SBUX

Study: Valuentum’s Best Ideas Newsletter Portfolio

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To read the study, please click on the image to download the pdf document (pdf).

McDonald’s Breakfast, Starbucks’ Afternoons

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Two of the most well-known brands are focusing on two different dayparts, but will the end game be increased competition across the board? We like the prospects for both McDonald’s and Starbucks, as we continue to be amazed at the pace of same-store-expansion at the former. By Brian Nelson, CFA On April 30, McDonald’s (MCD) put up yet another fine quarter, its first-quarter 2018 results marking 11 consecutive quarters the company has registered positive same-store-sales growth, a streak that has been buoyed by menu simplification efforts and ongoing strength with its all-day breakfast initiative. People don’t just love McDonald’s breakfast; it seems like some can’t live without it, and it may not matter what time of day they get their fix. … Read more

ICYMI: Valuentum’s Improved Stock and ETF Web Pages

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Valuentum has rolled out improved stock and ETF web pages on its website valuentum.com/. Now, subscribers can access key proprietary information on the stock and ETF web pages in addition to the customary stock and ETF reports. Dear reader, We have some exciting news that we can’t wait to share with you! At valuentum.com/, we have rolled out new stock and ETF pages that conveniently include a variety of our proprietary metrics from the Dividend Cushion ratio to the Economic Castle rating and beyond! There’s even mouseover functionality so you can learn about how we define the key metrics across our stock-selection and dividend growth methodologies. You’ll still have access to the stock and dividend reports on the landing pages, … Read more

The “Luck” and “Randomness” of Index Funds

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Please select the image below to download the document. Image shown, page 1 of 14. Tickerized for Valuentum’s coverage universe.

Market Valuations Not “Insane” But Certainly Not Cheap Either

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The stock market is not insanely overpriced, but it is certainly not cheap either. We’re watching the technicals and moves in the 10-year Treasury closely for signs of where the market may go next. We discuss Walmart’s recent disappointment and add another to the list of companies that the Dividend Cushion ratio effectively highlighted the heightened income risk profile of, prior to the dividend cut. Chipotle is on the move! By Kris Rosemann and Brian Nelson, CFA According to the February 16, 2018 release of Factset’s Earnings Insight, the forward 12-month P/E ratio for the S&P 500 is still north of 17 times, above both the 5-year average of 16 and the 10-year average of 14.3. The “right” multiple for … Read more

The US Dollar, GDP Expansion, and Earnings

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Investors wouldn’t think news flow is that robust given that stock market volatility in recent months has been practically nil, but news is coming in fast. Let’s check up on the performance of the US dollar, the rate of GDP growth as well as key companies reporting fourth-quarter earnings. Intel’s quarterly report was fantastic, for one!    By Kris Rosemann The US dollar (UUP, UDN, USDU) hit a three-year low against the euro, but US Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin suggests a weaker dollar may be good for the US, which is a change from traditional US policy, though he was sure to note that the government is not concerned about short-term fluctuations in the currency. Meanwhile, of course, the euro … Read more

Brewing the Next Dividend Aristocrat

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Image Source: Starbuck’s 2017 annual Shareholder Meeting Most income-minded investors would love to find the next Dividend Aristocrat before it earns such a title, but many continue to focus on the stars of the past instead of working to identify up and coming dividend track records, which often carry higher dividend growth rates than the most established Dividend Aristocrats. By Alexander J. Poulos McDonald’s Is Pretty Good… Starbucks (SBUX) has a number of qualities that we look for in identifying companies that can sustain a growing dividend over time, one that has the potential to develop into a Dividend Aristocrat. The company’s dividend track record is still a young one as the payout was initiated in 2010, but forward-looking analysis … Read more

Video: Quants! You’re NOT Measuring VALUE and Nelson’s Theory of Universal Value

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President of Investment Research Brian Nelson defines the concept of universal value and shows how quantitative statistical methods are inextricably linked to those of fundamental, financial, business-model related analysis. Value does not exist in respective process vacuums! Value is universal. Find out why. Running time: ~10 minutes.  Tickerized for Valuentum’s stock and ETF coverage universe. Transcript Hi this is Brian Nelson from Valuentum Securities, and this is the tenth edition of a series that I call “Off the Cuff,” where I get in front of the camera and I talk for ten minutes. This is what we have to talk about today. We have to talk about this concept: The Theory of Universal Value. Value does not exist in vacuums … Read more

Let’s Talk Business Analysis

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Valuentum’s Brian Nelson explains the benefits of combining both economic moat and economic castle analysis in business analysis. An excerpt from part II of Valuentum’s four-part investment education workshop. If you cannot see the video, please view the transcript below or select the link here. If you would like to purchase Valuentum’s investment education workshop, please visit the page here. Brian Nelson, CFA: “In business I look for economic castles, protected by unbreachable moats… (quoting Warren Buffett).” If you take out some of the prepositions, Warren Buffett looks for economic castles. So what we do is we provide the analysis associated with the Economic Castle rating. The Economic Castle rating is based on the academic framework that suggests that economic profit … Read more