AAPL

Valuentum: Now Bearish, We’ve Been Here Every Step of the Way

by

Valuentum Has Been Here Every Step of the Way   From the COVID-19 top in February 2020 to the COVID-19 bottom to the massive bull run through the end of 2021, we’ve been here for you.    2022 started out to be a rough year, catching many by surprise.   But Valuentum stayed positive. When the markets headed south in June, Valuentum stood its ground. On June 14, Valuentum said that “we still believe stocks could make a “huge rebound” in the near term.   We reiterated our views a few days later and on June 19, we said that “investors shouldn’t panic during this bear market” and that “stocks remain an attractive proposition at the moment and a very attractive consideration … Read more

January 5-9: The Week That Was – Drowning in Crude

by

By Brian Nelson, CFA The first full week of 2015 was a wild one! Monday and Tuesday brought some hefty losses to the indices, but the middle of the week helped recover most of the ground, only to give some of it back Friday. When all was said and done, however, the S&P 500 still closed comfortably above 2040, a huge leap from just 5-6 years ago. We’re still enjoying the good times, with economic data still coming in relatively sanguine. Like a frog in water, the markets are just waiting for the next shoe to drop, and the Federal Reserve is doing all that it can to assure investors that the Yellen-put is there to prop up the markets should … Read more

Economic Roundtable: Quant Quake, Quac-cidental Correlation

by

Image Source: Anders Sandberg.  Last week, the markets may have revealed that internals aren’t all that healthy. Major equity markets experienced a “rotation” that reminded many investors of the “quant quake” from August 2007. As Valuentum’s Brian Nelson wrote in Value Trap, “just a few bad days in the market caused a rapid unwinding of many quant long-short strategies (back then). Goldman’s chief financial officer said at the time that the firm was witnessing ‘25-standard deviation moves, several days in a row.’” On the surface, markets last week seemed relatively calm, but as the episode in 2007 revealed the activity last week may just be the calm before the storm. Many are pointing to overcrowded trades in betting against certain … Read more

Nelson: The 16 Most Important Steps To Understand The Stock Market

by

A previous version of this article appeared on our website July 21, 2013. Refreshed and updated throughout, as of July 2018. By Brian Nelson, CFA After earning my MBA at the University of Chicago Booth School of Business and training stock and credit analysts from large organizations over the past decade or so, I have heard just about every question (though I admit I am still surprised by many things and remain a very humble student of the markets). I’ve also spent years perfecting the discounted cash flow process for large research organizations such as Morningstar and studied under one of the most famed aggressive growth investors of all time, Richard Driehaus. My knowledge runs the gamut from value through … Read more

Understanding How Dividends Impact Intrinsic Value Estimation

by

  “Dividends are a transfer of cash to the shareholders that the shareholders owned anyway.” — Brian Nelson, CFA By Brian Nelson, CFA Many investors use the strategy of dividend growth investing as a means to generate increasing income in their retirement portfolios to stay ahead of inflation, or as a means to grow an income stream in the decades before retirement. Though we think such a strategy has merit, we think it’s important for readers to understand how a cash dividend payment impacts the valuation (intrinsic worth) of a company. In this article and for analytical purposes, we use the terms ‘dividend’ and ‘distribution’ interchangeably, even though the tax implications for investors are different. Let’s address the important concept … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week Ending April 29

by

Below we provide a list of firms that raised/lowered their dividends during the week ending April 29. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week abaxis (ABAX): now $0.12 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.11.         Allegiant Travel Company (ALGT): now $0.70 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.30. American National Insurance (ANAT): now $0.82 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.80. AmeriGas Partners (APU): now $0.94 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.92. Ameriprise Financial (AMP): now $0.75 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.67. Apple (AAPL): now $0.57 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.52. … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week Ending May 4

by

Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending May 4. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week 1st Source (SRCE): now $0.24 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.22. Allied Motion Technologies (AMOT): now $0.03 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.025. American Campus Communities (ACC): now $0.46 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.44. Apple (AAPL): now $0.73 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.63. Arbor Realty Trust (ABR): now $0.25 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.21. Artesian Resources (ARTNA): now $0.2387 per share quarterly dividend, … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week Ending May 3

by

Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending May 3. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week Alexander & Baldwin (ALEX): now $0.165 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.145. American Campus Communities (ACC): now $0.47 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.46. Ames National Corporation (ATLO): now $0.24 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.23. Apple (AAPL): now $0.77 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.73. BP Midstream Partners (BPMP): now $0.3126 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.3015. Cal-Maine Foods (CALM): now $0.272 per share quarterly … Read more

ICYMI — Video: Will Hasty Policy Facilitate the Next Leg Down, or Do We Have It Coming Anyway?

by

President of Investment Research and award-winning author of Value Trap: Theory of Universal Valuation Brian Nelson explains how US policymakers are stuck between a rock and a hard place, and how the market may be factoring in too high of a probability of a return to normalcy before 2021. This and more in the latest video report. Summary Make sure you review Value Trap on Amazon. Do so here. We think those that bought equities near the bottom of this swoon may be looking to take profits at present levels. The market is currently reflecting an 80%-85% probability of a return to normalcy before 2021, which we believe is too high at this time. Our main concern is that government … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week April 30

by

Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending April 30. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week Alexander & Baldwin (ALEX): now $0.16 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.15. Altra Industrial Motion (AIMC): now $0.08 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.06. Ameriprise Financial (AMP): now $1.13 per share quarterly dividend, was $1.04. American Water Works (AWK): now $0.6025 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.5500. Ames National (ATLO): now $0.26 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.25. Apple (AAPL): now $0.22 per share quarterly dividend, … Read more