleased with our first quarter results, as we generated $675 million in fee revenue. Earnings and profitability increased year … Read more

Paper: Value and Momentum Within Stocks, Too

Please select the image below to download, “Value and Momentum Within Stocks, Too:” Abstract: This paper strives to advance the field of finance in four ways: 1) it extends the theory of the “The Arithmetic of Active Management” to the investor level; 2) it addresses certain data problems of factor-based methods, namely with respect to value and book-to-market ratios, while introducing price-to-fair-value ratios in a factor-based approach; 3) it may lay the foundation for academic literature regarding the Valuentum, the value-timing, and ultra-momentum factors; and 4) it walks through the potential relative outperformance that may be harvested at the intersection of relevant, unique and compensated factors within individual stocks. To download the full report, please click here (pdf). ———- Actual results … Read more

How Some Members Use Valuentum’s Investment Services

By Brian Nelson, CFA Thank you for your membership to Valuentum. We serve a wide variety of investors, including dividend growth investors, value investors, and pure Valuentum investors, among others. Many different types of investors and professionals use our research and financial analysis in a whole host of applications from individual stock-selection to the evaluation of closed-end funds to an overlay in a money-management setting and beyond. We wanted to make sure that you know that, if you’re a dividend growth or income investor, that there are others that use our website to utilize the Valuentum process, fair value estimates and other metrics. Similarly, if you’re a practitioner of the Valuentum system, I wanted to make sure that you are … Read more

Report Updates — Did You Throw the Baby Out with the Bathwater?

Hi everyone: Brian here. I hope you are having a nice Labor Day holiday weekend.  We wanted to bring your attention to a number of stock report updates. Both Alibaba (BABA) and Korn/Ferry (KFY) have registered one of the highest ratings (9) on the Valuentum Buying Index. To garner such a high rating, a company would have to be considered undervalued on a discounted cash-flow basis, undervalued on a relative value basis, as well as exhibiting strong technical/momentum indicators. Alibaba looks like it could pop quite a bit from current levels after technically basing for months, and while risks related to the name are tremendously high given rising U.S.-China tensions, shares sure look undervalued to us. Korn/Ferry’s shares also look … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week of June 30

Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending June 30. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week                          Amdocs (DOX): now $0.435 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.395. Amplify BlackSwan ISWN ETF (ISWN): now $0.1414 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.127. ASUSTeK Computer (ASUUY): now $1.9078 per share dividend. Bancolombia S.A. (CIB): Now $0.852 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.6505. Bankinter (BKNIY): now $0.0818 per share quarterly dividend. Benchmark Bankshares (BMBN): now $0.40 per share semi-annual dividend. BOC Hong Kong (Holdings) (BHKLY): … Read more

Top Dividend-Related News: WBA, KFY, IBM, UNH, OXY

Image Source: Simon Cunningham By Brian Nelson, CFA Walgreens Boots Alliance (WBA) is yielding ~6.6% on a forward estimated basis. Though this sounds like a hefty dividend yield worth scooping up, the Walgreen’s story is much more complicated these days than it ever was due to the firm’s wheeling and dealing the past number of years. The company’s third-quarter fiscal 2023 results, released June 27, showed decent revenue expansion, but earnings per share fell $0.20 in the quarter versus the same period a year-ago. The company continues to offload shares of AmerisourceBergen Corp. (ABC) that it owns, and it lowered its fiscal year 2023 adjusted earnings per share guidance to the range of $4.00-$4.05 from $4.45-$4.65 previously. Though Walgreens has … Read more

ALERT: Going to “Fully Invested” in the Best Ideas Newsletter Portfolio

Image: Since the publishing of the first edition of the book Value Trap, the stylistic area of large cap growth (SCHG) has meaningfully outperformed both the equal-weight S&P 500 (SPY) and small cap value (IWN). Summary of Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio changes UnitedHealth Group (UNH): 0% –> 4%-6% Booking Holding (BKNG): 0% –> 4%-6% Chipotle (CMG): 1%-2% –> 6%-8% Technology Select Sector SPDR (XLK): 0% –> 4%-6% By Brian Nelson, CFA With the debt-ceiling debate behind the markets, the regional banking crisis largely in the rear-view mirror, and the Fed winning the fight against inflation, a continuation of the strength in the markets as witnessed from the October 2022 lows can probably be expected. We “rode” the latest upswing with … Read more