Hard Work and the Trust That Binds

Image Source: Terry Johnson By Brian Nelson, CFA We’ll have our traditional Valuentum Weekly email coming out on Sunday, and I’m excited to say our team is putting the finishing touches on our technology industry update, so we’ll have a whole bunch of fresh reports for you to look at Sunday evening/Monday morning. It’s easy to forget how much we’ve been through the past two years. Often, we forget how helpful the warning that markets were going to crash was the weekend before they did on February 22, 2020, “Is a Stock Market Crash Coming? – Coronavirus Update and P/E Ratios,” how we thought dollar-cost-averaging made sense at the bottom in March 2020, and how we went “all-in” in April … Read more

Best Idea Chipotle Mexican Grill’s Growth Runway is Enormous

Image Shown: Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc’s restaurant level unit economics continued to improve in the third quarter of 2021, supporting the company’s growth trajectory. Image Source: Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc – Third Quarter of 2021 Non-GAAP Reconciliation Presentation By Callum Turcan On October 21, Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc (CMG) reported third-quarter 2021 earnings that beat both consensus top- and bottom-line estimates. Comparable restaurant sales grew 15% year-over-year last quarter as Chipotle’s e-commerce business held up well, with digital sales up 9% year-over-year (representing 43% of its total sales during this period), while customers resumed in-store dining activities in earnest. We liked what we saw in Chipotle’s latest earnings report. Shares of CMG are included as an idea in the Best … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week October 1

Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending October 1. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports, please use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week American Financial (AFG): now $0.56 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.50. BancFirst (BANF): now $0.36 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.34. Bancolombia S.A. (CIB): now $0.067 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.061. Bank OZK (OZK): now $0.29 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.285. Benefit Street Partners Realty Trust (BESP): now $0.355 per share quarterly dividend. Broadstone Net Lease (BNL): now $0.255 per share quarterly dividend, … Read more

Rounding Up the 2Q Earnings Reports of Some of America’s Most Recognizable Brands: Coca-Cola, McDonald’s, Ford, Boeing, and Procter & Gamble

Image Source: Valuentum By Brian Nelson, CFA The world is bouncing back in a big way from the coronavirus (“COVID-19”) pandemic, and some of America’s top brands have put up impressive calendar second-quarter results. Ford’s performance may have been the most interesting from an investor perspective, and we continue to warn against Boeing in light of its weak cash-based fundamentals and the tremendous flexibility that program accounting can have with respect to GAAP financials. Though the following five companies are not included in the newsletter portfolios, they should be on your radar, especially as it relates to market-moving trends and economic information. Our favorite ideas remain in the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio and Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio, which have been … Read more

Best Idea Chipotle Rockets Higher!

Image Shown: We include Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc an as idea in the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio. On July 21, shares of CMG surged higher after the firm reported a stellar earnings report after the market close on July 20. By Callum Turcan On July 20, Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc (CMG) reported second-quarter 2021 earnings that beat both consensus top- and bottom-line estimates. The company’s comparable store sales boomed higher by over 31% year-over-year as Chipotle’s customer base returned to its in-store dining offerings in the wake of coronavirus (‘COVID-19’) containment efforts getting eased across the US. Its digital sales were up almost 11% year-over-year and represented a little under half of its total revenues. Chipotle’s momentum is expected to … Read more

10 YEARS OF EXCELLENCE AT VALUENTUM

Tickerized for the DIA. ———- About Our Name But how, you will ask, does one decide what [stocks are] “attractive”? Most analysts feel they must choose between two approaches customarily thought to be in opposition: “value” and “growth,”…We view that as fuzzy thinking…Growth is always a component of value [and] the very term “value investing” is redundant.                          — Warren Buffett, Berkshire Hathaway annual report, 1992 At Valuentum, we take Buffett’s thoughts one step further. We think the best opportunities arise from an understanding of a variety of investing disciplines in order to identify the most attractive stocks at any given time. Valuentum therefore analyzes each stock across a wide spectrum of philosophies, from deep value through momentum investing. And a combination of the … Read more

Two Alerts and Bull Market On!

By Brian Nelson, CFA It’s very hard not to be bullish on the stock market these days. The prudence exercised by many of the largest companies in the S&P 500 remains unprecedented, in our view. Some of the best companies out there have tremendous balance sheets, as evidenced by huge net cash positions. Perhaps two of our favorite companies, Microsoft (MSFT) and Facebook (FB) are the best examples of this, but Apple (AAPL) still retains quite the large net cash hoard as it works to net-cash breakeven. As we look at the next couple years, most investors will continue to focus on the Fed. We’ve seen this song and dance following the Great Financial Crisis (GFC) that wreaked havoc on … Read more

ICYMI: Watch Valuentum’s November 2019 Presentation on ‘Value Trap’ Now!

Watch Valuentum’s November 2019 Presentation on ‘Value Trap’ Now! — To view the November 2019 presentation of Valuentum’s book, Value Trap, please select the following link to continue: — https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S-n9o9gYKdE&feature=youtu.be — — The November 2019 presentation to the Los Angeles chapter of the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) of Valuentum’s President of Investment Research Brian M. Nelson’s new book, Value Trap, covers the pitfalls of valuation multiple analysis, traditional quantitative analysis (e.g., value factor, size factor) and the great contradiction between factor investing and the efficient markets hypothesis.  — The November 2019 presentation shows how enterprise valuation rests at the intersection of behavioral economics, quantitative theory, equity valuation and therefore finance itself. Nelson talks about how enterprise valuation can be used … Read more

ICYMI — Video: Exclusive 2020 — Furthering the Financial Discipline

ICYMI — Video: Exclusive 2020 — Furthering the Financial Discipline — — In this 40+ minute video jam-packed with must-watch content, Valuentum’s President Brian Nelson talks about the Theory of Universal Valuation and how his work is furthering the financial discipline. Learn the pitfalls of factor investing and modern portfolio theory and how the efficient markets hypothesis holds little substance in the wake of COVID-19. He’ll talk about which companies Valuentum likes and why, and which areas he’s avoiding. This and more in Valuentum’s 2020 Exclusive conference call.   Note: This video was originally published August 2, 2020.    To watch the video >>   The Theory of Universal Valuation —– Valuentum members have access to our 16-page stock reports, … Read more

Chipotle Improving Its Digital Menu to Support Its E-commerce Growth Runway

Image Shown: Over the past year, shares of Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc have been on an upward tear, supported by the restaurant’s improving omni-channel selling capabilities. By Callum Turcan Shares of Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc (CMG) surged higher during normal trading hours March 9 after the firm announced it was adding customizable quesadilla offerings to its digital menu in the US and Canada starting March 11. This offering is only available for customers ordering while using Chipotle’s digital platforms (potentially due to the longer preparation times) and will likely require new cooking equipment at the company’s restaurants. The company offers both home delivery and curbside/drive-thru pickup services (including its order ahead and pickup services) through its digital platform. We continue … Read more