Third Quarter Earnings Season Pushes Forward

The equity markets continue to propel higher despite what we would describe to be a mixed third-quarter earnings season. Let’s walk through a number of earnings reports from popular companies reporting so far this week. Some of them we include in the newsletter portfolios. Others we don’t. But all are worth keeping tabs on. Annaly (NLY) Annaly is a mortgage REIT (mREIT) with principal business objective to generate net income for distribution to shareholders. Being critical of the mREIT business is certainly unpopular, and we understand that many retirees generate vital income streams from such investments. Bulls and bears, however, both benefit from our independent voice, and we call out risks as we see them. Annaly and American Capital Agency … Read more

Dividend Increases for the Week Ending August 8

Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending August 8. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week Alon (ALJ): now $0.10 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.06. Aqua America (WTR): now $0.165 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.152. Arsenal Energy (AEYIF): now $0.07 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.065. Avnet (AVT): now $0.16 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.15. Badger Meter (BMI): now $0.19 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.18. Bank of America (BAC): now $0.05 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.01. Carlisle … Read more

Valuentum Economic Castleâ„¢ Rating Update

Read: Keeping the Horse Before the Cart: Valuentum’s Economic Castle™ Rating The Economic Castle Focuses on the Magnitude of Economic Value Creation The Valuentum Economic Castle™ rating is an enhancement of the competitive advantage framework (commonly known as economic moat analysis) that has become widespread and ubiquitous within the investing world. Whereas an economic moat framework evaluates a firm on the basis of the sustainability and durability of its competitive advantages, Valuentum’s Economic Castle™ rating evaluates a firm on the basis of the firm’s future economic profit spread (return on invested capital less its weighted average cost of capital). The companies with the strongest Valuentum Economic Castle™ ratings are poised to generate the most economic value for shareholders in the … Read more

Buffett Doubles Down on USG; Teva Expected to Appoint New CEO; Crude by Rail Transportation Comes under Scrutiny

The day after the New Year holiday was light with news, as expected, but there were three developments that we thought you should be aware of. We recently highlighted the third-quarter performance of USG (USG), the maker of wallboard under the SHEETROCK name, as it scored one of the highest ratings of a 9 on the Valuentum Buying Index in late October. Warren Buffett on Thursday announced that he has increased his stake in the firm, to 30.5% (more than double previously-reported figures). According to a recently-filed Schedule 13D/A, he now owns 43.4 million shares of the firm. USG continues to be significantly undervalued on the basis of our discounted cash-flow process, and we peg its fair value estimate north … Read more

Surveying Two Potential Takeout Candidates in the Oil & Gas Space

Valuentum updates its comprehensive outlook for crude oil and natural gas prices on an annual basis, and the 2013 edition highlighted Continental Resources (CLR) and EOG Resources (EOG) as two of our favorite M&A candidates. Continental Resources is the largest leaseholder in the Bakken (1), while EOG Resources is the largest leaseholder in the Eagle Ford (EOG has a nice position in the Bakken as well). Both firms reported third-quarter results after the market close Wednesday. Let’s get an update on underlying performance. (1) The Bakken field of North Dakota and Montana is one of the premier crude oil resource plays in the United States. It has been described by the United States Geological Survey (“USGS”) as the largest continuous … Read more

Bakken Production Is Booming and Continental Resources Is a Winner

 Key Takeaways: ·        Continental Resources is an oil and gas E&P with the largest shale position in the Bakken. ·        Production and proved reserves have significant room to grow. ·        A supermajor oil company like Exxon or Chevron could be interested in acquiring Continental. ·        We believe shares have 35% upside from current levels. Production of shale oil in the Bakken (1) continues to grow rapidly, and the long-term production fortunes in the region remain as positive as ever. Let’s take a look at Continental Resources (click ticker for report: ), a firm we believe has 35% upside from current levels and one that recently made our list of The 25 Cheapest Stocks on the Market. (1) The Bakken field … Read more

Exxon Misses, ConocoPhillips Raises Production, and Shell Writes Down North American Shale Assets

As Valuentum members are aware, we think the oil majors each have their own respective strengths and weaknesses. Exxon Mobil (XOM) has consistently earned the best economic returns (ROCE) among peers, but its stock price is rich, trading at the high end of our fair value estimate range (at the time of this writing). ConocoPhillips (COP) continues to raise its production forecasts and is the second-best value-creator (ROCE) in the group. However, Chevron (CVX) has the strongest balance sheet among peers (it has the only net cash position), and by extension, is better-positioned to raise its dividend during the troughs of future energy-price cycles. Meanwhile, BP (BP) continues to deal with the aftermath of its well-publicized 2010 oil spill in … Read more

How to Think About Corporate Tax Reform

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week Ending May 3

Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending May 3. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week Alexander & Baldwin (ALEX): now $0.165 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.145. American Campus Communities (ACC): now $0.47 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.46. Ames National Corporation (ATLO): now $0.24 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.23. Apple (AAPL): now $0.77 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.73. BP Midstream Partners (BPMP): now $0.3126 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.3015. Cal-Maine Foods (CALM): now $0.272 per share quarterly … Read more

Why Natural Gas Prices are So Low and Will Likely Remain So for Some Time