Exclusive Analysis for the Discerning Investor
President of Investment Research Brian Nelson gives a plethora of reasons why the dividend discount model is dead and expresses his worries about how it continues to be used academically and professionally. Also included is a discussion about why the weighted average cost of capital, or the WACC, is used in the enterprise free cash flow valuation process, or the free cash flow to the firm process. Running time: ~13 minutes.
President of Investment Research Brian Nelson defines the concept of universal value and shows how quantitative statistical methods are inextricably linked to those of fundamental, financial, business-model related analysis. Value does not exist in respective process vacuums! Value is universal. Find out why. Running time: ~10 minutes. Tickerized for Valuentum’s stock and ETF coverage universe. Transcript Hi this is Brian Nelson from Valuentum Securities, and this is the tenth edition of a series that I call “Off the Cuff,” where I get in front of the camera and I talk for ten minutes. This is what we have to talk about today. We have to talk about this concept: The Theory of Universal Value. Value does not exist in vacuums … Read more
Valuentum’s President Brian Nelson pauses for a picture before speaking at the CFA Society of Houston in March 2017. By Valuentum Editorial Staff Let’s cover Valuentum’s 3 major breakthroughs in the field of finance. The first one is big and may challenge you to rethink everything you think you know about investing. 1. On a logical framework, Valuentum has debunked John C. Bogle’s landmark syllogism that has paved the way for the concept of index investing. Index investing has been built on a logical shortcoming, whether supported by evidence or not. We think it is important that the investment community know of this. Read (pdf): The “Luck” and “Randomness” of Index Funds (2018), Brian Nelson, CFA See video documentation: /FALLACY_of_Index_Funds To … Read more
Tickerized for holdings in the XLV and IBB. Cystic Fibrosis is a rare disease that afflicts an estimated seventy-five thousand patients worldwide. Vertex Pharmaceuticals is the first to market with a combination treatment to treat a portion of the overall patient population. Will Vertex win the race to bring forth a triple therapy to treat the vast majority of those afflicted? By Alexander J. Poulos Cystic fibrosis (CF) is a recessive genetic disorder. The patient that is afflicted will carry two copies of the cystic fibrosis conductance regulator protein (CFTR) gene. The CFTR gene allows the body to produce the CFTR protein, whose function is to remove chloride from the cells. Patients that have CF will suffer from a “thickening” … Read more
The medical instruments industry is a group characterized in part by diversity, and as such, there are ideas of all shapes and sizes. Let’s dig into two overvalued companies in the space and what put them in their current positions. By Alexander J. Poulos and Kris Rosemann The medical instruments industry has something to offer investors of all strategies. From growth candidates to defensive plays to dividend growth ideas, the medical instruments industry has you covered. However, we’re not seeing much valuation opportunity in the medical instruments industry at this point in time. The market’s advance post the election of Donald Trump has stretched many companies’ valuation metrics past historical norms, and this note intends to highlight two of the … Read more
Image shown: Wall Street Journal front pages from the Financial Crisis — a reminder that an investor cannot control the markets.
Should this be added to the “13 Steps…” piece?
Let’s cover some ground on Medtronic’s (MDT) calendar third-quarter report, its second-quarter fiscal 2017 results. By Brian Nelson, CFA What management said: “Q2 revenue was disappointing and did not meet our expectations. We faced issues that affected our growth, including slower than expected revenue as we await new product introductions, particularly in CVG and Diabetes,” said Omar Ishrak, Medtronic chairman and chief executive officer. “Despite this revenue shortfall, we produced a strong improvement in operating margins and double digit constant currency earnings per share growth.” The scoop: Medtronic probably did more to frighten investors with its use of the word “disappointing” in its fiscal second-quarter press release, issued November 22, than anything fundamental. Fiscal second-quarter revenue increased 4%, or 3% … Read more
The Valuentum analyst team digs deep into recent trends in big pharma and biotech from the lofty pricing of drugs to political and competitive pressures to ETF considerations and beyond. ~10 mins. If you cannot view the podcast below, please view the transcript below or select the link here. Tickerized for holdings in the XLV and IBB. Brian Nelson, CFA Gilead’s (GILD) hepatitis C regimen, almost a hundred thousand dollars. Vertex’s (VRTX) cystic fibrosis drug — hundreds of thousands of dollars per year. Have the drug companies lost their mind? This is Brian Nelson from Valuentum Securities, and today joining me is Mr. Kris Rosemann and Mr. Chris Araos — and we are going to talk everything healthcare, biotech… Mr. … Read more
The Valuentum analyst team explains the difference between the adjusted Dividend Cushion ratio and its unadjusted counterpart. The success of the Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio is covered, and Valuentum’s top 3 dividend growth ideas are unveiled. ~13 minutes. If you are unable to view the video below, please select the link here or view the transcript below. Kris Rosemann: Hello and welcome to the Valuentum Securities podcast. My name is Kris Rosemann and with me today is Chris Araos and Brian Nelson, the president of equity research and ETF analysis here at Valuentum, and today we’re going to be discussing the Dividend Cushion ratio, the Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio, and some of our favorite dividend ideas on the market today. So … Read more
Below we provide a list of firms that raised/lowered their dividends during the week ending June 10. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week Advanced Drainage Systems (WMS): now $0.06 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.05. Armanino Foods of Distinction (AMNF): now $0.02 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.019. C.R. Bard (BCR): now $0.26 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.24. FedEx (FDX): now $0.40 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.25. H&R Block (HRB): now $0.22 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.20. National Fuel Gas Company (NFG): now $0.405 per share … Read more