Michael Kors’ Third Quarter Reveals Strength

On February 12, fast-growing retailer Michael Kors (KORS) announced spectacular fiscal year 2013 third quarter results. Revenue surged 70% year-over-year to $637 million, exceeding consensus expectations. Earnings were also fantastic, jumping 220% year-over-year to $0.64 per share, considerably above consensus estimates. Strength at the aspirational luxury brand hasn’t slowed yet, with same-store sales jumping 41% year-over-year, even as the company added 66 net new stores—a stark departure from competitor Coach (click ticker for report: ), which has struggled to compete with Michael Kors. Gross margins, while still well below those at Coach, jumped 80 basis points to 60.4%, reflecting the firm’s increase in its store base (as well as fewer discounts and a favorable shift in product mix). Though we … Read more

Coach’s Momentum Is Slowing

Aspirational luxury brand Coach (click ticker for report: ) announced lackluster results for its fiscal year 2013 second quarter and the holiday season. Revenue increased just 4% year-over-year to $1.5 billion, short of consensus expectations. Earnings missed the mark by several cents, growing just 4% year-over-year to $1.23 per share. Our fair value estimate remains unchanged. Gross margins remained basically unchanged year-over-year at 72.1%, suggesting the company did not take markdowns during the quarter. Unfortunately, the firm’s 4% sales expansion trailed the 15% increase in inventories, which could indicate that markdowns may come eventually. We could see a gross margin figure meaningfully lower than the current low-70’s run-rate in the coming periods. Inventory growth was among the primary reasons why … Read more

Is Tiffany Still Sparkling?

Luxury retailer Tiffany (click ticker for report: ) reported challenging holiday sales Thursday. Global sales growth came in at 4% ($992 million)–the low end of the firm’s previous guidance range–after sales really slumped in North America. Same-store sales at the Tiffany 5th Avenue flagship store in New York and stores throughout North America declined 2% during the holiday period. Internet and catalog sales in the region did increase 4%, leading total sales in the Americas region to increase 2% on a constant currency basis (and 3% on a reported basis to $516 million). This could be a negative for other stores such as Saks (click ticker for report: ) that are so heavily tied to New York flagships, but we … Read more

Coach Returns to Growth after a Weak Fourth Quarter

Aspirational luxury brand Coach (click ticker for report: ) reported strong earnings for its fiscal year 2013 first quarter Tuesday morning. Revenue and earnings were roughly in-line with expectations, with revenue growing 11% year-over-year to $1.16 billion and earnings expanding 5% year-over-year to $0.78 per share. The company also announced a $1.5 billion share buyback program. After a rough fourth quarter, North American same-store sales rebounded, growing 5.5% year-over-year, driving total sales up 8% to $784 million. This compares to the firm’s anemic 1.7% same-store sales growth during its previous quarter. Department store sales in North America were flat, though the stores ordered fewer inventories than a year ago. Coach’s Legacy collection, which CEO Lew Frankfort highlighted in the press … Read more