Study: Valuentum’s Best Ideas Newsletter Portfolio
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SCCO
Demand Bouncing Off Multi-Year Bottom at Caterpillar
Improvement in Caterpillar’s underlying end markets is driving its performance, and management took the opportunity following a solid showing in the first quarter of 2018 to raise its bottom-line guidance for the full year. The market, however, did not look favorably on management’s comments that the first quarter should be expected to be the “high-water mark” for the year in terms of margin performance. We’ve updated our fair value estimate of shares. By Kris Rosemann It may seem like an eternity ago, but as recently as 2016, Caterpillar (CAT) was at the tail end of its only stretch of four years of consecutive annual sales declines in more than 90 years of business. The demand environment for the heavy machinery … Read more
ICYMI: Valuentum’s Improved Stock and ETF Web Pages
Valuentum has rolled out improved stock and ETF web pages on its website valuentum.com/. Now, subscribers can access key proprietary information on the stock and ETF web pages in addition to the customary stock and ETF reports. Dear reader, We have some exciting news that we can’t wait to share with you! At valuentum.com/, we have rolled out new stock and ETF pages that conveniently include a variety of our proprietary metrics from the Dividend Cushion ratio to the Economic Castle rating and beyond! There’s even mouseover functionality so you can learn about how we define the key metrics across our stock-selection and dividend growth methodologies. You’ll still have access to the stock and dividend reports on the landing pages, … Read more
The “Luck” and “Randomness” of Index Funds
Please select the image below to download the document. Image shown, page 1 of 14. Tickerized for Valuentum’s coverage universe.
Video: Quants! You’re NOT Measuring VALUE and Nelson’s Theory of Universal Value
President of Investment Research Brian Nelson defines the concept of universal value and shows how quantitative statistical methods are inextricably linked to those of fundamental, financial, business-model related analysis. Value does not exist in respective process vacuums! Value is universal. Find out why. Running time: ~10 minutes. Tickerized for Valuentum’s stock and ETF coverage universe. Transcript Hi this is Brian Nelson from Valuentum Securities, and this is the tenth edition of a series that I call “Off the Cuff,” where I get in front of the camera and I talk for ten minutes. This is what we have to talk about today. We have to talk about this concept: The Theory of Universal Value. Value does not exist in vacuums … Read more
Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week Ending November 10
Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending November 10. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week Aaron’s Inc. (AAN): now $0.03 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.0275. Acadia Realty Trust (AKR): now $0.27 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.26. Assurant (AIZ): now $0.56 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.53. Atmos Energy (ATO): now $0.485 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.45. Automatic Data Processing (ADP): now $0.63 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.57. BorgWarner (BWA): now $0.17 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.14. … Read more
Valuentum’s 3 Breakthroughs in the Field of Finance and More
Valuentum’s President Brian Nelson pauses for a picture before speaking at the CFA Society of Houston in March 2017. By Valuentum Editorial Staff Let’s cover Valuentum’s 3 major breakthroughs in the field of finance. The first one is big and may challenge you to rethink everything you think you know about investing. 1. On a logical framework, Valuentum has debunked John C. Bogle’s landmark syllogism that has paved the way for the concept of index investing. Index investing has been built on a logical shortcoming, whether supported by evidence or not. We think it is important that the investment community know of this. Read (pdf): The “Luck” and “Randomness” of Index Funds (2018), Brian Nelson, CFA See video documentation: /FALLACY_of_Index_Funds To … Read more
Little Progress Seen in Iron Ore Market Balancing
Image Source: Peter Craven By Kris Rosemann Recent reports from the likes of BHP Billiton (BHP) have echoed our previous concerns with the iron ore market, “Iron Ore Market Stability Still A Ways Off.” A number of factors on both the supply and demand sides of things are expected to provide pressure to the price of iron as we move further into the back half of 2016. BHP, for one, anticipates economic uncertainty, political instability and well supplied markets to continue weighing on iron ore prices, among other commodities. Seasonal factors will weigh on Chinese (FXI) demand–the nation is the world’s largest purchaser of seaborne iron–in the winter months when construction typically slows as a result of more inclement weather. … Read more
Developments in the Iron Ore Market
BHP Billiton (BHP) shares have reached their lowest levels since 2008 after reports surfaced November 5 of a mining dam the company owns via a joint venture with Vale (VALE) broke. The dam failure has decimated a rural community, killed at least 8 people, left at least 20 people missing, and potentially contaminated the water source of hundreds of thousands of Brazilians. Samarco, the limited liability company set up to operate the joint venture between BHP and Vale, has been said to be fully responsible for the failure, but the two-year old company may do little to protect its parent companies from hefty fines and cleanup and legal costs. According to an environmental lawyer, if Samarco cannot cover the cleanup … Read more
BHP or Rio Tinto? Is That the Right Question?
Dr. Copper is speaking, and we don’t like what he’s saying. For those long-tenured market participants, a look at the copper markets (JJC, CPER, CUPM) generally provides insight into the health of the global economy. Copper is used in just about everything related to construction and manufacturing, and the price of the metal signals the relationship between its supply and demand. A strong copper price, therefore, indicates that demand for the metal is healthy, and that in most cases and by extension, the general economy is healthy as well. What we are witnessing in the copper markets, however, is something else, and on a high level, no different than the shellacking the crude oil markets have been experiencing in recent … Read more