S&P 500 Poised to Make New Highs…Again?

The equity markets have welcomed a strong earnings season thus far, but valuation risk and tail uncertainties remain, not the least of which is the possibility of failed tax reform in the US. By Brian Nelson, CFA Money is cheap, and investors are partying like its 1999 all over again. The latest move on the trading vehicle for the S&P 500, the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) is yet again approaching new highs. We like the ongoing momentum in the stock market, something that we outlined in our “shocking” predictions for 2017, but we continue to reiterate our cautious stance, not only with respect to underlying valuations but also as it relates to the possibility of failed tax reform in … Read more

US Congress Is Getting Ready to Pass a Massive ~$2.2 Trillion Fiscal Stimulus Bill

Image Shown: US equities have started to recover some of their lost ground as the likelihood that the US Congress will pass a massive ~$2.2 trillion fiscal stimulus and emergency spending package, dubbed the CARES Act, has increased significantly over the past week as seen through the bounce in the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY). President Trump has clearly indicated that he intends to sign such a bill into law as soon as possible, with the US House of Representatives expected to take up the legislation this upcoming Friday morning on March 27. By Callum Turcan On March 25, the US Senate worked late into the night to secure a bipartisan compromise on a massive ~$2.2 trillion fiscal stimulus … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week Ending July 31

Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending July 31. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week Altria (MO): now $0.86 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.84. American Assets Trust (AAT): now $0.25 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.20. American States Water (AWR): now $0.335 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.305. Apollo Global Management (APO): now $0.49 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.42. Arbor Realty Trust (ABR): now $0.31 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.30. Artisan Partners Asset Management (APAM): now $0.67 per … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week of February 9

Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending February 9. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week                          3M (MMM): now $1.51 per share quarterly dividend, was $1.50. Allegion (ALLE): now $0.48 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.45. AllianceBernstein (AB): now $0.77 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.65. Amdocs (DOX): now $0.479 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.435. Ameren (AEE): now $0.67 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.63. American Assets Trust (AAT): now $0.335 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.330. American Financial … Read more

How to Think About Corporate Tax Reform

ICYMI — Video: Will Hasty Policy Facilitate the Next Leg Down, or Do We Have It Coming Anyway?

President of Investment Research and award-winning author of Value Trap: Theory of Universal Valuation Brian Nelson explains how US policymakers are stuck between a rock and a hard place, and how the market may be factoring in too high of a probability of a return to normalcy before 2021. This and more in the latest video report. Summary Make sure you review Value Trap on Amazon. Do so here. We think those that bought equities near the bottom of this swoon may be looking to take profits at present levels. The market is currently reflecting an 80%-85% probability of a return to normalcy before 2021, which we believe is too high at this time. Our main concern is that government … Read more

Valuentum: Now Bearish, We’ve Been Here Every Step of the Way

Valuentum Has Been Here Every Step of the Way   From the COVID-19 top in February 2020 to the COVID-19 bottom to the massive bull run through the end of 2021, we’ve been here for you.    2022 started out to be a rough year, catching many by surprise.   But Valuentum stayed positive. When the markets headed south in June, Valuentum stood its ground. On June 14, Valuentum said that “we still believe stocks could make a “huge rebound” in the near term.   We reiterated our views a few days later and on June 19, we said that “investors shouldn’t panic during this bear market” and that “stocks remain an attractive proposition at the moment and a very attractive consideration … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week of February 21

Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending February 21. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week                          Aker BP (AKRBF): now $0.63 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.60. Allison Transmission Holdings (ALSN): now $0.27 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.25. Analog Devices (ADI): now $0.99 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.92. Assured Guaranty (AGO): now $0.34 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.31. AstraZeneca Plc (AZNCF): now $2.10 per share semi-annual dividend, was $1.00. Atlas Energy Solution (AESI): now $0.25 per share … Read more

Nelson: The 16 Most Important Steps To Understand The Stock Market

A previous version of this article appeared on our website July 21, 2013. Refreshed and updated throughout, as of July 2018. By Brian Nelson, CFA After earning my MBA at the University of Chicago Booth School of Business and training stock and credit analysts from large organizations over the past decade or so, I have heard just about every question (though I admit I am still surprised by many things and remain a very humble student of the markets). I’ve also spent years perfecting the discounted cash flow process for large research organizations such as Morningstar and studied under one of the most famed aggressive growth investors of all time, Richard Driehaus. My knowledge runs the gamut from value through … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week Ending April 24

Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending April 24. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week ASML Holding N.V. (ASML): final EUR 1.35 semi-annual dividend, was EUR 1.05. Canadian Banc Corp (CNDCF): now CAD 0.0517 per share monthly dividend, was CAD 0.0367. Centamin plc (CELTF): interim $0.0600 dividend, was $0.0400. Delek Logistics Partners (DKL): now $0.89 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.885. Dime Community Bancshares 5.50% Fixed Rate Non-Cum Pptl Prfd Stk, Series A (DCOMP): now $0.38 per share quarterly dividend. Dividend … Read more