FIS

2,350-2,750 on the S&P? Could the Coronavirus Catalyze a Financial Crisis?

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Image: We think a rather modest sell-off in the market to the target range of 2,350-2,750 on the S&P 500 is rather reasonable in the wake of one of the biggest economic shocks since the Global Financial Crisis. The chart above shows how far markets have advanced since 2011, and an adjustment lower to the target range of 2,350-2,750 is rather modest in such a context and would only bring markets to late 2018 levels (note red box as the target range). The range reflects ~16x S&P 500 12-month forward earnings estimates, as of February 14, adjusted down 10% due to COVID-19. When companies like Visa talk about a couple percentage points taken off of growth rates, one knows that … Read more

VIDEO/TRANSCRIPT: 2021 Valuentum Exclusive Call: Inflation Is Good

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Valuentum’s President Brian Michael Nelson, CFA, explains why investors should not fear inflation, why government agencies such as the Fed and Treasury are prioritizing something other than price discovery, why the 10-year Treasury rate is a must-watch metric, and why Valuentum prefers the moaty constituents in large cap growth due to their net cash rich balance sheets, tremendous free cash flow generating potential, and secular growth tailwinds. Transcript: << Valuentum’s Best Ideas On behalf of the Valuentum team, I’d like to present to you our prepared remarks for the Valuentum Exclusive conference call for 2021. It is both an honor and a privilege to share our team’s work with you, and I personally am very grateful for your continued interest … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week of February 24

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Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending February 24. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week                          Albemarle (ALB): now $0.40 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.395. Alerus Financial Corporation (ALRS): now $0.18 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.16. AMERISAFE (AMSF): now $0.34 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.31. Assured Guaranty (AGO): now $0.28 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.25. BankUnited (BKU): now $0.27 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.25. Barclays (BCS): now $0.237 per share semi-annual dividend, was $0.105. Bay … Read more

How to Think About Corporate Tax Reform

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US Congress Is Getting Ready to Pass a Massive ~$2.2 Trillion Fiscal Stimulus Bill

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Image Shown: US equities have started to recover some of their lost ground as the likelihood that the US Congress will pass a massive ~$2.2 trillion fiscal stimulus and emergency spending package, dubbed the CARES Act, has increased significantly over the past week as seen through the bounce in the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY). President Trump has clearly indicated that he intends to sign such a bill into law as soon as possible, with the US House of Representatives expected to take up the legislation this upcoming Friday morning on March 27. By Callum Turcan On March 25, the US Senate worked late into the night to secure a bipartisan compromise on a massive ~$2.2 trillion fiscal stimulus … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week January 28

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Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending January 28. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week Accord Financial (ACCFF): now CAD 0.075 per share quarterly dividend, was CAD 0.050. Alliance Resource Partners (ARLP): now $0.25 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.20. Anthem (ANTM): now $1.28 per share quarterly dividend, was $1.13. Applied Industrial Technologies (AIT): now $0.34 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.33. Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM): now $0.40 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.37. Arrow Financial (AROW): now $0.27 per share quarterly dividend, … Read more