J.C. Penney: Equity Offering Shows Desperation; Shares Score a 1 on the VBI; Lights Out by Mid-2014?

With sales declining precipitously and bankruptcy looking like a real possibility, we have materially lowered our equity fair value estimate on retailer J.C. Penney (click ticker for report: ) to $3 per share. The firm now scores a 1 on the Valuentum Buying Index, and we’re avoiding shares at all costs in the portfolio of our Best Ideas Newsletter. Why Now? We haven’t liked J.C. Penney since former CEO Ron Johnson’s plan showed signs it clearly wasn’t working, and we have consistently maintained that Penney’s business model was obsolete and doomed to fail over the long term, even before Johnson made changes. Still, earlier this year, the firm improved its liquidity position when it raised over $2 billion in cash via debt with an interest … Read more

Dividend Increases for the Week Ending August 23 Included Altria and Gap

Below we provide a list of firms that upped their dividends for the week ending August 23. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports, please click here (or use our ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header). Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week Altria Group (MO): now $0.48 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.44. Brinker International (EAT): now $0.24 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.20. Chemical Financial Corp (CHFC): now $0.22 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.21 Community Bank System (CBU): now $0.28 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.27. Delta Natural Gas (DGAS): was $0.19 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.18. Dillard’s (DDS): now $0.06 per share … Read more

Which Department Store Looks Attractive?

Our fundamental view on the department store industry hasn’t changed much after the second quarter. Kohl’s sales gains were surprising, but if we look at the two-year trend of stacked comps (last year’s quarter plus this year’s quarter), Nordstrom continues to easily outperform its peers. Source: Valuentum Ultimately, we believe improving margins in the department store industry will be difficult. Even if a firm is able to gain some additional gross margin, investments in technology will likely increase capital spending. Overall, we view the cohort as fairly valued. Fundamentally, we think Macy’s will continue to outperform Kohl’s due to its superior online shopping experience, but Nordstrom appears to have the most growth opportunities as it looks to expand on the … Read more

US Congress Is Getting Ready to Pass a Massive ~$2.2 Trillion Fiscal Stimulus Bill

Image Shown: US equities have started to recover some of their lost ground as the likelihood that the US Congress will pass a massive ~$2.2 trillion fiscal stimulus and emergency spending package, dubbed the CARES Act, has increased significantly over the past week as seen through the bounce in the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY). President Trump has clearly indicated that he intends to sign such a bill into law as soon as possible, with the US House of Representatives expected to take up the legislation this upcoming Friday morning on March 27. By Callum Turcan On March 25, the US Senate worked late into the night to secure a bipartisan compromise on a massive ~$2.2 trillion fiscal stimulus … Read more

Changing Millennial Preferences and the Death of the Blue Box?

A video that has been making the rounds challenging the markups at some of the high-end luxury dealers.

Nelson: The 16 Most Important Steps To Understand The Stock Market

A previous version of this article appeared on our website July 21, 2013. Refreshed and updated throughout, as of July 2018. By Brian Nelson, CFA After earning my MBA at the University of Chicago Booth School of Business and training stock and credit analysts from large organizations over the past decade or so, I have heard just about every question (though I admit I am still surprised by many things and remain a very humble student of the markets). I’ve also spent years perfecting the discounted cash flow process for large research organizations such as Morningstar and studied under one of the most famed aggressive growth investors of all time, Richard Driehaus. My knowledge runs the gamut from value through … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week of August 18

Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending August 18. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week                          Abrdn plc (SLFPY): now $0.322 per share semi-annual dividend, was $0.304. Atour Lifestyle Holdings (ATAT): now $0.05 per share dividend. Badger Meter (BMI): now $0.27 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.23. Cable One (CABO): now $2.95 per share quarterly dividend, was $2.85. Cboe Global Markets (CBOE): now $0.55 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.50. Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CMWAY): now $1.547 per share semi-annual … Read more

ICYMI — Video: Will Hasty Policy Facilitate the Next Leg Down, or Do We Have It Coming Anyway?

President of Investment Research and award-winning author of Value Trap: Theory of Universal Valuation Brian Nelson explains how US policymakers are stuck between a rock and a hard place, and how the market may be factoring in too high of a probability of a return to normalcy before 2021. This and more in the latest video report. Summary Make sure you review Value Trap on Amazon. Do so here. We think those that bought equities near the bottom of this swoon may be looking to take profits at present levels. The market is currently reflecting an 80%-85% probability of a return to normalcy before 2021, which we believe is too high at this time. Our main concern is that government … Read more

Update: Frequently Asked Questions About Valuentum Securities, Inc.

What is Valuentum Securities? Valuentum (val∙u∙n∙tum) [val-yoo-en-tuh-m] Securities Inc. is an independent investment research publisher, offering premium equity reports and dividend reports, as well as commentary across all sectors/companies, a Best Ideas Newsletter (spanning market caps, asset classes), a Dividend Growth Newsletter, modeling tools/products, and more. Independence and integrity remain our core, and we strive to be a champion of the investor. Valuentum is based in the Chicagoland area. Valuentum is not a money manager, broker, or financial advisor. Valuentum is a publisher of financial information. How do I subscribe to Valuentum’s investment research services? 1)    Click the following link: signup-page. 2)    Select your membership plan. 3)    Enter your contact details. 4)    Click ‘Sign Up.’ 5)    Complete your purchase. 6)   Your payment profile may be recurring, so please check … Read more

How to Think About Corporate Tax Reform