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VIDEO/TRANSCRIPT: 2021 Valuentum Exclusive Call: Inflation Is Good

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Valuentum’s President Brian Michael Nelson, CFA, explains why investors should not fear inflation, why government agencies such as the Fed and Treasury are prioritizing something other than price discovery, why the 10-year Treasury rate is a must-watch metric, and why Valuentum prefers the moaty constituents in large cap growth due to their net cash rich balance sheets, tremendous free cash flow generating potential, and secular growth tailwinds. Transcript: << Valuentum’s Best Ideas On behalf of the Valuentum team, I’d like to present to you our prepared remarks for the Valuentum Exclusive conference call for 2021. It is both an honor and a privilege to share our team’s work with you, and I personally am very grateful for your continued interest … Read more

VBI Ratings Not as Impressive As We Would Have Liked in 2022

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Image: How the VBI rating system has ranked equities so far this year. By Brian Nelson, CFA At Valuentum, we use the Valuentum Buying Index (VBI) to source ideas into diversified simulated newsletter portfolios, and the VBI may be most applicable to the simulated Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio, where we generally like to include ideas when they register a high VBI rating and remove them when they register a low VBI rating. We always use the VBI in a portfolio setting and never by itself. But what about the Valuentum Buying Index ratings, themselves? How did they “perform” during 2022 in one of the worst years for stock market investors in history? Well, not as spectacular as we would have … Read more

Which Sectors Are Leading the Market Higher? And Why Is This Important?

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Missed the ’13 Most Important Steps to Understand the Stock Market’? Click here. Demand academic evidence regarding the efficacy of the Valuentum process? Click here. Tobias J. Moskowitz and Mark Grinblatt documented the “strong and prevalent momentum effect in industry components of stock returns which accounts for much of the individual stock momentum anomaly” in their scholarly article published in the Journal of Finance, ‘Do Industries Explain Momentum’ (download here; stable link here; updated by Fraulo and Nguyen here). Moskowitz and Grinblatt also concluded that “industry momentum investment strategies, which buy stocks from past winning industries and sell stocks from past losing industries, appear highly profitable.” Such findings are consistent with the ‘Case for the Valuentum Style of Investing,’ and … Read more

How to Think About Corporate Tax Reform

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Tyson, ConAgra, Hershey, and Cal-Maine Lead the Pack

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Stocks Featured: ADM, BG, CALM, CAG, FDP, GIS, HSY, K, KRFT, MKC, MJN, MDLZ, TSN, UN. As we survey recent performance across the Food Products industry (large, small), a number of firms continue to struggle to squeeze out modest growth, while others are putting up rather impressive organic top-line and adjusted earnings expansion. Perhaps the strongest fundamental performer in the group has been meat-processor Tyson Foods (TSN), which recorded impressive bottom-line growth in its fiscal third quarter, released August 5, as operating income in its ‘Chicken’ segment jumped 38% thanks to increased domestic/international production and strong pricing. The company’s fiscal 2014 outlook also speaks to robust chicken production and lower input costs, and we expect the strong top- and bottom-line performance to continue. Tyson Foods has been a 9 on our Valuentum Buying Index for some time and … Read more

ICYMI — Video: Will Hasty Policy Facilitate the Next Leg Down, or Do We Have It Coming Anyway?

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President of Investment Research and award-winning author of Value Trap: Theory of Universal Valuation Brian Nelson explains how US policymakers are stuck between a rock and a hard place, and how the market may be factoring in too high of a probability of a return to normalcy before 2021. This and more in the latest video report. Summary Make sure you review Value Trap on Amazon. Do so here. We think those that bought equities near the bottom of this swoon may be looking to take profits at present levels. The market is currently reflecting an 80%-85% probability of a return to normalcy before 2021, which we believe is too high at this time. Our main concern is that government … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week of December 9

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Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending December 9. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week                Abbott Laboratories (ABT): now $0.51 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.47. ABM Industries (ABM): now $0.22 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.195. AGNC Investment Series C Fixed-to-Floating Rate Cumulative Redeemable Preferred Stock (AGNCN): now $0.5743 per share quarterly dividend was $0.4375. Albany (AIN): now $0.25 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.21. Alexandria Real Estate Equities (ARE): now $1.21 per share quarterly dividend, was $1.18. AltaGas … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week Ending July 27

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Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending July 27. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week Access National (ANCX): now $0.16 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.15. Alliance Resource Partners (ARLP): now $0.52 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.515. Archrock (AROC): now $0.132 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.12. Ares Commercial Real Estate (ACRE): now $0.29 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.28. Arrow Financial (AROW): now $0.26 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.25. BancorpSouth (BXS): now $0.17 per share quarterly dividend, was … Read more

There Is Milk At The Store

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This article first appeared in the September edition of the High Yield Dividend Newsletter. For more information about this publication, please see here. “Now this is not the end. It is not even the beginning of the end. But it is, perhaps, the end of the beginning.” — Winston Churchill By Brian Nelson, CFA Very few of us could have imagined that we’d witness the bull market that began on that fateful day in March 2009 that might very well mark a generational low. In 2009, major investment banks around the globe were struggling to survive, and the fallout in the mortgage markets left the banks holding paper that nobody wanted to own, let alone buy. The global financial system … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week of July 29

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Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending July 29. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week                Alexander & Baldwin (ALEX): now $0.22 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.20. Alliance Resource Partners (ARLP): now $0.40 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.35. Amalgamated Bank (AMAL): now $0.10 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.08. American States Water (AWR): now $0.3975 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.3650. Arbor Realty Trust (ABR): now $0.39 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.38. Armada Hoffler Properties (AHH): now $0.19 … Read more