DD

Dow Chemical and DuPont Slash Jobs

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Chemical products firms Dow Chemical (click ticker for report: ) and DuPont (click ticker for report: ) announced significant job cuts after both reported terrible third-quarter results this week. Dow plans to cut roughly 2,400 positions, or about 5% of its workforce, and shut down about 20 manufacturing plants, while DuPont’s restructuring will eliminate 1,500 jobs globally in the next 12 to 18 months. The headline performance of both firms’ quarterly reports was appalling. Dow’s net profit tumbled 35% as pricing declines overwhelmed a modest increase in volume, while DuPont’s net income tumbled to just $10 million from $452 million in the prior-year period. Though DuPont boasts a higher Valuentum Dividend Cushion score than that of Dow Chemical, we’re not anxious to … Read more

Do Not Take DuPont’s Downward Revision Lightly; Signals Fourth-Quarter Earnings Season May Disappoint

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DuPont (DD) lowered its 2011 full-year earnings outlook Friday, noting slower growth in certain segments during the fourth quarter as a result of global economic uncertainty. Since our fair value estimates are based on a firm’s long-term projections to arrive at its intrinsic value, we are sticking with our fair value estimate for DuPont at this time. In short, we think DuPont still remains on track to achieve our long-term projections, despite the downward revision to this year’s earnings today. In DuPont’s release, management indicated the earnings slowdown reflects:  “destocking across polymers and certain industrial supply chains than accelerated during the fourth quarter. Consumer electronics demand has further softened, and housing and construction markets remain weak.” We’re taking this news, … Read more

Chemical Firms Continue to Worry About Economy; PPG Industries, Ecolab, and Eastman Chemical Stand Out in Second Quarter

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The most common theme expressed by constituents in the chemicals (broad) industry during the calendar second quarter had to do with concerns about the economy. The negative tone was so prevalent that either management teams in the industry have started to engage in an executive form of “group think” or the economic environment continues to be difficult for many cyclical and largely commoditized chemical entities. Many industries, including housing, aerospace, and automotive, continue to perform well, but we think the latter interpretation of such commentary is likely correct: Albemarle (ALB): “an economic environment that saw continued sluggishness across Europe…and a much weaker China” Air Products (APD): “continued economic weakness…our outlook for the remainder of the fiscal year continues to be … Read more

VIDEO/TRANSCRIPT: 2021 Valuentum Exclusive Call: Inflation Is Good

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Valuentum’s President Brian Michael Nelson, CFA, explains why investors should not fear inflation, why government agencies such as the Fed and Treasury are prioritizing something other than price discovery, why the 10-year Treasury rate is a must-watch metric, and why Valuentum prefers the moaty constituents in large cap growth due to their net cash rich balance sheets, tremendous free cash flow generating potential, and secular growth tailwinds. Transcript: << Valuentum’s Best Ideas On behalf of the Valuentum team, I’d like to present to you our prepared remarks for the Valuentum Exclusive conference call for 2021. It is both an honor and a privilege to share our team’s work with you, and I personally am very grateful for your continued interest … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week of February 10

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Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending February 10. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week                          3M (MMM): now $1.50 per share quarterly dividend, was $1.49. Allegion (ALLE): now $0.45 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.41. Ameren (AEE): now $0.63 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.59. American Homes 4 Rent (AMH): now $0.22 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.18. Ametek (AME): now $0.25 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.22. Ares Management (ARES): now $0.77 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.61. … Read more

2,350-2,750 on the S&P? Could the Coronavirus Catalyze a Financial Crisis?

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Image: We think a rather modest sell-off in the market to the target range of 2,350-2,750 on the S&P 500 is rather reasonable in the wake of one of the biggest economic shocks since the Global Financial Crisis. The chart above shows how far markets have advanced since 2011, and an adjustment lower to the target range of 2,350-2,750 is rather modest in such a context and would only bring markets to late 2018 levels (note red box as the target range). The range reflects ~16x S&P 500 12-month forward earnings estimates, as of February 14, adjusted down 10% due to COVID-19. When companies like Visa talk about a couple percentage points taken off of growth rates, one knows that … Read more

Nutrien Benefiting from the Strong Global Farm Economy, Shares Yield ~2.5%

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Image Source: Nutrien Limited – 2020 Annual Report Executive Summary: Nutrien Limited is benefiting from the strong global farm economy. The company sells tens of millions of metric tons of potash, nitrogen, and phosphate products every year, which are key ingredients used in the production of fertilizer. With geopolitical tensions building in Eastern Europe, Nutrien is preparing to bring idle potash production capacity in Canada back online while steadily expanding its nitrogen production capabilities. Nutrien is a great free cash flow generator with a promising growth outlook, though its net debt load is rather large. The firm is focusing on deleveraging activities in the near term, which we appreciate. Shares of NTR yield ~2.5% as of this writing, and we think … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week February 11

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Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending February 11. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week 3M (MMM): now $1.49 per share quarterly dividend, was $1.48. Algoma Steel Group (ASTL): now $0.05 per share quarterly dividend. Amdocs (DOX): now $0.395 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.360. Ameren (AEE): now $0.59 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.55. Ametek (AME): now $0.22 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.20. Ares Management (ARES): now $0.61 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.47. AstraZeneca PLC (AZN): now $1.97 … Read more