Putting the American in American Pharoah?

Image: American Pharoah at the start of the race at Belmont. Source: Diana Robinson Last year left a bad taste in the mouths of horseracing fans across the globe. California Chrome had come off two fantastic wins in the Kentucky Derby and Preakness Stakes in order to position itself for a chance to make history by becoming the first Triple Crown winner in 36 years! The last thoroughbred to take home such an honor was Affirmed in 1978. For those that may not follow the “sport of kings,” to win the coveted Triple Crown, a three-year-old horse must win the Kentucky Derby in Louisville on the first Saturday in May, the Preakness in Baltimore, Maryland, two weeks after that, and … Read more

Dividend Increases for the Week Ending October 31

Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending October 31. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week Access Midstream Partners (ACMP): now $0.615 per share quarterly distribution, was $0.5950. AFLAC (AFL): now $0.39 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.37. Allison Transmission (ALSN): now $0.15 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.12. Associated Banc (ASBC): now $0.10 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.09. Atlas Energy (ATLS): now $0.52 per share quarterly distribution, was $0.49. Atlas Pipeline (APL): now $0.64 per share quarterly distribution, was $0.63. … Read more

Gaming Troubles: Macau Gaming Revenue Under Pressure

Gambling in Macau, the Las Vegas of China or the “Monte Carlo of the Orient,” continues to fall, with September likely marking the fourth consecutive month of declines. According to some estimates, the gaming revenue drop in September will be in the double-digits. There are several issues plaguing Macau and driving uncertainty for many of the operators. Casino City Times perhaps said it best in their piece: Macau mired in cold streak: The mainland Chinese government is on an anti-corruption crusade, which has frightened off some high-end customers. Meanwhile, new visa restrictions implemented by Beijing have slowed visitation from neighboring provinces. A smoking ban on mass-market gaming floors will be implemented Oct. 6, adding uncertainty to revenue trends. Also in … Read more

Valuentum Economic Castleâ„¢ Rating Update

Read: Keeping the Horse Before the Cart: Valuentum’s Economic Castle™ Rating The Economic Castle Focuses on the Magnitude of Economic Value Creation The Valuentum Economic Castle™ rating is an enhancement of the competitive advantage framework (commonly known as economic moat analysis) that has become widespread and ubiquitous within the investing world. Whereas an economic moat framework evaluates a firm on the basis of the sustainability and durability of its competitive advantages, Valuentum’s Economic Castle™ rating evaluates a firm on the basis of the firm’s future economic profit spread (return on invested capital less its weighted average cost of capital). The companies with the strongest Valuentum Economic Castle™ ratings are poised to generate the most economic value for shareholders in the … Read more

The ‘House’ May Be Giving A Little Bit Back This Thanksgiving; It Did in October

The Gaming Control Board of the state of Nevada released its gaming revenues and collections Wednesday. For the month of October 2013, Nevada’s nonrestricted gaming licenses reported a total “gaming win” decrease of 2.58% compared to October 2012. Las Vegas strip revenue declined 5.06% from the same period a year ago. Though “gaming win” has still advanced 1.52% from July through October of this fiscal year versus last year’s mark, the decline in the month of October still compares to a 7.41% increase in September and an 11.17% increase in August, signaling a marked change in the trajectory. It’s worth noting that year-over-year fluctuations should be expected (as total “gaming win” declined nearly 8% in July of this year), but … Read more

How to Think About Corporate Tax Reform

Nelson: The 16 Most Important Steps To Understand The Stock Market

A previous version of this article appeared on our website July 21, 2013. Refreshed and updated throughout, as of July 2018. By Brian Nelson, CFA After earning my MBA at the University of Chicago Booth School of Business and training stock and credit analysts from large organizations over the past decade or so, I have heard just about every question (though I admit I am still surprised by many things and remain a very humble student of the markets). I’ve also spent years perfecting the discounted cash flow process for large research organizations such as Morningstar and studied under one of the most famed aggressive growth investors of all time, Richard Driehaus. My knowledge runs the gamut from value through … Read more

2,350-2,750 on the S&P? Could the Coronavirus Catalyze a Financial Crisis?

Image: We think a rather modest sell-off in the market to the target range of 2,350-2,750 on the S&P 500 is rather reasonable in the wake of one of the biggest economic shocks since the Global Financial Crisis. The chart above shows how far markets have advanced since 2011, and an adjustment lower to the target range of 2,350-2,750 is rather modest in such a context and would only bring markets to late 2018 levels (note red box as the target range). The range reflects ~16x S&P 500 12-month forward earnings estimates, as of February 14, adjusted down 10% due to COVID-19. When companies like Visa talk about a couple percentage points taken off of growth rates, one knows that … Read more

ICYMI — Podcast: 2nd Annual Nelson Exclusive Yearly Round Up Call

Tune in to President of Investment Research Brian Nelson’s Exclusive Yearly Roundup Call. Ladies and gentlemen, Thank you for joining us on our second annual Nelson Exclusive roundup call. I appreciate your interest very much, and I appreciate your attention even more. Just an important reminder, Valuentum is an information provider, not a broker or financial advisor, and we do not issue recommendations of any kind. With that said, let’s get started. These are the best of times. We have now surpassed the 9-year mark since the March 2009 panic bottom that sent shudders through the global financial system, and the US economy is as strong as it has ever been. US gross domestic product is now approaching $20 trillion … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week of December 1

Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending December 1. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week                          Absecon Bancorp (ASCN): now $3.00 per share annual dividend, was $2.20. Aura Minerals (ORAAF): now $0.25 per share semi-annual dividend, was $0.14. Bancorp. Of Southern Indiana (BCSO): now $0.92 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.65. Bank of Montreal (BMO): now CAD 1.51 per share quarterly dividend, was CAD 1.47. Bellway p.l.c. (BLWYY): now $1.104 per share semi-annual dividend, was $0.510. Canadian Imperial Bank (CM): … Read more