COH

Coach Reports Strong Fiscal Second-Quarter Results, Highlights Opportunities in China

by

In contrast to the profit warning from Tiffany (TIF) a couple weeks ago, Coach (COH), best known for its luxurious handbags, posted solid second-quarter results Wednesday and provided a very optimistic tone about its brand’s potential in China. We’ll be re-evaluating our long-term expectations for Coach, but we don’t expect to make a material change to our fair value estimate at this time. Coach’s sales expanded 15% in the quarter, while earnings per diluted share advanced 18%, to $1.18 per share (versus consensus expectations of $1.15 per share). Direct-to-consumer sales increased 17%, as North American comparable store sales rose 8.8% (above our mid-single-digit estimate). The firm remains optimistic about its Men’s business, which it expects to double during fiscal year … Read more

Changing Millennial Preferences and the Death of the Blue Box?

by

A video that has been making the rounds challenging the markups at some of the high-end luxury dealers.

How to Think About Corporate Tax Reform

by

Nelson: The 16 Most Important Steps To Understand The Stock Market

by

A previous version of this article appeared on our website July 21, 2013. Refreshed and updated throughout, as of July 2018. By Brian Nelson, CFA After earning my MBA at the University of Chicago Booth School of Business and training stock and credit analysts from large organizations over the past decade or so, I have heard just about every question (though I admit I am still surprised by many things and remain a very humble student of the markets). I’ve also spent years perfecting the discounted cash flow process for large research organizations such as Morningstar and studied under one of the most famed aggressive growth investors of all time, Richard Driehaus. My knowledge runs the gamut from value through … Read more

Department Stores Limp Across Finish Line In 2016

by

By Kris Rosemann Department stores continue to drag the broader retail space (XRT) lower in early 2017. Poor sales updates from popular general merchandise stores in the 2016 holiday season are weighing on the majority of the sector, from luxury names down to discount chains. Online retail continues to plunder traffic from traditional brick and mortar retailers as the ‘bricks-to-clicks’ movement has never been more apparent. The drop in mall foot traffic in the fourth quarter of 2016 was the largest such drop in the history of the mall as mall shoppers visited half the number of stores they did in the same period five years ago. Traditional retailers have turned to aggressive discounting, only to see their margins fade … Read more

January 5-9: The Week That Was – Drowning in Crude

by

By Brian Nelson, CFA The first full week of 2015 was a wild one! Monday and Tuesday brought some hefty losses to the indices, but the middle of the week helped recover most of the ground, only to give some of it back Friday. When all was said and done, however, the S&P 500 still closed comfortably above 2040, a huge leap from just 5-6 years ago. We’re still enjoying the good times, with economic data still coming in relatively sanguine. Like a frog in water, the markets are just waiting for the next shoe to drop, and the Federal Reserve is doing all that it can to assure investors that the Yellen-put is there to prop up the markets should … Read more

Valuentum’s Comprehensive Report on Retail Brands

by

Key Takeaways ·        Valuentum sees four major brand segments o   Ultra-Luxury §  Richemont, Burberry, LVMH, Gucci (Kering), Chanel, Hermes §  Rich heritage brands, economically resilient consumer o   Luxury §  Marc Jacobs, Tory Burch, Ralph Lauren, Tiffany §  Valuable brands, semi-strong barriers to entry o   Aspirational §  Michael Kors, Marc by Marc Jacobs, Coach, North Face §  Popular with younger consumers, strong brand loyalty o   Established §  Nike, Adidas, Under Armour, lululemon, PVH, Express §  Price competitive, exposed to fashion ·        Our favorite dividend idea: Coach ·        Fallen Stars: Guess, Bebe ·        Valuentum’s Take: Brand value is only part of the investment equation Branding has been a powerful force in both marketing and investing for the past century. Companies work hard … Read more

SEC Approves Financial Weapon of Mass Destruction and More Earnings Reports

by

Let’s talk about quadruple-leveraged ETFs, Apple’s and Altria’s earnings reports, Coach’s fundamental improvement, Gilead’s fall from grace, IBM’s ongoing deterioration and more. By Brian Nelson, CFA Well, it is what it is as they say. In our ETF research and analysis, we consistently warn readers about the long-term price erosion dynamics of ultra-leveraged ETFs (of the double and triple variety), vehicles that we have emphasized are for “day traders,” not long-term investors. Believe it or not, however — we received news May 3 that the SEC approved a request to now list quadruple-leveraged ETFs, what we describe to be “financial weapons of mass destruction.” Yikes. You read that correctly–quadruple-leveraged exchange traded funds, ones that mimic the movement of the index … Read more

Alert: Removing Coach; Talking Buffett, Unemployment, and Stock Market Valuations

by

Image Source: DonkeyHotey There are four takeaways from this piece you must know. We’re removing Coach from the Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio, Buffett may no longer be against paying a dividend at Berkshire, US unemployment now stands at 4.4%, and market valuations remain frothy. By Brian Nelson, CFA In the financial world, Berkshire Hathaway’s (BRK.A, BRK.B) annual shareholder meeting probably received the most attention the first weekend of May, and we continue to be content with including shares of the Oracle of Omaha’s brainchild in the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio. Mr. Buffett, however, seems to be open to more and more ideas as the years go by, with him more recently stating that he’s no longer against paying a dividend. … Read more