ICYMI — Video: Will Hasty Policy Facilitate the Next Leg Down, or Do We Have It Coming Anyway?

President of Investment Research and award-winning author of Value Trap: Theory of Universal Valuation Brian Nelson explains how US policymakers are stuck between a rock and a hard place, and how the market may be factoring in too high of a probability of a return to normalcy before 2021. This and more in the latest video report. Summary Make sure you review Value Trap on Amazon. Do so here. We think those that bought equities near the bottom of this swoon may be looking to take profits at present levels. The market is currently reflecting an 80%-85% probability of a return to normalcy before 2021, which we believe is too high at this time. Our main concern is that government … Read more

VBI Ratings Not as Impressive As We Would Have Liked in 2022

Image: How the VBI rating system has ranked equities so far this year. By Brian Nelson, CFA At Valuentum, we use the Valuentum Buying Index (VBI) to source ideas into diversified simulated newsletter portfolios, and the VBI may be most applicable to the simulated Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio, where we generally like to include ideas when they register a high VBI rating and remove them when they register a low VBI rating. We always use the VBI in a portfolio setting and never by itself. But what about the Valuentum Buying Index ratings, themselves? How did they “perform” during 2022 in one of the worst years for stock market investors in history? Well, not as spectacular as we would have … Read more

Men’s Wearhouse Changes Its Style

After the market closed Wednesday afternoon, Men’s Wearhouse (click ticker for report: ) reported relatively uneventful fourth quarter results that were overshadowed by the company’s strategy change. After announcing the appointment of John Kimmins to chief financial officer last week, the company unveiled that it hired Jefferies to evaluate strategic alternatives for its K&G unit (potentially a sale), which has struggled immensely. The company will focus on Men’s Wearhouse and Moore’s. The firm also added $155 million to its share repurchase authorization, giving the company the ability to repurchase $200 million shares. On top of share repurchases, it announced an amendment to its current credit facility. Kimmins must have been busy. As for K&G, we believe market participants think the company is signaling it will … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week February 25

Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending February 25. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week Aaron’s (AAN): now $0.1125 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.1000.           Agnico Eagle (AEM): now $0.40 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.35. Albemarle (ALB): now $0.395 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.390. Alexander & Baldwin (ALEX): now $0.19 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.18. Allison Transmission Holdings (ALSN): now $0.21 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.19. AMERISAFE (AMSF): now $0.31 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.29. Apple … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week of March 1

Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending March 1. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week                          ADT (ADT): now $0.055 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.035. Allison Transmission Holdings (ALSN): now $0.25 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.23. Ampol Limited (CTXAY): now $1.574 per share semi-annual dividend, was $1.169. Anheuser-Busch InBev (BUD): now EUR 0.82 per share annual dividend, was EUR 0.50. ASMPT (ASMVF): now HK$ 0.26 per share final dividend. ASX Limited (ASXFY): now $0.607 per share semi-annual dividend, … Read more

Valuentum Weekly Web Commentary

Stocks mentioned in this edition: Airbus (EADSY), Anthem (ANTM), Boeing (BA), Canada Pacific (CP), Chipotle (CMG), Cigna (CI), CSX (CSX), International Flavors & Fragrances (IFF), Lockheed Martin (LMT), NextEra (NEE), Rockwell Collins (COL), Stanley Black & Decker (SWK), Ulta Salon (ULTA), Union Pacific (UNP), UnitedHealth (UNH), Utilities Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLU), Vulcan Materials (VMC), W. W. Grainger (GWW) Chipotle Not Showing Signs Of Recovery What we originally believed to be a transient issue has turned into an extended public relations nightmare for fast-casual restaurant chain Chipotle (CMG). Though we do not necessarily question the safety of its food, we view its brand as damaged and the potential reward that would come along with a return to favor in the … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week of April 5

Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending April 5. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week                          AGF Management Limited (AGF.B:CA): now CAD 0.115 per share quarterly dividend, was CAD 0.110. Bank OZK (OZK): now $0.39 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.38. BBVA Compass Bancshares (BBVA): now $0.425 per share semi-annual dividend, was $0.333. CaixaBank, S.A. (CAIXY): now $0.1009 per share annual dividend, was $0.0509. Cathay Pacific Airways (CPCAY): now $0.254 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.100. Cobra Venture Corporation (CBVTF): … Read more

There Is Milk At The Store

This article first appeared in the September edition of the High Yield Dividend Newsletter. For more information about this publication, please see here. “Now this is not the end. It is not even the beginning of the end. But it is, perhaps, the end of the beginning.” — Winston Churchill By Brian Nelson, CFA Very few of us could have imagined that we’d witness the bull market that began on that fateful day in March 2009 that might very well mark a generational low. In 2009, major investment banks around the globe were struggling to survive, and the fallout in the mortgage markets left the banks holding paper that nobody wanted to own, let alone buy. The global financial system … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week December 11

Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending December 11. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week Abbott Laboratories (ABT): now $0.45 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.36. Abitibi Royalties (ATBYF): now CAD 0.015 per share monthly dividend, was CAD 0.013. AES (AES): now $0.1505 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.1433. Albany (AIN): now $0.20 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.19. Alexandria Real Estate Equities (ARE): now $1.09 per share quarterly dividend, was $1.06. Alico (ALCO): now $0.18 per share quarterly dividend, was … Read more

Qurate Retail Faces Difficult Turnaround Process

Image Source: Qurate Retail Inc – First Quarter of 2022 IR Earnings Presentation Executive Summary: Qurate Retail Inc is home to several well-known retail brands including QVC and HSN that operate television networks and online marketplaces that sell curated products. The company is contending with several exogenous shocks such as inflationary pressures and supply chain hurdles, while customer engagement levels are on the decline after growing during the initial phases of the COVID-19 pandemic. Qurate Retail has a massive net debt load and sizable annual financing obligations, and its margins have deteriorated substantially of late. Due to its complex share structure and management organization, weak financial position, and lackluster outlook, we are not interested in Qurate Retail’s common or preferred … Read more