Amazon To Buy Whole Foods: Not Creative Destruction, Just Destruction

Image Source: Mike Mozart Amazon announced plans to buy Whole Foods. We’re viewing the news as affirmation of our decision to stay largely away from retail exposure in the newsletter portfolios. We think a bidding war for Whole Foods is possible, mostly to keep it and its real estate out of the hands of Amazon, potentially setting up for a true “winner’s curse” scenario. The winner will overpay. By Brian Nelson, CFA We’re not pleased, but then again, it’s okay. Amazon (AMZN) announced June 16 that it will buy high-end grocer Whole Foods (WFM) for $42 per share in cash. Though we mentioned that Amazon was expanding into the grocery store market anecdotally, we must say that it still is … Read more

Valuentum’s 3 Breakthroughs in the Field of Finance and More

Valuentum’s President Brian Nelson pauses for a picture before speaking at the CFA Society of Houston in March 2017. By Valuentum Editorial Staff Let’s cover Valuentum’s 3 major breakthroughs in the field of finance. The first one is big and may challenge you to rethink everything you think you know about investing. 1. On a logical framework, Valuentum has debunked John C. Bogle’s landmark syllogism that has paved the way for the concept of index investing. Index investing has been built on a logical shortcoming, whether supported by evidence or not. We think it is important that the investment community know of this. Read (pdf): The “Luck” and “Randomness” of Index Funds (2018), Brian Nelson, CFA See video documentation: /FALLACY_of_Index_Funds To … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week Ending August 7

Below we provide a list of firms that raised/lowered their dividends during the week ending August 7. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week American International Group (AIG): now $0.28 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.125. AmTrust Financial Services (AFSI): now $0.30 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.25. Aqua America (WTR): now $0.178 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.165. Atrion (ATRI): $0.90 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.75. Carlisle (CSL): now $0.30 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.25. Chemed (CHE): now $0.24 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.22. Colony Financial … Read more

Williams’ Rejection, Medtronic’s Hike, eBay’s Sale, and Hershey’s Disappointment

Williams Companies Rejects Offer from Energy Transfer Equity Natural gas pipeline company Williams Companies (WMB) has seen shares jump after Energy Transfer Equity (ETE) confirmed reports that it had made a bid to acquire the company. Despite the all-equity offer of $64 per share representing a 32% premium to Williams’ June 19 closing price, the offer was rejected by the firm as significantly too low. ETE has made multiple attempts to talk with Williams’ management about a possible merger in the past half year, and ETE has said its offer is contingent on the abortion of Williams’ pending purchase of Williams Partners (WPZ). The initial offer came on May 19, six days after Williams Companies announced it would buy Williams … Read more

Rio Tinto Remains One of Our Favorite Ideas for Commodities Exposure

Firms in commodities-driven industries are notoriously difficult to value–not only is there execution risk related to their cost structures but the price they receive for the respective commodities that they produce is cyclical—and driven by external factors beyond their individual control. For example, BHP Billiton (BHP) can’t necessarily raise its prices on standard-grade iron-ore at a high-single-digit pace unless the market colludes (others follow along with its price hike). This is unlike a company such as Hershey (HSY) that can hike prices almost at will to offset rising cocoa costs. That’s why commodities firms can only carve out competitive advantages by being the low-cost provider (their prices are set by the marketplace). Though it is more difficult for a commodities-producing … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week Ending July 25

Below we provide a list of firms that raised/lowered their dividends during the week ending July 25. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week Alliance Bancorp (ALLB): now $0.06 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.05. Altera (ALTR): now $0.18 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.15. BancorpSouth (BXS): now $0.075 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.05. BankFinancial (BFIN): now $0.02 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.01. Bar Harbor Bankshares (BHB): now $0.23 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.223. BBCN Bancorp (BBCN): now $0.10 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.075. BorgWarner (BWA): … Read more

Valuentum Economic Castleâ„¢ Rating Update

Read: Keeping the Horse Before the Cart: Valuentum’s Economic Castle™ Rating The Economic Castle Focuses on the Magnitude of Economic Value Creation The Valuentum Economic Castle™ rating is an enhancement of the competitive advantage framework (commonly known as economic moat analysis) that has become widespread and ubiquitous within the investing world. Whereas an economic moat framework evaluates a firm on the basis of the sustainability and durability of its competitive advantages, Valuentum’s Economic Castle™ rating evaluates a firm on the basis of the firm’s future economic profit spread (return on invested capital less its weighted average cost of capital). The companies with the strongest Valuentum Economic Castle™ ratings are poised to generate the most economic value for shareholders in the … Read more

Clorox Faces Cash Flow Headwinds in Fiscal 1Q

Our general takeaway after surveying calendar third-quarter results from peers Hershey (HSY), Colgate-Palmolive (CL), and Unilever (UN) was that performance in the consumer staples space was mostly positive during the third quarter and that emerging-market performance remains robust (even though Unilever toned down expectations a bit). Clorox’s (CLX) better-than-expected fiscal first-quarter results, released Thursday, did not deviate from the mostly positive newsflow. Sales expanded 2% (3.5% excluding the negative impact from currency), and the company recorded pretax profit growth of 7%. Volume for the fiscal first quarter advanced 1% thanks to gains from Professional Products, Charcoal, Laundry and Burt’s Bees offset by declines in Home Care. Gross margins were flat as cost savings and price increases mitigated higher manufacturing and logistics … Read more

Surveying a Few Consumer Staples: Hershey, Colgate-Palmolive, and Unilever

<< Definition of ‘Consumer Staples’ Hershey (HSY) “We (Hershey) expect 2014 net sales growth to be within our 5 to 7 percent long-term target, including the impact of foreign currency exchange rates. As has been the case for many years, Hershey is a gross margin focused company. We have solid productivity and cost savings initiatives in place and, while early in the planning cycle, we expect adjusted gross margin expansion next year that will drive 2014 growth in adjusted earnings per share-diluted in the 9 to 11 percent range, in line with our revised long-term target.” 3Q13 press release Colgate-Palmolive (CL) “As we (Colgate-Palmolive) look ahead to 2014, while our global budget process is in its initial stages, based on … Read more

Firms Raising Their Dividend In the Week Ending July 26 Included Hershey and Republic Services

Below we provide a list of firms that increased/decreased their dividends for the week ending July 26. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports, please click here. Increases Atlas Energy (ATLS): now $0.44 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.31. Bar Harbor Bankshares(BHB): now $0.315 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.31. Barnes Group (B): now $0.11 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.10. BBCN Bancorp (BBCN): now $0.075 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.05. Celanese Corporation (CE): now $0.18 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.09. Crane Co (CR): now $0.30 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.28. Fidelity Southern Corporation (LION): now $0.02 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.01. First … Read more