OAS

Valuentum’s Theses on Best Ideas Chevron and Exxon Mobil Playing Out

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By Callum Turcan Raw energy resources pricing has surged higher during the past year with room to run. The global energy complex is on the rebound as demand for crude oil and refined petroleum products is steadily recovering from the worst of the coronavirus (‘COVID-19’) pandemic. As demand for electricity and heating needs held up well during the pandemic, liquified natural gas prices (‘LNG’) put up a strong year in 2021 and remain elevated. The OPEC+ cartel is committed to slowly phasing out its crude oil supply curtailment agreement first enacted in 2020, effectively limiting growth in global oil supplies at a time when demand is rebounding at a brisk pace. We view the near-term outlook for the global energy … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week July 2

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Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending July 2. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week AGF Management (AGFMF): now CAD 0.09 per share quarterly dividend, was CAD 0.08. Alta Equipment Group Inc. 10% DP SHS PFD A (ALTG.PA): now $0.625 per share quarterly dividend. Arbor Realty Trust Series D Pfd. (ABR.PD): now $0.25677 per share dividend. Armanino Foods of Distinction (AMNF): now $0.0275 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.0225. Banco Bradesco (BBD): now $0.737 per share monthly dividend, was $0.03. Boise … Read more

ETF Analysis: Energy

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Charting Cash Flow and Net Debt — The Oil Majors

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Traditional free cash flow generation has been strong for the oil majors through the first nine months of the year, but their balance sheets remain bloated with net debt. A few haven’t covered their cash dividends with free cash flow generation through the first nine months of 2017. Oil & Gas – Major: BP, COP, CVX, PTR, RDS, TOT, XOM

Prepared Remarks From Nelson Exclusive Conference Call June 30

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Read President of Investment Research Brian Nelson’s prepared remarks for the yearly roundup conference call, held for Nelson Exclusive members. If you would like to subscribe to the Nelson Exclusive publication, please learn more about the publication here. The Nelson Exclusive publication does not reflect real performance. Performance is hypothetical and does not represent actual trading. Ladies and Gentlemen, Thank you very much for joining us on the first conference call for members of the Nelson Exclusive publication. The first year of the publication has surely been an exciting one for all involved. When I first wrote the introductory letter of the Nelson Exclusive on July 1, 2016, we were well-aware the market had laid down the gauntlet for this publication. … Read more

Valuentum’s 3 Breakthroughs in the Field of Finance and More

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Valuentum’s President Brian Nelson pauses for a picture before speaking at the CFA Society of Houston in March 2017. By Valuentum Editorial Staff Let’s cover Valuentum’s 3 major breakthroughs in the field of finance. The first one is big and may challenge you to rethink everything you think you know about investing. 1. On a logical framework, Valuentum has debunked John C. Bogle’s landmark syllogism that has paved the way for the concept of index investing. Index investing has been built on a logical shortcoming, whether supported by evidence or not. We think it is important that the investment community know of this. Read (pdf): The “Luck” and “Randomness” of Index Funds (2018), Brian Nelson, CFA See video documentation: /FALLACY_of_Index_Funds To … Read more

Not Doom and Gloom – But Just Cautious…

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You wouldn’t know it on the basis of the strong US market action January 26, but it wasn’t all quiet in overnight trading. Local markets in China (FXI) took another hit, with Shanghai and Shenzhen exchanges experiencing declines to the magnitude of 6%-7%+ on the session. Though some optimistically dismiss the local China markets as irrelevant, the implications on weakened Chinese banks, other Asian nations via trade, and interconnected financial institutions from Standard Charted to HSBC (HSBC) and even Citigroup (C) are material, in our view, and we’re paying close attention. Some may even say that China stocks represent less than 15% of household financial assets in the country — certainly not enough to cause a global calamity… Or is … Read more

The Walking Dead?

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At 453.6 million barrels, U.S. crude oil inventories remain near levels not seen for this time of year in at least the last 80 years. – Summary of Weekly Petroleum Data for the Week Ending August 7, 2015 The oil & gas energy complex is nearing a state of panic, if it isn’t already in one. We’ve been talking about the glut of energy resource supply for many months now, and our impeccable positioning in the newsletter portfolios long before the collapse in prices is well known. Kinder Morgan (KMI) had been a relative outperformer in the Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio until we removed it at $40 per share a couple of months ago. The same had been true with … Read more

Buffett Doubles Down on USG; Teva Expected to Appoint New CEO; Crude by Rail Transportation Comes under Scrutiny

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The day after the New Year holiday was light with news, as expected, but there were three developments that we thought you should be aware of. We recently highlighted the third-quarter performance of USG (USG), the maker of wallboard under the SHEETROCK name, as it scored one of the highest ratings of a 9 on the Valuentum Buying Index in late October. Warren Buffett on Thursday announced that he has increased his stake in the firm, to 30.5% (more than double previously-reported figures). According to a recently-filed Schedule 13D/A, he now owns 43.4 million shares of the firm. USG continues to be significantly undervalued on the basis of our discounted cash-flow process, and we peg its fair value estimate north … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week March 11

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Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending March 11. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week      AFC Gamma (AFCG): now $0.55 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.50. American Assets Trust (AAT): now $0.32 per share quarterly dividend was $0.30. American Express (AXP): now $0.52 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.43. American Tower (AMT): now $1.40 per share quarterly dividend, was $1.39. AngloGold Ashanti (AU): now $0.145 per share dividend, was $0.059. Applied Materials (AMAT): now $0.26 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.24. … Read more