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ICYMI: Valuentum’s Improved Stock and ETF Web Pages

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Valuentum has rolled out improved stock and ETF web pages on its website valuentum.com/. Now, subscribers can access key proprietary information on the stock and ETF web pages in addition to the customary stock and ETF reports. Dear reader, We have some exciting news that we can’t wait to share with you! At valuentum.com/, we have rolled out new stock and ETF pages that conveniently include a variety of our proprietary metrics from the Dividend Cushion ratio to the Economic Castle rating and beyond! There’s even mouseover functionality so you can learn about how we define the key metrics across our stock-selection and dividend growth methodologies. You’ll still have access to the stock and dividend reports on the landing pages, … Read more

The “Luck” and “Randomness” of Index Funds

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Please select the image below to download the document. Image shown, page 1 of 14. Tickerized for Valuentum’s coverage universe.

Video: Quants! You’re NOT Measuring VALUE and Nelson’s Theory of Universal Value

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President of Investment Research Brian Nelson defines the concept of universal value and shows how quantitative statistical methods are inextricably linked to those of fundamental, financial, business-model related analysis. Value does not exist in respective process vacuums! Value is universal. Find out why. Running time: ~10 minutes.  Tickerized for Valuentum’s stock and ETF coverage universe. Transcript Hi this is Brian Nelson from Valuentum Securities, and this is the tenth edition of a series that I call “Off the Cuff,” where I get in front of the camera and I talk for ten minutes. This is what we have to talk about today. We have to talk about this concept: The Theory of Universal Value. Value does not exist in vacuums … Read more

Valuentum’s 3 Breakthroughs in the Field of Finance and More

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Valuentum’s President Brian Nelson pauses for a picture before speaking at the CFA Society of Houston in March 2017. By Valuentum Editorial Staff Let’s cover Valuentum’s 3 major breakthroughs in the field of finance. The first one is big and may challenge you to rethink everything you think you know about investing. 1. On a logical framework, Valuentum has debunked John C. Bogle’s landmark syllogism that has paved the way for the concept of index investing. Index investing has been built on a logical shortcoming, whether supported by evidence or not. We think it is important that the investment community know of this. Read (pdf): The “Luck” and “Randomness” of Index Funds (2018), Brian Nelson, CFA See video documentation: /FALLACY_of_Index_Funds To … Read more

Tough Times for Rails

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Key Takeaways: The North American railroad industry is oligopolistic in nature, and we love the barriers to entry and pricing strength that come with it. North American railroad operators have been hit by volume declines across a wide range of end markets. Currency movements and global economic concerns aren’t helping matters. Union Pacific remains our choice for exposure to the space. Though others present interesting opportunities as well, we think the firm’s operating ratio has the most upside from current levels in addition to it having some attractive market positioning. “…we’re not thrilled by the performance of Union Pacific since it was added to the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio, but the railroad industry offers such a strong fundamental backdrop that … Read more

Part I: Nelson’s Notes on Berkshire Hathaway’s 2014 Newsletter

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Hi all, It has taken me a few weeks to get a chance to read the annual newsletter of Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A, BRK.B), and this year’s installment was not a disappointment. For me personally, there’s not a lot of incremental insights that are gleaned, but I like reviewing the newsletter because the annual installment is invaluable for new investors, especially those looking to learn about the markets and how to think about them. What I’ll do below and in future parts is pull out a sentence or paragraph from the annual report and add to it or comment on it in order to provide further perspective. It should make for some great conversation. I’m not sure how many … Read more

Union Pacific Still on Track

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Union Pacific (UNP) reported solid second-quarter results July 24 and raised its quarterly dividend 10% today. The headline to the railroad’s second-quarter results said it best: All-Time Quarterly Records. The firm’s operating revenue advanced 10%, operating income increased 17%, and diluted earnings per share leapt 21%, to $1.43, all over the same period a year ago. Union Pacific’s operating ratio—the inverse of the operating margin in railroad speak—advanced 2.2 points, to 63.5%, as efficiency improvements and price increases drive the higher levels of profitability. Ongoing improvement to the firm’s operating ratio is core to our fundamental thesis on the company. Railroads simply have fantastic business models, and we think the group is on the cusp of a multi-year cycle of … Read more

Valuentum Economic Castleâ„¢ Rating Update

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Read: Keeping the Horse Before the Cart: Valuentum’s Economic Castle™ Rating The Economic Castle Focuses on the Magnitude of Economic Value Creation The Valuentum Economic Castle™ rating is an enhancement of the competitive advantage framework (commonly known as economic moat analysis) that has become widespread and ubiquitous within the investing world. Whereas an economic moat framework evaluates a firm on the basis of the sustainability and durability of its competitive advantages, Valuentum’s Economic Castle™ rating evaluates a firm on the basis of the firm’s future economic profit spread (return on invested capital less its weighted average cost of capital). The companies with the strongest Valuentum Economic Castle™ ratings are poised to generate the most economic value for shareholders in the … Read more

Air Quality Standards Take Aim at Coal

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After competing with an abundance of lower-priced, cleaner natural gas, coal miners (KOL) may now have to deal with more demand headwinds as governments aim to reduce coal burning. The US Expectations are already for as much as 27 gigawatts’ worth of coal generation (about 8.5% of the US coal fleet) to retire by 2016. This percentage could rise to nearly 17% (one-sixth) by 2020, according to the Energy Information Administration. In addition to the expected retirements, the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) plans to block all new coal-fired plants unless the construction of these plants coincides with expensive technology that captures greenhouse gas emissions. Image Source: Energy Information Administration Though the EPA forecasts that no traditional coal-fired power plants (1) … Read more