Teva Pharmaceuticals Committed to Acquiring Mylan

Image source: Teva July 5 investor presentation We have been adamant on our stance on Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio holding Teva Pharmaceuticals (TEVA) since the initiation of our thesis on the generics industry in June 2013, shortly before we initiated our position in the firm. Since then shares have advanced nearly 50%, and we’ve continued to let this winner run.   A large portion of Teva’s success has been tied to the incredible performance of Copaxone, the leading multiple sclerosis therapy worldwide. In the first quarter of 2015, the drug alone comprised 18.5% of revenue, while contributing an astounding ~55% of net income. These figures are down from the year-ago period–and the majority of its production life–due in part to … Read more

The Dividend Dilemma

One of the core tenets of the Valuentum process not only rests in the all-important price vs. value consideration (see Valuentum’s Brian Nelson talk about that here), but also in “letting winners run.” At first read, these two items appear to be at odds with each other. For example, we preach about getting stocks at a bargain, but yet, we don’t sell holdings when they start to move beyond our estimate of their fair value. What gives? At the Valuentum core, we prefer an entry point that corresponds to the time when shares have substantial valuation and pricing support (i.e. they have high Valuentum Buying Index ratings), and we prefer an exit point when shares have little valuation and pricing … Read more

Valuentum Economic Castleâ„¢ Rating Update

Read: Keeping the Horse Before the Cart: Valuentum’s Economic Castle™ Rating The Economic Castle Focuses on the Magnitude of Economic Value Creation The Valuentum Economic Castle™ rating is an enhancement of the competitive advantage framework (commonly known as economic moat analysis) that has become widespread and ubiquitous within the investing world. Whereas an economic moat framework evaluates a firm on the basis of the sustainability and durability of its competitive advantages, Valuentum’s Economic Castle™ rating evaluates a firm on the basis of the firm’s future economic profit spread (return on invested capital less its weighted average cost of capital). The companies with the strongest Valuentum Economic Castle™ ratings are poised to generate the most economic value for shareholders in the … Read more

Dividend Increases for the Week Ending May 9

Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending May 9. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week AAON (AAON): now $0.13 per share semi-annual dividend, was $0.10. Ametek (AME): now $0.09 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.06. Argo Group (AGII): now $0.18 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.15. Arsenal Energy (AEYIF): now $0.065 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.06. Assurant (AIZ): now $0.27 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.25. Autoliv (ALV): now $0.54 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.52. Baker Hughes (BHI): now … Read more

Surveying Fourth Quarter Earnings at Health Care Firms

The broader equity markets have been under pressure for much of January, and while it may be tempting to consider completely exiting stock investing for a time, we’re staying the course with both of our actively-managed portfolios. We had been expecting a contraction in price-to-earnings (P/E) multiples across the broader market (see our outlook here), and the performance thus far in 2014 has not been surprising. In case you may have missed it, I sent out some very important thoughts over the weekend to keep in mind as uncertainty and volatility increase through the course of 2014: Stay focused on @Valuentum portfolio holdings (best ideas), #asset allocation (cash) in portfolios and #prudence in allocating new capital. — Brian Nelson, CFA … Read more

Valuentum: Now Bearish, We’ve Been Here Every Step of the Way

Valuentum Has Been Here Every Step of the Way   From the COVID-19 top in February 2020 to the COVID-19 bottom to the massive bull run through the end of 2021, we’ve been here for you.    2022 started out to be a rough year, catching many by surprise.   But Valuentum stayed positive. When the markets headed south in June, Valuentum stood its ground. On June 14, Valuentum said that “we still believe stocks could make a “huge rebound” in the near term.   We reiterated our views a few days later and on June 19, we said that “investors shouldn’t panic during this bear market” and that “stocks remain an attractive proposition at the moment and a very attractive consideration … Read more

The Dividend Cushion Meets the Dividend Aristocrats

By Brian Nelson, CFA At Valuentum, we know that forward-looking dividend analysis and opinion is all that matters for most income investors. That’s why we’ve provided the following screen of key constituents in the SPDR S&P Dividend ETF (SDY) and their forward-looking Dividend Cushion ratio. After all, the past is just the past. The future is what counts. The SPDR S&P Dividend ETF is a fund that tracks the the S&P High Yield Dividend Aristocrats Index, which is “designed to measure the performance of the highest dividend-yielding S&P Composite 1500 Index constituents that have followed a managed-dividends policy of consistently increasing dividends every year for at least 20 consecutive years.” To access either the 16-page stock report or the dividend report of each firm in the following modified ‘Aristocrats’ … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week Ending May 11

Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending May 11. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week Algonquin Power & Utilities (AQN): now $0.1282 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.1165. Baker Hughes (BHGE): now $0.18 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.12. Baxter (BAX): now $0.19 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.16. BG Staffing (BGSF): now $0.30 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.25. Brookline Bancorp (BRKL): now $0.10 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.09. Business First Bancshares (BFST): now $0.08 per share quarterly dividend, … Read more

Nelson: The 16 Most Important Steps To Understand The Stock Market

A previous version of this article appeared on our website July 21, 2013. Refreshed and updated throughout, as of July 2018. By Brian Nelson, CFA After earning my MBA at the University of Chicago Booth School of Business and training stock and credit analysts from large organizations over the past decade or so, I have heard just about every question (though I admit I am still surprised by many things and remain a very humble student of the markets). I’ve also spent years perfecting the discounted cash flow process for large research organizations such as Morningstar and studied under one of the most famed aggressive growth investors of all time, Richard Driehaus. My knowledge runs the gamut from value through … Read more

Healthcare Earnings Update Featuring Johnson and Johnson, Cardinal Health and Abbott Labs

The upcoming deluge of earnings over the next couple of weeks offers a glimpse into the ongoing business prospects for the various companies in our coverage universe. Let’s discuss the recent news release of a few prominent names in the healthcare industry. Alexander J. Poulos Is There Trouble Brewing at JNJ? Image Source: Johnson & Johnson Shares of Johnson and Johnson (JNJ) faced modest share-price pressure following its first-quarter earnings results April 18. Though we still like J&J in both newsletter portfolios, we were somewhat concerned about its less-than-stellar showing during the quarter in the all-important Pharmaceutical division, which accounts for over 40% of JNJ’s sales. During the period, revenue still increased in its Pharmaceutical division (+0.8 worldwide; 1.4% operationally) … Read more