Video: Quants! You’re NOT Measuring VALUE and Nelson’s Theory of Universal Value

President of Investment Research Brian Nelson defines the concept of universal value and shows how quantitative statistical methods are inextricably linked to those of fundamental, financial, business-model related analysis. Value does not exist in respective process vacuums! Value is universal. Find out why. Running time: ~10 minutes.  Tickerized for Valuentum’s stock and ETF coverage universe. Transcript Hi this is Brian Nelson from Valuentum Securities, and this is the tenth edition of a series that I call “Off the Cuff,” where I get in front of the camera and I talk for ten minutes. This is what we have to talk about today. We have to talk about this concept: The Theory of Universal Value. Value does not exist in vacuums … Read more

Valuentum’s 3 Breakthroughs in the Field of Finance and More

Valuentum’s President Brian Nelson pauses for a picture before speaking at the CFA Society of Houston in March 2017. By Valuentum Editorial Staff Let’s cover Valuentum’s 3 major breakthroughs in the field of finance. The first one is big and may challenge you to rethink everything you think you know about investing. 1. On a logical framework, Valuentum has debunked John C. Bogle’s landmark syllogism that has paved the way for the concept of index investing. Index investing has been built on a logical shortcoming, whether supported by evidence or not. We think it is important that the investment community know of this. Read (pdf): The “Luck” and “Randomness” of Index Funds (2018), Brian Nelson, CFA See video documentation: /FALLACY_of_Index_Funds To … Read more

Video: An Overview of Our 16-page Stock Research Reports

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Apple V. Samsung

Image Source: Lr43_L1000009 By Kris Rosemann Samsung’s (SSNLF) issues with its Galaxy Note 7 smartphone began in late August when the firm postponed shipments of the smartphone due to product quality testing. The event was not a major issue, as early demand for the device had outpaced supply, already causing shipment delays to some markets. Shortly after the delay was announced, claims of the smartphones’ batteries exploding surfaced, and Samsung subsequently announced it would recall Galaxy Note 7s across the globe. The recall announcement only began the saga of despair for the Galaxy Note 7 series. One week later, the FAA issued a warning that the devices could be an airborne fire hazard and suggested consumers refrain from using the smartphones … Read more

The Global Pandemic of Cybercrime, Cyber Espionage and Cyber Warfare

“The new generation of cyber-attacks on organizations, including large and small enterprises and governments worldwide, is characterized by an unprecedented escalation in the complexity and scale of advanced malware created by criminal organizations and nation-states. These modern attacks are built on dynamic, stealthy and targeted malware that penetrates defenses in multiple stages and through multiple entry points of an IT network. These highly targeted, “single-use” cyber-attacks easily circumvent legacy security solutions that rely on pattern-matching detection technologies. Additionally, because legacy solutions reference outdated signatures of past threats, they also generate a high number of false-positive alerts.” – Fireeye Annual Report, 2014 The statistics are striking. According to a 2011 survey of ~580 US IT experts by research center Ponemon Institute, … Read more

Dividend Increases for the Week Ending May 29

Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending May 29. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week Bank of Montreal (BMO): now C$0.82 per share quarterly dividend, was C$0.80. Canadian Imperial Bank (CM): now C$1.09 per share quarterly dividend, was C$1.06. Donaldson (DCI): now $0.17 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.165. El Paso Electric (EE): now $0.295 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.28. Extra Space Storage (EXR): now $0.59 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.47. Hewlett-Packard (HPQ): now $0.176 per share quarterly dividend, … Read more

Hewlett-Packard Still Not Our Favorite Tech Idea

Image Source: wlodi On May 21, Hewlett-Packard (HPQ) reported its 2015 second-quarter earnings, which included an update on its turnaround plan and upcoming separation. As you may be aware, HP has had a difficult time combatting secular demand declines and macroeconomic headwinds in recent years, and its near-term outlook remains weak. Though it scores exceptionally well on our Valuentum dividend metrics, the firm’s turnaround plan will likely affect its dividend negatively. Overall revenue is expected to continue to decline in coming periods, but management has high hopes for the effectiveness of the separation of HP into two Fortune 50 companies. Reported revenue for the quarter was a slight miss at ~$25.5 billion, a decline of 7% on a reported basis … Read more

Intel Looks to Mobile to Overcome PC Weakness

Intel (INTC) reduced its revenue guidance March 12, dropping expectations for the first quarter to $12.8 billion from $13.7 billion. The world’s largest semiconductor chip maker pointed to weaker-than-expected PC demand, as well as lower inventory levels in the PC supply chain. As far as Intel is concerned, management cited a lack of Windows XP refreshes from small and medium businesses, along with worsening macroeconomic conditions and currency headwinds as main factors in the decline.  Despite the reduction in revenue guidance, the mid-point gross margin expectations remain at ~60% for the period due to higher average selling prices offsetting any profit deleveraging caused by the lower expected volume of PC sales. The firm’s R&D and MG&A spending and depreciation expectations … Read more

Goodbye Radio Shack, Hello Office Products Behemoth

RadioShack will close its doors, while Staples and Office Depot are planning to tie the knot. 3D printing stocks may be in for a world of hurt in 2016, while GM and Ford benefit from strong employment and low gas prices. RadioShack (RSH) has finally defaulted on its debt. The company is reportedly in talks to sell half of its stores to Sprint (S) and close the remainder, should Amazon (AMZN) lose interest. Standard General, the largest shareholder in the archaic electronics retailer holds most all the cards, however, and we’ll soon see whether complete liquidation is in RadioShack’s future in the coming days. The sad reality is that the struggling electronics store chain may only have its real estate … Read more

Thanksgiving Weekend Sales Were Weak…

According to preliminary survey results released Sunday by the National Retail Federation, retail sales during the Thanksgiving weekend tumbled 11% to $50.9 billion from $57.4 billion during the same weekend last year. Executives are having a difficult time explaining the sharp drop off in retail sales (RTH), given similar aggressive strategies and promotions as previous years, but we think there are a few reasons for the hefty decline. For one, the lure of the post-Thanksgiving “mad-rush” may be wearing off, and the emerging “negative” social stigma of those willing to shop (instead of resting with family) coupled with those who believe they are “being forced to work” during the holiday (see Walmart strike) without fair wages may be turning off … Read more