XLK

Nvidia Shines in Second Quarter of Fiscal 2026

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Image Source: Nvidia By Brian Nelson, CFA On August 27, market darling Nvidia (NVDA) reported better than expected fiscal second quarter results with both revenue and non-GAAP earnings per share coming in ahead of the consensus forecast. Total revenue increased 56% from the year-ago period, to $46.74 billion (consensus was at $46.13 billion), with Data Center revenue of $41.1 billion advancing by a similar clip, the latter coming in slightly below the consensus estimate of $41.29 billion. In the quarter, GAAP and non-GAAP gross margins were 72.4% and 72.7%, respectively. GAAP and non-GAAP earnings per diluted share were $1.08 and $1.05, respectively. Consensus was at $1.01. Blackwell Data Center revenue increased 17% on a sequential basis, and there were no … Read more

Nvidia Reports Better Than Expected First Quarter Results

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Image: Nvidia’s shares are flirting with all-time highs. By Brian Nelson, CFA On May 28, Nvidia (NVDA) reported better than expected first-quarter fiscal 2026 results with revenue and non-GAAP earnings per share coming in higher than the consensus forecasts. Revenue increased 69% from the year-ago period thanks to strength in Data Center revenue, which was up 73% from a year ago. Gaming revenue was a record $3.8 billion, up 42% from a year ago. Professional Visualization revenue was up 19% from a year ago, while first quarter Automotive revenue was up 72% from last year. First-quarter non-GAAP gross margin was 71.3%, while first quarter non-GAAP diluted earnings per share was $0.96. Management had the following to say about the results: … Read more

3 Undervalued Stocks to Consider Buying Now

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Dear readers:   With the markets retracing most of their recent drawdown, we’re taking a victory lap as we didn’t panic, nor should have you. We highlighted our wait-and-see approach amidst the worst of the pullback, and we expect the Magnificent 7 (large cap growth and big cap tech) to continue to propel the markets higher, as they have done.   We’ve been busy rolling valuation models as we finetune our assumptions for a great number of companies under coverage. While doing so, we came across three undervalued stocks that are also included in the simulated newsletter portfolios. We think they’re prime for highlight.   The three stocks are UnitedHealth Group (UNH), Nvidia (NVDA) and Alphabet (GOOG). We spend a lot of time on discounted cash-flow valuation, … Read more

Magnificent 7 Earnings Reports Not Bad Thus Far

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By Brian Nelson, CFA   Shortly after Trump’s Liberation Day, where the President unveiled lofty tariffs on numerous countries, we released our wait-and-see outlook for the equity markets, which thus far has proven to be the right move, with the markets largely recovering from the depths reached in April. The S&P 500 (SPY), for example, is down just 3.3% year-to-date, excluding dividends.   A lot has happened since Liberation Day, including easing of tariffs to a 10% baseline for most, if not all, countries, with the key exception of China, where tariffs remain extremely elevated and prohibitive. Many countries are now reportedly negotiating trade agreements with the White House, and we expect China to be added to that list soon, even if … Read more

Paper: Value and Momentum Within Stocks, Too

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Please select the image below to download, “Value and Momentum Within Stocks, Too:” Abstract: This paper strives to advance the field of finance in four ways: 1) it extends the theory of the “The Arithmetic of Active Management” to the investor level; 2) it addresses certain data problems of factor-based methods, namely with respect to value and book-to-market ratios, while introducing price-to-fair-value ratios in a factor-based approach; 3) it may lay the foundation for academic literature regarding the Valuentum, the value-timing, and ultra-momentum factors; and 4) it walks through the potential relative outperformance that may be harvested at the intersection of relevant, unique and compensated factors within individual stocks. To download the full report, please click here (pdf). ———- Actual results … Read more

What to Do During This Market Selloff

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By Brian Nelson, CFA In short, nothing. The U.S. stock market (SPY) was chugging along nicely until what was interpreted as a very favorable Consumer Price Index (CPI) print on July 11 that sent a rotation out of large cap growth and big cap tech into the beaten down areas of smaller cap stocks, prompting a broader market sell-off. The reasoning goes that, with inflation largely under control, smaller companies will benefit more from future rate cuts via reduced interest expense relative to larger companies. Though this is true, to varying degrees, the magnitude of the rotation was somewhat surprising, as rate cuts should benefit large cap growth (SCHG) and big cap tech (XLK), too, but we’ve seen this rotation … Read more

Apple Raises Dividend; Launches $110 Billion More in Buybacks

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Image: Apple’s fiscal second quarter of 2024 didn’t disappoint. By Brian Nelson, CFA On May 2, Apple (AAPL) reported better-than-expected results for its second quarter of fiscal 2024. Both revenue of $90.8 billion and quarterly earnings per diluted share were modestly above consensus. These days, Apple has become very shareholder-friendly, with the firm upping its dividend payout and launching a massive incremental buyback program. Here’s what management had to say about the quarter: Today Apple is reporting revenue of $90.8 billion for the March quarter, including an all-time revenue record in Services. During the quarter, we were thrilled to launch Apple Vision Pro and to show the world the potential that spatial computing unlocks. We’re also looking forward to an … Read more

Alphabet or Microsoft in Artificial Intelligence with Respect to Search? We Like Both

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Image Source: SEO By Brian Nelson, CFA The race to capture the next-generation opportunity in web search technology is fast-developing. OpenAI took the world by storm when it released ChatGPT in December 2022, sparking the proliferation of ChatGPT rivals, the list of a dozen of which can be found here. In this article, we provide a timeline of our take as it relates to large language models with respect to web search technology, and why we view playing both Alphabet (GOOG) (GOOGL) and Microsoft (MSFT) as it relates to search and AI technology may be the best way to approach new developments in this area, which are still in their very early stages. It’s very likely that, if Google search … Read more

3 Catalysts for Apple’s Stock

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Image: Apple’s shares have done quite well since the beginning of 2023. By Brian Nelson, CFA When Apple (AAPL) reported calendar fourth quarter results (its first quarter fiscal 2024 results), concerns over sales in China and the momentum behind its Services business cast a cloud over results. Sales from Greater China came in at $20.8 billion in the quarter, but this was much lower than the $23.5 billion that analysts had been expecting. The company’s Services business performed well, but it also came in a bit lower than expectations, despite segment revenue and its installed base of active devices hitting all-time highs. Revenue for its iPhone came in better than expectations in the quarter, so while there was some profit … Read more

Market Darling Nvidia Delivers in Fiscal Fourth Quarter

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Image: Nvidia has been a market darling, and the company did not disappoint in its fourth-quarter fiscal 2024 report. By Brian Nelson, CFA Nvidia (NVDA) reported fantastic fourth-quarter fiscal 2024 results on February 21 that handily beat the consensus forecast for both the top and bottom lines. Shares of Nvidia have surged since the beginning of 2023, and the quarterly report and outlook for the first quarter fiscal 2025 pleased even the most cautious investors. We believe that the market is still in the very early innings of investment into artificial intelligence [AI], and Nvidia has the lead when it comes to advanced chipmaking. The high end of our fair value estimate range of Nvidia stands north of $800 per … Read more